Lille vs Nice Prediction

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

With a predicted total of 2.9 goals for the match, it is highly probable that at least two goals will be scored. Lille's attacking prowess at home combined with Nice's defensive frailties supports this pick.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

While the match average is close to 2.9, both teams individually have a low frequency of matches with over 3.5 goals (Lille 4/27 for scoring, 1/27 for conceding; Nice 1/27 for scoring, 5/27 for conceding). A 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline would keep it under 3.5.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

Lille has scored 11 goals in the first half this season, while Nice has conceded 21 goals in the first half. This indicates a high probability of at least one goal being scored before halftime.

First Team to Score

Home

Lille is the stronger attacking side, playing at home, and Nice tends to concede early goals. Therefore, Lille is the most likely team to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

Given Lille's ability to score throughout the game (51.16% of goals in 76-90 min) and Nice's defensive vulnerabilities in both halves, it's reasonable to expect goals in both periods of the match.

Most Likely Score

2-0

Based on Lille's average home scoring (1.5 goals) and Nice's high away concession rate (2.1 goals), combined with Nice's difficulty in scoring away, a 2-0 victory for Lille aligns well with the statistical trends.

BTTS 1st Half

No

Nice's away scoring record is weak, and Lille's defense is generally solid. It's unlikely that both teams will find the net in the first 45 minutes.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

While specific xG data isn't provided, the combined average goals for both teams (Lille 1.6 for, 1.3 against; Nice 1.2 for, 1.9 against) suggests a match with a total expected goal count around 2.9-3.0, making Over 2.5 xG a plausible outcome.

Double Chance

1X

Lille is a strong favorite at home, and their form is significantly better than Nice's. A win or a draw for Lille is the most statistically probable outcome.

Draw No Bet

Home

Given Lille's strong home advantage and superior overall performance, they are heavily favored to win. The Draw No Bet market offers a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Home/Home

Lille is expected to dominate from the start, especially considering Nice's tendency to concede early (18.52% in 0-15 min). A strong first-half performance from Lille leading to a halftime lead and ultimately a full-time win is a plausible scenario.

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

Ligue 1 matches typically see a moderate number of corners. With Lille expected to attack frequently at home and Nice likely to defend deep, there should be enough attacking pressure and clearances to push the total over 9.5.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

Both teams average over 2 yellow cards per game (Lille 2.25, Nice 2.18). A combined average of 4.43 cards per match suggests that exceeding 3.5 cards is a reasonable expectation, especially in a game where Nice will be under pressure.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

Lille, as the dominant home side, will likely generate a significant number of shots. Nice, while defensive, may also get a few counter-attacking opportunities. The combined efforts should lead to more than 8.5 shots on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Lille will be on the offensive, taking many shots. Nice, even if defensive, will attempt some shots on counters. The combined total should exceed 22.5 shots.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Ligue 1 matches are often competitive and physical. With Nice likely to try and disrupt Lille's play, a higher number of fouls is expected, pushing the total over 22.5.

Possession Winner

Home

As the stronger team playing at home, Lille is expected to dominate possession and control the tempo of the game.

Lille Clean Sheet

Yes

Lille has kept 4 clean sheets in 13 home games, and Nice has failed to score in 4 of their 13 away games. Given Nice's poor attacking output on the road, Lille is well-positioned to keep a clean sheet. Conversely, Nice's porous away defense (2.1 goals conceded per game) makes an away clean sheet highly improbable.

Nice Clean Sheet

No

Lille has kept 4 clean sheets in 13 home games, and Nice has failed to score in 4 of their 13 away games. Given Nice's poor attacking output on the road, Lille is well-positioned to keep a clean sheet. Conversely, Nice's porous away defense (2.1 goals conceded per game) makes an away clean sheet highly improbable.