La LigaEstadi Mallorca Son MoixSunday, May 10, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 13h 6m

Mallorca
vs

Villarreal
AI Pick: Villarreal Win
Confidence: 58%
1X2: Villarreal Win (58%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: No
Mallorca vs Villarreal Prediction
Villarreal, sitting 3rd in La Liga, travels to face 15th-placed Mallorca. While Villarreal is the clear favorite based on league standing, overall form, and historical H2H, Mallorca's home advantage and recent resilience suggest a potentially tight encounter. API-Sports predicts a high chance of a draw or a Villarreal win, with a low-scoring game expected.
MATCH RESULT
Villarreal Win
Predicted: 0-1
58%
Villarreal, currently 3rd in La Liga, faces 15th-placed Mallorca. Despite Mallorca's decent home record (8 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses), Villarreal's overall quality and superior league position make them the favorite. API-Sports prediction also favors Villarreal with a 'Win or draw' advice and a 45% chance for an away win, matching the 45% for a draw. While a draw is highly probable, the guidelines instruct to pick a side when in doubt between a draw and a slight favorite. Villarreal's strong H2H advantage (93% away) further supports an away win. The confidence is tempered due to Mallorca's home advantage and the high draw probability indicated by API-Sports.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 1.0
60%
API-Sports explicitly predicts 'Home -2.5' and 'Away -2.5' goals, strongly indicating a low-scoring affair. Both teams' individual 'under_over' stats for 2.5 goals are heavily skewed towards 'under'. Mallorca's home average is 1.6 goals for and 1.2 against, while Villarreal's away average is 1.4 goals for and 1.4 against. Given the predicted 0-1 scoreline, 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' are consistent.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
No
55%
API-Sports explicitly predicts 'Home -2.5' and 'Away -2.5' goals, strongly indicating a low-scoring affair. Both teams' individual 'under_over' stats for 2.5 goals are heavily skewed towards 'under'. Mallorca's home average is 1.6 goals for and 1.2 against, while Villarreal's away average is 1.4 goals for and 1.4 against. Given the predicted 0-1 scoreline, 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' are consistent.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Under 1.5
Consistent with the predicted 0-1 scoreline and the strong indication from API-Sports for a very low-scoring match ('Home -2.5' and 'Away -2.5' goals).
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
With a strong prediction for 'Under 2.5 Goals' and a low-scoring game, 'Under 3.5 Goals' is a highly confident pick.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams have shown capability to score and concede in the first half. Villarreal has scored 29 goals in the first half this season, indicating an early attacking threat.
First Team to Score
Away
As Villarreal is the favored team and predicted to win 0-1, they are the most likely to open the scoring.
Goal in Both Halves
No
Given the expectation of a low-scoring game (0-1), it's less likely that goals will be scored in both halves.
Most Likely Score
0-1
This score aligns with a Villarreal win, 'Under 2.5 Goals', and 'BTTS No', reflecting a tight, low-scoring match where the away side edges it.
BTTS 1st Half
No
Consistent with the overall low-scoring prediction and 'BTTS No' for the full match, it's unlikely both teams will score in the first half.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Aligns with the prediction for 'Under 2.5 Goals' and the API-Sports' low goal expectation, suggesting fewer high-quality chances.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
X2
API-Sports explicitly recommends 'Double chance : draw or Villarreal', which aligns with Villarreal being the favorite and the high probability of a draw.
Draw No Bet
Away
As Villarreal is predicted to win, 'Away' in the Draw No Bet market is the logical choice, offering a refund if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Draw/Away
Given Mallorca's strong home defense and the expectation of a tight game, a draw at halftime is plausible, with Villarreal securing the win in the second half.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
La Liga matches typically see a moderate number of corners. Both teams will likely push for attacks, leading to deflections and clearances.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
La Liga is known for its competitive and often physical nature, leading to a higher card count. Both teams have accumulated a significant number of yellow cards this season (Mallorca 72, Villarreal 69).
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
Villarreal's attacking prowess and Mallorca's need to defend at home, potentially leading to counter-attacks, suggest a reasonable number of shots on target combined.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Villarreal will likely dominate possession and take many shots, while Mallorca will also attempt to create chances, contributing to a decent total shot count.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
La Liga matches are often characterized by a high number of fouls, especially in competitive mid-table clashes or when a stronger team visits a defensive home side.
Possession Winner
Away
Villarreal, as a top-tier team, typically dominates possession against lower-ranked opponents, even when playing away.
Mallorca Clean Sheet
No
Given the prediction of a Villarreal win with a 0-1 scoreline and 'BTTS No', Villarreal is expected to keep a clean sheet. Mallorca has only managed 3 clean sheets at home this season.
Villarreal Clean Sheet
Yes
Given the prediction of a Villarreal win with a 0-1 scoreline and 'BTTS No', Villarreal is expected to keep a clean sheet. Mallorca has only managed 3 clean sheets at home this season.
Mallorca vs Villarreal โ Key Stats
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Home Ground
4:00 PM UTC
Sunday, May 10
Matchday kickoff
La Liga
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Mallorca vs Villarreal
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Without odds, it's impossible to track sharp money. However, given the API-Sports prediction, smart money would likely be on the 'X2' double chance or 'Under 2.5 Goals'. Line movement: N/A - No odds provided.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Mallorca vs Villarreal
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 20%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธMallorca's strong home record could lead to an upset or a draw.
- โ ๏ธThe high draw probability (45%) indicated by API-Sports makes a straight away win a riskier pick.
- โ ๏ธLack of specific odds data makes value betting difficult and relies solely on statistical models.
Model Confidence
โก65%
Data quality: High - Comprehensive team statistics, standings, and API-Sports predictions are available.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of real-time bookmaker odds limits value bet identification.
- โขLack of specific injury reports for both teams.
- โขAPI-Sports comparison showing conflicting signals (e.g., Form 50/50 but H2H 7/93).
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Mallorca vs Villarreal โ FAQ
Based on current form, league standings, and H2H, Villarreal is the favorite to win, although a draw is also considered a highly probable outcome.