Liga MXEstadio El EncantoSaturday, Apr 18, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC
Kickoff in 6d 12h 18m
Mazatlán
vs
Club Queretaro
AI Pick: Mazatlán Win
Confidence: 60%
1X2: Mazatlán Win (60%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: No
Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro Prediction
This Liga MX clash features two teams at the bottom of the Clausura standings, Mazatlán (17th) and Club Queretaro (16th). Mazatlán holds a slight home advantage, particularly against Queretaro's very poor away record. The match is expected to be a low-scoring, tight affair, with Mazatlán narrowly favored to secure a win.
MATCH RESULT
Mazatlán Win
Predicted: 1-0
60%
Mazatlán, despite their overall poor league position, has a noticeable home advantage compared to Club Queretaro's abysmal away form. Mazatlán has managed 2 wins and 1 draw in 6 home games in the Clausura, scoring 9 goals. In contrast, Queretaro has failed to win any of their 6 away games in the Clausura, managing only 3 draws and scoring a mere 2 goals. While both teams are struggling, Mazatlán's ability to score at home against Queretaro's severe lack of away goals points towards a narrow home victory.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 1.8
60%
Both teams exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring games based on their 2025 season statistics, with a high percentage of their matches finishing with Under 2.5 goals. Mazatlán's home average is 1.6 goals for and 1.9 against, while Queretaro's away average is 0.7 goals for and 1.9 against. Queretaro's severe struggle to score away from home (2 goals in 6 Clausura away games) makes BTTS 'No' a strong prediction. The expected total goals based on Clausura averages is around 1.8, reinforcing the 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' picks.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
No
55%
Both teams exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring games based on their 2025 season statistics, with a high percentage of their matches finishing with Under 2.5 goals. Mazatlán's home average is 1.6 goals for and 1.9 against, while Queretaro's away average is 0.7 goals for and 1.9 against. Queretaro's severe struggle to score away from home (2 goals in 6 Clausura away games) makes BTTS 'No' a strong prediction. The expected total goals based on Clausura averages is around 1.8, reinforcing the 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' picks.
📊 More Markets
⚽ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
While 'Under 2.5 Goals' is predicted, the average expected goals (around 1.8) still makes 'Over 1.5 Goals' more likely than not. A 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline would still hit the over.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
Given the strong indication for 'Under 2.5 Goals' and the overall low-scoring nature of both teams' matches, it is highly improbable that this game will see 4 or more goals.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams concede a significant number of goals in the first half (Mazatlán 30, Queretaro 23 in 2025 season). While overall scoring is low, a single goal in the first 45 minutes is a common occurrence in Liga MX.
First Team to Score
Home
Mazatlán has a much stronger home scoring record (1.6 goals/game) and has not failed to score at home in the 2025 season. Queretaro's away scoring is very poor (0.7 goals/game) and they have failed to score in 8 of 15 away games.
Goal in Both Halves
No
With a prediction of 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No', it's less likely that goals will be scored in both halves, especially if one team struggles to find the net at all.
Most Likely Score
1-0
Based on the prediction of a narrow home win and the strong 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' analysis, a 1-0 scoreline for Mazatlán is the most probable exact score.
BTTS 1st Half
No
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates and overall offensive struggles. It's highly unlikely that both teams will manage to score in the first 45 minutes.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Based on the predicted low-scoring nature of the match (1-0 score, Under 2.5 Goals), the expected goals (xG) for both teams combined are highly likely to be below 2.5, indicating few clear-cut chances.
🏆 Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
Mazatlán's home advantage combined with Queretaro's inability to win away (0 wins in 6 Clausura away games) makes a home win or draw a very safe bet. The API-Sports prediction also heavily leans towards 1X.
Draw No Bet
Home
Mazatlán is the slight favorite at home, and Queretaro's away form is very weak. This market provides security in case of a draw, returning the stake.
HT/FT
Draw/Home
Both teams tend to score/concede goals later in halves. A cautious start leading to a draw at halftime, followed by Mazatlán capitalizing on their home advantage in the second half, is a plausible scenario for a narrow home win.
