Ligue 1Ligue 1Stade du Moustoir

Sunday, May 17, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 14h 52m

Lorient

Lorient

vs

Le Havre

Le Havre

51%
20%
29%
LorientDrawLe Havre

AI Pick: Lorient Win

Confidence: 47%

1X2: Lorient Win (47%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

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Lorient vs Le Havre Prediction

Lorient, with a strong home record and better league position, is heavily favored against a struggling Le Havre side that performs poorly away from home. Expect Lorient to control the game and secure a victory.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Lorient Win

Predicted: 2-0

47%

Lorient boasts a formidable home record this season (8 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss in 15 games), contrasting sharply with Le Havre's dismal away form (1 win, 5 draws, 9 losses in 15 games). Lorient sits higher in the league standings (9th vs 14th) and has shown slightly better recent form (WLDLW vs DDDLD). The API-Sports comparison also heavily favors Lorient (59.8% total, 75% Poisson). Given Lorient's strong home advantage and Le Havre's struggles on the road, a home victory is the most probable outcome.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.7

60%

Lorient's home matches average 3.27 goals per game (29 for, 20 against in 15 games), indicating a tendency for higher-scoring affairs. While Le Havre's away matches average a lower 2.27 goals per game, their defense concedes 1.7 goals per away game. Lorient's strong home attack (1.9 goals/game) combined with Le Havre's weak away attack (0.6 goals/game) suggests Lorient will score multiple goals while Le Havre may struggle to find the net. This points to Over 2.5 total goals and BTTS 'No', as Le Havre has failed to score in 8 of their 15 away matches.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Lorient's home matches average 3.27 goals per game (29 for, 20 against in 15 games), indicating a tendency for higher-scoring affairs. While Le Havre's away matches average a lower 2.27 goals per game, their defense concedes 1.7 goals per away game. Lorient's strong home attack (1.9 goals/game) combined with Le Havre's weak away attack (0.6 goals/game) suggests Lorient will score multiple goals while Le Havre may struggle to find the net. This points to Over 2.5 total goals and BTTS 'No', as Le Havre has failed to score in 8 of their 15 away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

35%

With an expected total of 2.7 goals for the match, scoring at least two goals is highly probable.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

47%

While Lorient's home games can be high-scoring, Le Havre's low-scoring away record (2.27 goals/game) and the overall average of 2.7 goals for this fixture suggest that going over 3.5 goals is less likely.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

35%

Both teams have shown a propensity to score and concede in the first half, with Lorient scoring 18 first-half goals and Le Havre 13 first-half goals this season. Over 0.5 first half goals is highly likely.

First Team to Score

Home

47%

Lorient's superior home attack (1.9 goals/game) and Le Havre's difficulty scoring away (0.6 goals/game) make Lorient the clear favorite to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

46%

Lorient's attacking prowess at home and Le Havre's defensive issues suggest goals could be spread across both halves, especially if Lorient takes an early lead and continues to press.

Most Likely Score

2-0

46%

Based on Lorient's strong home attack (1.9 goals/game) and Le Havre's weak away attack (0.6 goals/game) combined with their high away concessions (1.7 goals/game), a 2-0 victory for Lorient is a plausible exact score.

BTTS 1st Half

No

47%

Le Havre's low away scoring average (0.6 goals/game) and tendency to struggle in the first half make it unlikely for them to score before the break, leading to a 'No' prediction for BTTS in the first half.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

46%

Based on the predicted total goals of 2.7 and the attacking potential of Lorient at home, the expected goals for the match are likely to be above 2.5.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

35%

Given Lorient's strong home record (8 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss) and Le Havre's poor away form (1 win, 5 draws, 9 losses), a Lorient win or draw (1X) is a very safe and confident pick.

Draw No Bet

Home

47%

Betting on Lorient in a Draw No Bet market provides a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw, while still capitalizing on a Lorient win, which is the most probable outcome.

HT/FT

Home/Home

46%

Lorient's home dominance and tendency to score throughout the match, particularly in the first half (21.95% of goals in 31-45 min), combined with Le Havre's struggles, suggest Lorient could be leading at both half-time and full-time.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

46%

Lorient's attacking style at home and Le Havre's defensive posture are likely to generate a fair number of corners. Ligue 1 matches typically see around 9-10 corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

47%

Both teams average over 1.6 yellow cards per game (Lorient 1.67, Le Havre 1.87), making Over 3.5 cards a reasonable expectation for a competitive Ligue 1 match.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

46%

Lorient's strong home attack (1.9 goals/game) and Le Havre's defensive vulnerabilities away from home (1.7 goals conceded/game) suggest a good number of shots on target, primarily from the home side.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Lorient's attacking intent at home and Le Havre's need to defend will likely result in a combined total of over 22.5 shots, including blocked shots and off-target attempts.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Ligue 1 matches are generally physical, and a competitive game between these two teams is expected to generate a decent number of fouls.

Possession Winner

Home

46%

Home teams typically enjoy more possession, especially when they are the stronger side and are expected to dictate play against a struggling away team.

Lorient Clean Sheet

Yes

47%

Lorient has kept 4 clean sheets at home in 15 games. More significantly, Le Havre has failed to score in 8 of their 15 away matches (53.3%), indicating a strong likelihood of Lorient keeping a clean sheet. Le Havre's poor away scoring record makes an away clean sheet highly improbable.

Le Havre Clean Sheet

No

47%

Lorient has kept 4 clean sheets at home in 15 games. More significantly, Le Havre has failed to score in 8 of their 15 away matches (53.3%), indicating a strong likelihood of Lorient keeping a clean sheet. Le Havre's poor away scoring record makes an away clean sheet highly improbable.

Lorient vs Le Havre โ€” Key Stats

LorientStatLe Havre
9th โœ…League Position14th
41 โœ…Points30
30 Games Played30
10 โœ…Wins6
11 โœ…Draws12
40 โœ…Goals Scored25
44 Goals Concededโœ… 38
1.3 โœ…Goals Per Game0.8
6 Clean Sheetsโœ… 7
WLDLW โœ…Recent FormDLDDD
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Stade du Moustoir

Home Ground

โฐ

7:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 17

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Ligue 1

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Lorient vs Le Havre

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without live odds, it's impossible to track sharp money movement. However, smart money would likely be on Lorient to win outright or cover a modest handicap. Line movement: If lines were available, we would expect the odds for a Lorient win to shorten as kick-off approaches, reflecting confidence in their home form.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Lorient vs Le Havre

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Lorient Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 16%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
4/10
  • โš ๏ธLigue 1 can be unpredictable, even with clear favorites.
  • โš ๏ธLe Havre's tendency to draw (12 draws in 30 games) could lead to an unexpected shared point.
  • โš ๏ธLack of specific H2H data means historical match-up dynamics are not fully accounted for.

Model Confidence

โšก70%

Data quality: High. Comprehensive team statistics, standings, and API-Sports predictions were available.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of real-time betting odds limits value bet identification.
  • โ€ขLack of specific head-to-head match history data.
  • โ€ขNo injury reports were provided, which could impact team strength.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Lorient vs Le Havre โ€” FAQ

Lorient has a strong home record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and only 1 loss in 15 matches at Stade du Moustoir.