BrasileirãoSaturday, May 23, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 20h 20m
Mirassol
vs
Fluminense
AI Pick: Fluminense Win
Confidence: 46%
1X2: Fluminense Win (46%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: No
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Bet Fluminense Win · AI confidence 46%
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Mirassol vs Fluminense Prediction
Fluminense is heavily favored to win this Brasileirão Serie A match against a struggling Mirassol side. While Fluminense has a considerable injury list, their superior league position, recent form, and deeper squad should allow them to overcome Mirassol, who are in the relegation zone and also dealing with key absences.
MATCH RESULT
Fluminense Win
Predicted: 0-2
46%
Fluminense, currently 3rd in the Brasileirão Serie A, is in significantly better form (WWLDW in last 5 league games) compared to Mirassol, who are struggling in 18th place (LWLLL in last 5 league games). While Fluminense faces notable injuries to key players like Martinelli, Lucho Acosta, and Germán Cano, their overall squad depth and quality are superior. Mirassol's home advantage is mitigated by their poor home record (1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses) and their own injury concerns. The API-Sports prediction also strongly favors Fluminense with a 'Win or draw' recommendation. Despite the historical head-to-head being split 1-1, current form and league position make Fluminense the clear favorite.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.0
60%
Mirassol's matches consistently feature under 2.5 goals, both in terms of goals scored (0 'over 2.5' in 12 games) and goals conceded (1 'over 2.5' in 12 games). Fluminense also rarely concedes more than 2.5 goals in their matches. Given Mirassol's struggling attack and Fluminense's ability to maintain a solid defense, a lower-scoring affair is anticipated. Mirassol has failed to score in 5 of their 12 matches, and with key attacking injuries, Fluminense is likely to keep a clean sheet, leading to a 'No' for Both Teams To Score.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
No
55%
Mirassol's matches consistently feature under 2.5 goals, both in terms of goals scored (0 'over 2.5' in 12 games) and goals conceded (1 'over 2.5' in 12 games). Fluminense also rarely concedes more than 2.5 goals in their matches. Given Mirassol's struggling attack and Fluminense's ability to maintain a solid defense, a lower-scoring affair is anticipated. Mirassol has failed to score in 5 of their 12 matches, and with key attacking injuries, Fluminense is likely to keep a clean sheet, leading to a 'No' for Both Teams To Score.
📊 More Markets
⚽ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
Even with a predicted score of 0-2, there will be at least two goals, making 'Over 1.5 Goals' a very likely outcome.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
Given the expectation of a lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 Goals) and Mirassol's consistent trend of matches with fewer than 3.5 goals, this is a confident pick.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams have shown a tendency to score or concede in the first half. Fluminense scores 8.7% in 0-15 min and 21.74% in 16-30 min, while Mirassol scores 27.27% in 16-30 min. This suggests a goal before halftime is likely.
First Team to Score
Away
Fluminense's superior attacking prowess and Mirassol's defensive struggles suggest that Fluminense is more likely to open the scoring.
Goal in Both Halves
No
With a predicted score of 0-2, it's less likely that goals will be scored in both halves, especially if Fluminense scores both goals in one half or if the scoring is limited.
Most Likely Score
0-2
Based on Fluminense's attacking average (1.8 goals per game) and Mirassol's defensive vulnerabilities, combined with Mirassol's low scoring output and Fluminense's potential for a clean sheet, a 0-2 victory for Fluminense is a plausible outcome.
BTTS 1st Half
No
Mirassol's attack is weak, and it's unlikely they will score in the first half against a strong Fluminense side. Fluminense might score, but both teams scoring in the first half is improbable.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Consistent with the 'Under 2.5 Goals' prediction, the expected goals for the match are likely to be below 2.5, reflecting fewer high-quality scoring opportunities.
🏆 Result Markets
Double Chance
X2
Fluminense is a strong favorite based on league position and form. The API-Sports prediction also explicitly recommends 'Draw or Fluminense', making this a very safe pick.
Draw No Bet
Away
Given Fluminense's superior form and league standing, they are highly favored to win. In the event of a draw, the bet would be voided, offering a safer option than a straight win.
HT/FT
Draw/Away
While Fluminense is expected to win, they might take some time to break down Mirassol's defense, leading to a draw at halftime before securing the win in the second half.
📊 Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Brasileirão matches often feature a decent number of corners due to attacking play down the wings and crosses. Both teams have formations that can generate corners.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Brazilian Serie A is known for its physicality and competitive nature, often resulting in a high number of cards. Mirassol averages 2.9 yellow cards per game, and Fluminense averages 2.15, making over 3.5 cards a highly probable outcome.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
Fluminense is an attacking team that takes a lot of shots, and Mirassol's defense can be vulnerable. Fluminense will likely generate a significant number of shots on target.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Fluminense is known for taking a high volume of shots, and Mirassol, playing at home, will also attempt to create chances, contributing to a higher total shot count.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Brazilian Serie A matches are often characterized by a high number of fouls due to the competitive and physical nature of the league.
Possession Winner
Away
Fluminense's tactical style often involves controlling possession, and against a struggling Mirassol side, they are expected to dominate the ball.
Mirassol Clean Sheet
No
Mirassol has failed to score in 5 of their 12 matches and faces significant attacking injuries. Fluminense, despite their own injuries, possesses a solid defense and is expected to keep a clean sheet against a struggling Mirassol attack.
Fluminense Clean Sheet
Yes
Mirassol has failed to score in 5 of their 12 matches and faces significant attacking injuries. Fluminense, despite their own injuries, possesses a solid defense and is expected to keep a clean sheet against a struggling Mirassol attack.
Mirassol vs Fluminense — Key Stats
Betting Angles — Mirassol vs Fluminense
💰 Sharp Money
Sharp money might lean towards a safer 'Draw No Bet: Away' or 'Double Chance: X2' for Fluminense, considering the injury risks and the away fixture. Line movement: Without initial odds, it's hard to predict line movement, but if Fluminense's injuries become more widely known or perceived as more impactful, the odds for a straight Fluminense win might drift slightly, while 'Draw or Away' odds would remain low.
AI Same Game Parlay — Mirassol vs Fluminense
🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 16%
$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- ⚠️Fluminense's significant injury list could lead to an underperformance.
- ⚠️Mirassol's home advantage, despite poor form, can sometimes lead to unexpected results.
- ⚠️The historical head-to-head being split 1-1 suggests Mirassol is capable of competing.
Model Confidence
⚡75%
Data quality: High - Comprehensive team statistics, league standings, recent form, and injury reports were available through Google Search and provided data.
Limitations
- •Lack of real-time bookmaker odds to calculate value bets.
- •Some injury return dates are estimates and could change.
- •Specific tactical lineups for the exact match date are not yet available, relying on recent formations.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Mirassol vs Fluminense — FAQ
Mirassol is in very poor form, currently 18th in the Brasileirão Serie A with a record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses in 12 matches. Their last five league games show a form of 'LWLLL'.