📊 Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Under 9.5
Matches between two lower-table teams often lack sustained attacking pressure leading to fewer corners. Without specific corner stats, a conservative estimate below the league average is prudent.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Liga MX matches are typically competitive and can be physical. Both Mazatlán (avg 2.5 yellow cards/game) and Queretaro (avg 2.7 yellow cards/game) accumulate a fair number of cards. A relegation-zone clash will likely see increased intensity and fouls.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Under 8.5
Given both teams' struggles in attack and overall low goal output, it's unlikely they will generate a high volume of quality shots on target. Queretaro's away scoring record is particularly poor.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Under 22.5
Given the offensive struggles of both teams and the expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair, a high volume of shots is not anticipated. Quality over quantity will likely be the focus, if any.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Liga MX matches are often characterized by a high number of fouls, especially in games between teams struggling at the bottom of the table where intensity and desperation can lead to more stoppages.
Possession Winner
Home
Mazatlán, playing at home, will likely try to dictate the tempo and control possession against a visiting team that tends to be more reactive, especially given their poor away form.
Mazatlán Clean Sheet
Yes
Queretaro has a very poor away scoring record, failing to score in 8 of their 15 away games in the 2025 season and only 2 goals in 6 Clausura away games. This makes a Mazatlán clean sheet at home a strong possibility. Mazatlán, however, has failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 home games in the 2025 season, but Queretaro's attack is weak enough to break this trend. Mazatlán has not failed to score at home in the 2025 season, making an away clean sheet for Queretaro highly unlikely.
Club Queretaro Clean Sheet
No
Queretaro has a very poor away scoring record, failing to score in 8 of their 15 away games in the 2025 season and only 2 goals in 6 Clausura away games. This makes a Mazatlán clean sheet at home a strong possibility. Mazatlán, however, has failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 home games in the 2025 season, but Queretaro's attack is weak enough to break this trend. Mazatlán has not failed to score at home in the 2025 season, making an away clean sheet for Queretaro highly unlikely.
Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro — Key Stats
Estadio El Encanto
Home Ground
1:00 AM UTC
Saturday, Apr 18
Matchday kickoff
Liga MX
Soccer
Betting Angles — Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro
✅ Draw: Draw
While Mazatlán is favored, both teams are low in the standings and have a history of draws. Queretaro has drawn 3 of their 6 away Clausura games, and Mazatlán has a high number of draws in the previous season. The odds for a draw (3.4) offer good value if the match turns into a cagey affair between two struggling sides, which is a significant possibility given their defensive solidity (or lack thereof) and offensive struggles.
💰 Sharp Money
Without access to live sharp money data, it's difficult to ascertain specific movements. However, given the odds and team forms, sharp money might be looking at the Draw market or potentially 'Under 2.5 Goals' due to the strong statistical backing. Line movement: The current odds (Home 2.18, Draw 3.4, Away 3.15) suggest Mazatlán is a slight favorite. Any significant movement towards a draw or away win would indicate a shift in perception or new information.
AI Same Game Parlay — Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro
🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 21%
$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
High Risk- ⚠️Both teams are in poor form, making the match inherently unpredictable.
- ⚠️The high probability of a draw (as per API-Sports and historical data) introduces volatility.
- ⚠️Low-scoring games can be decided by a single moment of brilliance or error, increasing variance.
- ⚠️Lack of specific H2H data for recent seasons adds uncertainty.
Model Confidence
⚡70%
Data quality: High. Comprehensive team statistics for the 2025 season and current Clausura standings were available, providing a solid foundation for analysis.
Limitations
- •Lack of specific head-to-head data for recent seasons.
- •Absence of injury reports, which could significantly alter team strength.
- •No xG data provided, limiting advanced offensive/defensive efficiency analysis.
- •Player-specific form and tactical setups are not detailed.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro — FAQ
A narrow home win for Mazatlán (e.g., 1-0) is the most likely outcome, primarily due to Queretaro's extremely poor away form and Mazatlán's slight home advantage.