La LigaLa LigaEstadi Mallorca Son Moix

Tuesday, Apr 21, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 11d 0h 34m

Mallorca

Mallorca

vs

Valencia

Valencia

68%
13%
19%
MallorcaDrawValencia

AI Pick: Mallorca Win

Confidence: 65%

1X2: Mallorca Win (65%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Mallorca vs Valencia Prediction

This La Liga clash pits Mallorca, strong at home, against a struggling Valencia side on the road. Mallorca's home advantage and Valencia's defensive vulnerabilities away from home point towards a narrow home victory. Expect a tactical, low-scoring encounter typical of La Liga's mid-table battles.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Mallorca Win

Predicted: 1-0

65%

Mallorca boasts a significantly stronger home record (7 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses) compared to their abysmal away form. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded at home. Valencia, on the other hand, struggles heavily on the road with only 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, averaging a mere 0.9 goals scored and conceding 1.8 goals per away game. While both teams are in the lower half of the table, Mallorca's home advantage and Valencia's poor away defense make a home win the most probable outcome, likely in a low-scoring affair.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.2

60%

Both teams exhibit a tendency for low-scoring matches overall, with Mallorca's games averaging 2.8 goals and Valencia's 2.63. While Mallorca's home scoring is decent (1.5 avg), Valencia's away scoring is poor (0.9 avg), and their away defense is leaky (1.8 avg). This suggests a tight game with limited goals, leaning towards Under 2.5. However, both teams have a high propensity to score and concede at home/away respectively (Mallorca home BTTS Yes: 73%, Valencia away BTTS Yes: 53%), making BTTS 'Yes' a reasonable prediction despite the low total goal expectation. The total goals prediction of 2.2 is derived from averaging Mallorca's home GF (1.5) + Valencia's away GA (1.8) and Mallorca's home GA (1.3) + Valencia's away GF (0.9), then averaging those two sums.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Both teams exhibit a tendency for low-scoring matches overall, with Mallorca's games averaging 2.8 goals and Valencia's 2.63. While Mallorca's home scoring is decent (1.5 avg), Valencia's away scoring is poor (0.9 avg), and their away defense is leaky (1.8 avg). This suggests a tight game with limited goals, leaning towards Under 2.5. However, both teams have a high propensity to score and concede at home/away respectively (Mallorca home BTTS Yes: 73%, Valencia away BTTS Yes: 53%), making BTTS 'Yes' a reasonable prediction despite the low total goal expectation. The total goals prediction of 2.2 is derived from averaging Mallorca's home GF (1.5) + Valencia's away GA (1.8) and Mallorca's home GA (1.3) + Valencia's away GF (0.9), then averaging those two sums.

📊 More Markets

Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

80%

Despite the prediction for Under 2.5 goals, the average total goals in matches involving these teams (2.8 for Mallorca, 2.63 for Valencia) still makes two or more goals a very likely occurrence.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

85%

Given the low-scoring nature of both teams' matches and the expectation of a tight La Liga encounter, it is highly improbable that four or more goals will be scored.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

65%

While a low-scoring game is expected, a single goal in the first half is still a common occurrence in football. Mallorca scores 38.9% of their goals in the first half, and Valencia concedes 35.6% in the first half, indicating a reasonable chance for an early breakthrough.

First Team to Score

Home

65%

Mallorca's home advantage and superior home scoring record (1.5 goals per game) make them more likely to open the scoring against a Valencia side that struggles to score away (0.9 goals per game).

Goal in Both Halves

No

60%

Considering the expectation of a low-scoring game and the tendency for goals to be concentrated in one half, particularly the second, it's more likely that goals will not be scored in both halves.

Most Likely Score

1-0

55%

Aligning with a predicted home win and an 'Under 2.5 Goals' scenario, a 1-0 victory for Mallorca is a common outcome for such matches, reflecting their defensive solidity at home and Valencia's struggles to score away.

BTTS 1st Half

No

80%

Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, and a tight, tactical opening to the game is expected. It's highly unlikely that both teams will score before halftime.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

70%

Given the expectation of a low-scoring match with limited clear-cut chances, the cumulative Expected Goals (xG) for both teams combined is likely to be below 2.5.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

85%

Mallorca's strong home form (7 wins, 4 draws) against Valencia's weak away form (9 losses) makes it highly probable that Mallorca will at least avoid defeat.

