Serie ASerie AStadio Diego Armando Maradona

Friday, Apr 24, 2026, 6:45 PM UTC

Kickoff in 14d 2h 19m

Napoli

Napoli

vs

Cremonese

Cremonese

93%
3%
4%
NapoliDrawCremonese

AI Pick: Napoli Win

Confidence: 92%

1X2: Napoli Win (92%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

Napoli vs Cremonese Prediction

Napoli is heavily favored to win this Serie A encounter against a struggling Cremonese side. Their superior form, home advantage, and strong defensive record against a low-scoring opponent point towards a comfortable victory for the hosts.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Napoli Win

Predicted: 2-0

92%

Napoli, currently 2nd in Serie A, boasts an exceptional home record with 11 wins and 4 draws in 15 matches, remaining unbeaten at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Their recent form is outstanding (WWWWW). Cremonese, on the other hand, is struggling at 17th place, with a poor away record (4 wins, 3 draws, 9 losses in 16 matches) and recent form (LWLLL). Napoli's superior squad quality, home advantage, and strong defensive record against a low-scoring Cremonese side make a comfortable home victory highly probable.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.0

60%

Napoli's home matches average 2.6 total goals, while Cremonese's away matches average 2.25. Napoli's strong defense (0.9 goals conceded at home) combined with Cremonese's low scoring rate (0.8 goals per game overall, failed to score in 8 away games) suggests a lower-scoring affair, likely a 2-0 or 1-0 win for Napoli. Therefore, Under 2.5 goals and BTTS No are the most probable outcomes.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Napoli's home matches average 2.6 total goals, while Cremonese's away matches average 2.25. Napoli's strong defense (0.9 goals conceded at home) combined with Cremonese's low scoring rate (0.8 goals per game overall, failed to score in 8 away games) suggests a lower-scoring affair, likely a 2-0 or 1-0 win for Napoli. Therefore, Under 2.5 goals and BTTS No are the most probable outcomes.

📊 More Markets

Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

88%

Napoli alone averages 1.7 goals at home. It's highly probable they will score at least two goals against a struggling Cremonese defense, pushing the total over 1.5.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

70%

While Napoli is strong, their home games average 2.6 goals. Napoli's 'for' under_over 3.5 is 0 over, 31 under, indicating they rarely score 4 or more goals themselves. A 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline would keep it under 3.5.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

85%

Napoli scores over 50% of their goals in the first half, and Cremonese concedes over 50% of their goals in the first half. Given Napoli's strong start to games, a goal before halftime is very likely.

First Team to Score

Home

88%

Napoli's attacking strength and Cremonese's defensive vulnerabilities, coupled with Cremonese's struggle to score, make Napoli the clear favorite to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

70%

Napoli scores fairly consistently across both halves, and against a weaker opponent, they are capable of finding the net in both periods of the game.

Most Likely Score

2-0

70%

Based on Napoli's average home goals (1.7) and strong defense (0.9 conceded), combined with Cremonese's low scoring (0.8 overall) and high concession rate (1.4 away), a 2-0 victory for Napoli is a highly plausible exact score.

BTTS 1st Half

No

80%

Cremonese struggles to score, especially early in games. Napoli's defense is solid. It's highly unlikely both teams will score in the first half.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

65%

Based on our predicted score of 2-0 and the overall goal market analysis (Under 2.5 goals), the expected goals for the match are likely to be around 2.0-2.5, leaning towards Under 2.5 xG.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

98%

Napoli is unbeaten at home this season (11 wins, 4 draws). A double chance of 1X (Napoli win or draw) is extremely safe given their dominant home form against a struggling opponent.

Draw No Bet

Home

95%

Given Napoli's strong home record and Cremonese's poor form, a Napoli win is the most probable outcome. The draw no bet market provides a safety net in case of an unlikely draw.

