Ligue 1Stade de la BeaujoireSunday, May 17, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 14h 50m

Nantes
vs

Toulouse
AI Pick: Toulouse Win
Confidence: 46%
1X2: Toulouse Win (46%)
O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes

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Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction
This Ligue 1 clash pits a struggling Nantes side, deep in the relegation zone, against a more stable mid-table Toulouse. Nantes' form is alarming, with a dismal home record and low goal output. Toulouse, while not spectacular, shows better consistency and attacking prowess. The match is expected to be competitive due to Nantes' high stakes, but Toulouse's quality should ultimately prevail.
MATCH RESULT
Toulouse Win
Predicted: 1-2
46%
Nantes is in dire form, sitting in the relegation zone with a very poor home record (2 wins in 15 games). Their goal-scoring is low (0.8 per game) and their defense is leaky (1.6 goals conceded per game). Toulouse, on the other hand, is a mid-table team with significantly better attacking statistics (1.4 goals per game) and a more stable defensive record (1.4 goals conceded per game). While Nantes will be fighting for survival at home, their consistent poor performance suggests Toulouse's superior quality and form will likely prevail. Toulouse also has a decent away record for a mid-table team.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.7
60%
Nantes averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, while Toulouse averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. This suggests a combined average of around 2.7 goals per match. Nantes' poor defense is likely to concede, and Toulouse's attack is capable of scoring. Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede, making BTTS 'Yes' a strong possibility. Given Nantes' defensive struggles and Toulouse's decent attack, 'Over 2.5 Goals' is favored, despite both teams having a higher percentage of 'Under 2.5' games individually.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Nantes averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, while Toulouse averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. This suggests a combined average of around 2.7 goals per match. Nantes' poor defense is likely to concede, and Toulouse's attack is capable of scoring. Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede, making BTTS 'Yes' a strong possibility. Given Nantes' defensive struggles and Toulouse's decent attack, 'Over 2.5 Goals' is favored, despite both teams having a higher percentage of 'Under 2.5' games individually.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
With both teams having a reasonable chance to score and Nantes' defensive vulnerabilities, it's highly probable that at least two goals will be scored in the match.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
While 'Over 2.5 Goals' is predicted, both teams individually have a higher tendency for 'Under 3.5' goals. A scoreline of 1-2 or 0-2 is more likely than 4 or more goals in this fixture.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams have shown capability to score in the first half. Toulouse scores 20% of their goals in the first 15 minutes, and Nantes scores 36% in 31-45 minutes. It's highly probable that at least one goal will be scored before halftime.
First Team to Score
Away
Toulouse has a stronger attack and is in better form. They are more likely to break the deadlock against a struggling Nantes defense.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
If the match sees 2-3 goals, it's common for goals to be distributed across both halves, especially with both teams having reasons to attack at different stages of the game.
Most Likely Score
1-2
This score aligns with the prediction of a Toulouse win, with both teams scoring, and reflects Nantes' struggle to score more than one goal while conceding to a better attacking side.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While BTTS 'Yes' is predicted for the full match, both teams scoring in the first half is a less frequent occurrence. It's more likely that one team will score, or the first half will be goalless, before both teams find the net over 90 minutes.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5 xG
Consistent with the 'Over 2.5 Goals' prediction, the quality of chances created by both teams, especially Toulouse's attack against Nantes' defense, is expected to result in an xG value above 2.5.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
X2
Given Toulouse's superior league position and form, they are unlikely to lose this match. A draw or an away win is a highly probable outcome against a struggling Nantes side.
Draw No Bet
Away
Toulouse is the stronger team and the favorite to win. In case of a draw, the bet would be void, making this a safer option than a straight win for Toulouse.
HT/FT
Draw/Away
Nantes, playing at home and fighting for survival, might manage to hold Toulouse to a draw in the first half. However, Toulouse's superior quality is expected to show in the second half, leading to an away win.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Ligue 1 matches typically feature a moderate number of corners. With both teams likely to attack and defend actively, especially Nantes pushing for a result, the total corners should exceed 9.5.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Nantes is in a relegation battle, which often leads to more aggressive play and fouls. Both teams have accumulated a fair number of cards throughout the season (Nantes 62 yellow, Toulouse 67 yellow). A competitive match with high stakes suggests more than 3.5 cards.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
Based on average Ligue 1 match statistics and the attacking nature of Toulouse combined with Nantes' need to score, both teams should contribute to a total of over 8.5 shots on target.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Both teams will be looking to create chances. Toulouse has a decent attack, and Nantes will be desperate to score at home, leading to a combined total of over 22.5 shots.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Ligue 1 matches are often physical, and with Nantes fighting relegation, the intensity will be high, likely leading to a higher number of fouls.
Possession Winner
Away
Toulouse generally plays a more structured game and is likely to control possession against a Nantes side that might be more direct in their approach due to their league position.
Nantes Clean Sheet
No
Nantes has a very poor defensive record at home, conceding 1.8 goals per game and keeping only 2 clean sheets in 15 home matches. Toulouse has a decent attack. While Toulouse's defense is better, Nantes' desperation to avoid relegation means they will likely push for a goal, making an away clean sheet unlikely.
Toulouse Clean Sheet
No
Nantes has a very poor defensive record at home, conceding 1.8 goals per game and keeping only 2 clean sheets in 15 home matches. Toulouse has a decent attack. While Toulouse's defense is better, Nantes' desperation to avoid relegation means they will likely push for a goal, making an away clean sheet unlikely.
Nantes vs Toulouse โ Key Stats
Stade de la Beaujoire
Home Ground
7:00 PM UTC
Sunday, May 17
Matchday kickoff
Ligue 1
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Nantes vs Toulouse
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A (No odds data available) Line movement: N/A (No odds data available)
AI Same Game Parlay โ Nantes vs Toulouse
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 16%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธNantes' desperation for points in a relegation battle could lead to an unexpected performance surge.
- โ ๏ธLack of current odds data makes it harder to gauge market sentiment and potential value.
- โ ๏ธFootball's inherent unpredictability, especially in late-season matches with high stakes.
Model Confidence
โก68%
Data quality: High - comprehensive team statistics and league standings are available.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of direct head-to-head statistics.
- โขLack of real-time odds data to calibrate against market sentiment.
- โขNo specific injury or squad news provided.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Nantes vs Toulouse โ FAQ
Nantes is in very poor form, with their last five league matches showing one draw and four losses (LDDDL). They are struggling significantly in the relegation zone.