La LigaLa LigaEstadi Mallorca Son Moix

Sunday, May 10, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 13h 6m

Mallorca

Mallorca

vs

Villarreal

Villarreal

23%
15%
62%
MallorcaDrawVillarreal

AI Pick: Villarreal Win

Confidence: 58%

1X2: Villarreal Win (58%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

Mallorca vs Villarreal Prediction

Villarreal, sitting 3rd in La Liga, travels to face 15th-placed Mallorca. While Villarreal is the clear favorite based on league standing, overall form, and historical H2H, Mallorca's home advantage and recent resilience suggest a potentially tight encounter. API-Sports predicts a high chance of a draw or a Villarreal win, with a low-scoring game expected.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Villarreal Win

Predicted: 0-1

58%

Villarreal, currently 3rd in La Liga, faces 15th-placed Mallorca. Despite Mallorca's decent home record (8 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses), Villarreal's overall quality and superior league position make them the favorite. API-Sports prediction also favors Villarreal with a 'Win or draw' advice and a 45% chance for an away win, matching the 45% for a draw. While a draw is highly probable, the guidelines instruct to pick a side when in doubt between a draw and a slight favorite. Villarreal's strong H2H advantage (93% away) further supports an away win. The confidence is tempered due to Mallorca's home advantage and the high draw probability indicated by API-Sports.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 1.0

60%

API-Sports explicitly predicts 'Home -2.5' and 'Away -2.5' goals, strongly indicating a low-scoring affair. Both teams' individual 'under_over' stats for 2.5 goals are heavily skewed towards 'under'. Mallorca's home average is 1.6 goals for and 1.2 against, while Villarreal's away average is 1.4 goals for and 1.4 against. Given the predicted 0-1 scoreline, 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' are consistent.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

API-Sports explicitly predicts 'Home -2.5' and 'Away -2.5' goals, strongly indicating a low-scoring affair. Both teams' individual 'under_over' stats for 2.5 goals are heavily skewed towards 'under'. Mallorca's home average is 1.6 goals for and 1.2 against, while Villarreal's away average is 1.4 goals for and 1.4 against. Given the predicted 0-1 scoreline, 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' are consistent.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Under 1.5

60%

Consistent with the predicted 0-1 scoreline and the strong indication from API-Sports for a very low-scoring match ('Home -2.5' and 'Away -2.5' goals).

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

80%

With a strong prediction for 'Under 2.5 Goals' and a low-scoring game, 'Under 3.5 Goals' is a highly confident pick.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

70%

Both teams have shown capability to score and concede in the first half. Villarreal has scored 29 goals in the first half this season, indicating an early attacking threat.

First Team to Score

Away

65%

As Villarreal is the favored team and predicted to win 0-1, they are the most likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

No

60%

Given the expectation of a low-scoring game (0-1), it's less likely that goals will be scored in both halves.

Most Likely Score

0-1

45%

This score aligns with a Villarreal win, 'Under 2.5 Goals', and 'BTTS No', reflecting a tight, low-scoring match where the away side edges it.

BTTS 1st Half

No

65%

Consistent with the overall low-scoring prediction and 'BTTS No' for the full match, it's unlikely both teams will score in the first half.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

70%

Aligns with the prediction for 'Under 2.5 Goals' and the API-Sports' low goal expectation, suggesting fewer high-quality chances.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

85%

API-Sports explicitly recommends 'Double chance : draw or Villarreal', which aligns with Villarreal being the favorite and the high probability of a draw.

Draw No Bet

Away

58%

As Villarreal is predicted to win, 'Away' in the Draw No Bet market is the logical choice, offering a refund if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

50%

Given Mallorca's strong home defense and the expectation of a tight game, a draw at halftime is plausible, with Villarreal securing the win in the second half.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

60%

La Liga matches typically see a moderate number of corners. Both teams will likely push for attacks, leading to deflections and clearances.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

75%

La Liga is known for its competitive and often physical nature, leading to a higher card count. Both teams have accumulated a significant number of yellow cards this season (Mallorca 72, Villarreal 69).

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

60%

Villarreal's attacking prowess and Mallorca's need to defend at home, potentially leading to counter-attacks, suggest a reasonable number of shots on target combined.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

Villarreal will likely dominate possession and take many shots, while Mallorca will also attempt to create chances, contributing to a decent total shot count.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

La Liga matches are often characterized by a high number of fouls, especially in competitive mid-table clashes or when a stronger team visits a defensive home side.

Possession Winner

Away

70%

Villarreal, as a top-tier team, typically dominates possession against lower-ranked opponents, even when playing away.

Mallorca Clean Sheet

No

65%

Given the prediction of a Villarreal win with a 0-1 scoreline and 'BTTS No', Villarreal is expected to keep a clean sheet. Mallorca has only managed 3 clean sheets at home this season.

Villarreal Clean Sheet

Yes

65%

Given the prediction of a Villarreal win with a 0-1 scoreline and 'BTTS No', Villarreal is expected to keep a clean sheet. Mallorca has only managed 3 clean sheets at home this season.

Mallorca vs Villarreal โ€” Key Stats

MallorcaStatVillarreal
15th League Positionโœ… 3rd
34 Pointsโœ… 61
31 Games Played31
9 Winsโœ… 19
7 Drawsโœ… 4
39 Goals Scoredโœ… 56
48 Goals Concededโœ… 36
1.3 Goals Per Gameโœ… 1.8
4 Clean Sheetsโœ… 8
DWLWW โœ…Recent FormWDWLW
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Home Ground

โฐ

4:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 10

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

La Liga

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Mallorca vs Villarreal

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without odds, it's impossible to track sharp money. However, given the API-Sports prediction, smart money would likely be on the 'X2' double chance or 'Under 2.5 Goals'. Line movement: N/A - No odds provided.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Mallorca vs Villarreal

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Villarreal Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 20%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธMallorca's strong home record could lead to an upset or a draw.
  • โš ๏ธThe high draw probability (45%) indicated by API-Sports makes a straight away win a riskier pick.
  • โš ๏ธLack of specific odds data makes value betting difficult and relies solely on statistical models.

Model Confidence

โšก65%

Data quality: High - Comprehensive team statistics, standings, and API-Sports predictions are available.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of real-time bookmaker odds limits value bet identification.
  • โ€ขLack of specific injury reports for both teams.
  • โ€ขAPI-Sports comparison showing conflicting signals (e.g., Form 50/50 but H2H 7/93).

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Mallorca vs Villarreal โ€” FAQ

Based on current form, league standings, and H2H, Villarreal is the favorite to win, although a draw is also considered a highly probable outcome.