HT/FT

Home/Home

85%

Napoli is expected to start strong and maintain their lead throughout the match. Their superior quality and home advantage should see them leading at halftime and securing the win at fulltime.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

65%

Napoli, as the dominant attacking side, will likely generate a significant number of corners. Cremonese, under pressure, might also concede several. Serie A matches often see a decent number of corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

70%

Both teams show a tendency for cards, particularly in the later stages of halves. Cremonese, fighting relegation, will likely play with intensity, leading to fouls and bookings. Napoli also accumulates cards, especially in the 61-75 minute range.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

75%

Napoli's attacking prowess at home against a weaker defense should result in numerous shots on target. Cremonese might also manage a few on the counter, but the majority will come from Napoli.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

70%

Napoli will dominate possession and attack relentlessly, leading to a high volume of shots. Cremonese might also contribute a few, pushing the total over 22.5.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

Serie A matches typically involve a fair number of fouls. Cremonese, as the underdog, will likely commit tactical fouls to break up Napoli's play, contributing to a higher foul count.

Possession Winner

Home

85%

Napoli is a possession-based team, especially at home. Cremonese will likely sit deep and try to counter, ceding possession to the hosts.

Napoli Clean Sheet

Yes

80%

Napoli has kept 5 clean sheets at home, and Cremonese has failed to score in 8 of their 16 away matches. Napoli's defense is solid, and Cremonese's attack is weak.

Cremonese Clean Sheet

No

80%

Napoli has kept 5 clean sheets at home, and Cremonese has failed to score in 8 of their 16 away matches. Napoli's defense is solid, and Cremonese's attack is weak.

Napoli vs Cremonese Key Stats

NapoliStatCremonese
2nd League Position17th
65 Points27
31 Games Played31
20 Wins6
5 Draws9
47 Goals Scored26
30 Goals Conceded46
1.5 Goals Per Game0.8
11 Clean Sheets8
WWWWW Recent FormLLLWL
🏟️

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Home Ground

6:45 PM UTC

Friday, Apr 24

Matchday kickoff

Serie A

Soccer

Betting Angles Napoli vs Cremonese

⚠️ Match Winner: Napoli

Napoli's dominance at home and Cremonese's struggles make a Napoli win almost a certainty. Assuming typical odds of 1.25, there's significant value given our high confidence in a home victory. (Odds are hypothetical as none were provided).

⚠️ Both Teams To Score: No

Napoli has a strong home defense, conceding only 0.9 goals per game and keeping 5 clean sheets in 15 home matches. Cremonese averages only 0.8 goals per game overall and has failed to score in 8 of their 16 away matches. It's highly likely Cremonese will not find the net. (Odds are hypothetical as none were provided).

⚠️ Total Goals: Under 2.5 Goals

While Napoli is strong, their average home goals per game is 1.7, and Cremonese's average away goals conceded is 1.4. Napoli's own games at home average 2.6 total goals, and Cremonese's away games average 2.25 total goals. Our predicted score of 2-0 aligns with Under 2.5 goals. Napoli's 'for' under_over 2.5 is mostly under, and Cremonese's 'against' under_over 2.5 is also mostly under. (Odds are hypothetical as none were provided).

💰 Sharp Money

Sharp money would likely be on handicap bets for Napoli (-1.5 or -2.0) or specific goal markets like BTTS No, given the low odds for a straight win. Line movement: Expect the odds for Napoli to win to drop further if they open higher, and odds for Cremonese to drift out significantly. BTTS No and Under 2.5 goals might see some movement as well.

AI Same Game Parlay Napoli vs Cremonese

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Napoli Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 32%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
2/10
  • ⚠️Complacency from Napoli due to a weaker opponent.
  • ⚠️An unexpected defensive lapse from Napoli.
  • ⚠️Cremonese playing with desperation and pulling off an unlikely result (though highly improbable).

Model Confidence

90%

Data quality: High - comprehensive team statistics and league standings are available.

Limitations

  • No specific player injury information provided.
  • No direct head-to-head statistics available.
  • No real-time odds provided, requiring hypothetical odds for value bet calculations.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Napoli vs Cremonese FAQ

Napoli is overwhelmingly favored to win this match due to their strong home form and Cremonese's struggles.