Serie AStadio Diego Armando MaradonaSunday, May 10, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 10h 6m

Napoli
vs

Bologna
AI Pick: Napoli Win
Confidence: 65%
1X2: Napoli Win (โก65%)
O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
Napoli vs Bologna Prediction
Napoli, a strong home team and second in Serie A, faces Bologna, a mid-table team with a decent away record. Napoli's superior league position and home form make them favorites, but Bologna's attacking capabilities on the road could lead to a competitive match with goals from both sides.
MATCH RESULT
Napoli Win
Predicted: 2-1
โก65%
Napoli, currently 2nd in Serie A, boasts an impressive home record with only one loss in 16 matches. Their recent form is strong (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in last 5 league games). Bologna, sitting 8th, has a decent away record, often performing better on the road than at home, and their recent form is also respectable (3 wins, 2 losses). While Bologna's away attack is noted as strong in the API comparison, Napoli's defensive solidity at home (0.9 goals conceded per game) and overall higher league standing give them the edge. The API comparison also leans slightly towards Napoli (52% total win probability). Given Napoli's strong home advantage and their position at the top of the table, a home win is the most probable outcome.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.7
60%
Napoli's home matches average 2.5 goals (1.6 for, 0.9 against), while Bologna's away matches average 2.8 goals (1.6 for, 1.2 against). Both teams have shown a strong propensity to score and concede, especially Bologna away. Napoli has scored in 13 of 16 home games and conceded in 11. Bologna has scored in 14 of 16 away games and conceded in 12. This suggests a high likelihood of both teams finding the net and the total goals exceeding 2.5.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Napoli's home matches average 2.5 goals (1.6 for, 0.9 against), while Bologna's away matches average 2.8 goals (1.6 for, 1.2 against). Both teams have shown a strong propensity to score and concede, especially Bologna away. Napoli has scored in 13 of 16 home games and conceded in 11. Bologna has scored in 14 of 16 away games and conceded in 12. This suggests a high likelihood of both teams finding the net and the total goals exceeding 2.5.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
With both teams having good scoring records and the expectation of an open game, it's highly probable that at least two goals will be scored in the match.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
While Over 2.5 goals is expected, a total of 4 or more goals is less common in Serie A, especially with Napoli's relatively solid home defense. The combined average goals per game for these teams hovers around 2.7.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Napoli scores in the first half in a significant portion of their games (24 goals in 33 matches), and Bologna also contributes (17 goals in 32 matches). Given the attacking nature expected, at least one goal in the first half is highly probable.
First Team to Score
Home
Napoli's home advantage and attacking prowess make them more likely to open the scoring. They have a higher percentage of goals scored in the first 15 minutes compared to Bologna.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
Given the expectation of goals from both sides and their historical scoring patterns across halves, it's reasonable to expect goals in both the first and second halves.
Most Likely Score
2-1
Based on Napoli's home scoring average (1.6) and Bologna's away scoring average (1.6), with Napoli's stronger defense (0.9 conceded at home), a 2-1 victory for Napoli is a plausible outcome.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While BTTS for the full game is likely, both teams scoring in the first half is a less frequent occurrence, as teams often take time to settle into the game.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5 xG
Based on the expected goals and the offensive capabilities of both teams, the total xG for the match is likely to exceed 2.5, aligning with the Over 2.5 goals prediction.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
Napoli has an excellent home record with only 1 loss in 16 games. Even if they don't win, a draw is a more likely outcome than a straight loss at home against Bologna.
Draw No Bet
Home
Napoli is the stronger team playing at home, making them the favorite. The Draw No Bet market provides a safety net in case of a draw.
HT/FT
Home/Home
Napoli's strong home form suggests they are likely to lead at half-time and maintain that lead until full-time, especially against a mid-table opponent.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Both teams are expected to attack, leading to a competitive match with chances created. This often results in a higher number of corners.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Serie A matches are typically physical, and both teams have accumulated a fair number of yellow cards throughout the season (Napoli 45, Bologna 60). A competitive mid-table clash against a top team often leads to disciplinary actions.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
With both teams having decent attacking records (Napoli 1.6 goals/game at home, Bologna 1.6 goals/game away) and the expectation of an open game, there should be ample opportunities for shots on target.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
With both teams looking to attack and create chances, a combined total of over 22.5 shots (on and off target) is a reasonable expectation for a Serie A fixture.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Serie A matches are generally quite physical, and a competitive game between a top team and a strong mid-table side is likely to involve a fair number of fouls.
Possession Winner
Home
Napoli, as the home team and a top-tier side, typically dominates possession against most opponents in Serie A, dictating the tempo of the game.
Napoli Clean Sheet
No
Given the 'Both Teams To Score: Yes' prediction and Bologna's strong away scoring record (1.6 goals per game), a clean sheet for Napoli is unlikely. Similarly, Napoli's strong home attack makes an away clean sheet for Bologna improbable.
Bologna Clean Sheet
No
Given the 'Both Teams To Score: Yes' prediction and Bologna's strong away scoring record (1.6 goals per game), a clean sheet for Napoli is unlikely. Similarly, Napoli's strong home attack makes an away clean sheet for Bologna improbable.
Napoli vs Bologna โ Key Stats
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Home Ground
1:00 PM UTC
Sunday, May 10
Matchday kickoff
Serie A
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Napoli vs Bologna
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Without odds data, it's impossible to track sharp money movement. However, given the competitive nature, any significant movement on Bologna could indicate smart money. Line movement: N/A - No odds provided to analyze line movement.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Napoli vs Bologna
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 23%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธBologna's strong away attacking record could trouble Napoli's defense.
- โ ๏ธThe lack of clear H2H dominance suggests Bologna can be competitive.
- โ ๏ธNapoli's recent form includes a loss and a draw, indicating they are not invincible.
Model Confidence
โก68%
Data quality: High - Comprehensive team statistics and league standings are available.
Limitations
- โขLack of specific H2H match results to analyze trends in detail.
- โขAbsence of real-time odds data for value bet identification.
- โขNo injury reports available, which could impact team strength.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Napoli vs Bologna โ FAQ
Napoli has an excellent home record, with 11 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 loss in 16 home matches this Serie A season.