Draw No Bet

Home

70%

With Mallorca being the stronger side at home and Valencia struggling on the road, a home win is the most likely outcome. The Draw No Bet market provides a safety net in case of a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Home

50%

Many La Liga matches, especially between evenly matched teams or those with strong home defenses, tend to be tight in the first half before the home team finds a breakthrough in the second. This aligns with Mallorca's ability to grind out results at home.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

60%

La Liga matches typically see a fair number of corners. With both teams likely to push for goals, especially Mallorca at home, and Valencia needing to respond, sustained pressure could lead to more corner situations.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

75%

La Liga is known for its physicality and competitive nature, often resulting in numerous bookings. Mallorca averages 2.36 yellow cards per game, and Valencia averages 2.0. A combined average of 4.36 makes Over 3.5 cards a highly probable outcome.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Under 8.5

60%

Given the expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair between two mid-to-lower table teams, clear-cut chances might be limited, leading to fewer shots on target overall.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Under 22.5

60%

In a match expected to be tight and low-scoring, with both teams focusing on defensive solidity, there will likely be fewer overall shots attempted.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

70%

La Liga matches are often characterized by a high number of fouls due to their competitive and physical nature. A mid-table clash with points at stake will likely be no exception.

Possession Winner

Home

55%

Home teams generally tend to have a slight edge in possession, especially when looking to control the game and dictate play against an away side that might be more reactive.

Mallorca Clean Sheet

Yes

60%

Valencia has a poor away scoring record (0.9 goals per game) and failed to score in 5 out of 15 away matches (33%). Mallorca's home defense is decent, conceding 1.3 goals per game. This makes a home clean sheet plausible, while Valencia is unlikely to keep a clean sheet given Mallorca's home scoring.

Valencia Clean Sheet

No

60%

Valencia has a poor away scoring record (0.9 goals per game) and failed to score in 5 out of 15 away matches (33%). Mallorca's home defense is decent, conceding 1.3 goals per game. This makes a home clean sheet plausible, while Valencia is unlikely to keep a clean sheet given Mallorca's home scoring.

Mallorca vs Valencia Key Stats

MallorcaStatValencia
16th League Position14th
31 Points35
30 Games Played30
8 Wins9
7 Draws8
36 Goals Scored34
48 Goals Conceded45
1.2 Goals Per Game1.1
3 Clean Sheets8
LDWLW Recent FormWWLWL
🏟️

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Home Ground

5:00 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr 21

Matchday kickoff

La Liga

Soccer

Betting Angles Mallorca vs Valencia

⚠️ Match Result: Mallorca to Win

Mallorca's strong home form (46.7% win rate) against Valencia's weak away form (20% win rate) suggests their true probability of winning is higher than the implied odds, offering a positive edge.

⚠️ Double Chance: Mallorca or Draw (1X)

Given Mallorca's solid home record and Valencia's struggles on the road, the probability of Mallorca avoiding defeat is very high. The combined model probability for a home win or draw (80%) significantly exceeds the implied probability from the odds, presenting a strong value bet.

💰 Sharp Money

The API's prediction of 45% for a draw indicates that sharp money might be backing the draw or a double chance (1X), recognizing the competitive nature and potential for a stalemate. Line movement: Given the initial odds, any significant movement towards a Mallorca win or a draw would indicate increased confidence from professional bettors in those outcomes. A stable line suggests balanced betting or a lack of strong conviction on one side.

AI Same Game Parlay Mallorca vs Valencia

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Mallorca Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 23%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • ⚠️Both teams are in the lower half of the table, making the match highly competitive and potentially unpredictable.
  • ⚠️La Liga matches can often be cagey, leading to unexpected results or draws.
  • ⚠️Valencia's ability to pull off an upset away from home, despite their poor record, cannot be entirely discounted.
  • ⚠️The low-scoring nature means a single moment of brilliance or error could swing the game.

Model Confidence

70%

Data quality: High - comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and recent form are available.

Limitations

  • Lack of specific head-to-head records between the two teams.
  • Absence of real-time injury news or player suspensions.
  • No detailed xG, shots, or corner statistics for individual teams, relying on general league averages or inferences.
  • The inherent unpredictability of football, especially in mid-table clashes where motivation can vary.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Mallorca vs Valencia FAQ

Mallorca has a strong home record this season with 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses in 15 home matches, scoring 23 goals and conceding 19.