Ligue 1Ligue 1Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Sunday, May 17, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 14h 52m

Lille

Lille

vs

Auxerre

Auxerre

39%
24%
37%
LilleDrawAuxerre

AI Pick: Lille Win

Confidence: 35%

1X2: Lille Win (35%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

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Lille vs Auxerre Prediction

Lille is strongly favored to win this Ligue 1 encounter against Auxerre. Lille's superior league position, excellent recent form, and strong home record contrast sharply with Auxerre's struggles, particularly away from home, and their precarious position in the relegation zone. A low-scoring match is anticipated, with Lille likely securing a comfortable victory.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Lille Win

Predicted: 2-0

35%

Lille, currently 4th in Ligue 1, is in excellent form (4 wins, 1 draw in last 5 league matches) and boasts a strong home record (8 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). They are pushing for a Champions League qualification spot. Auxerre, on the other hand, is struggling at 16th place, occupying a relegation playoff spot, and has a very poor away record (1 win, 6 draws, 9 losses). Their recent form is also weak (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss in last 5). The API-Sports comparison heavily favors Lille across all metrics (Form 68% vs 32%, Attack 58% vs 42%, Defense 75% vs 25%, H2H 85% vs 15%, Poisson 71% vs 29%), with an overall 70.7% chance for Lille. While API-Sports suggests 'Win or draw' for Lille, the overwhelming statistical advantage and current league context point to a clear home victory.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.0

60%

Both teams show a strong tendency for low-scoring matches, with Lille's games going under 2.5 goals in 77% of cases and Auxerre's in 87%. Lille averages 1.5 goals scored at home and concedes 0.9, while Auxerre averages 0.9 goals away and concedes 1.7. Auxerre has failed to score in 50% of their away matches, and Lille keeps a clean sheet in 40% of home games. This suggests a tight game with few goals, likely favoring Lille to win without conceding.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Both teams show a strong tendency for low-scoring matches, with Lille's games going under 2.5 goals in 77% of cases and Auxerre's in 87%. Lille averages 1.5 goals scored at home and concedes 0.9, while Auxerre averages 0.9 goals away and concedes 1.7. Auxerre has failed to score in 50% of their away matches, and Lille keeps a clean sheet in 40% of home games. This suggests a tight game with few goals, likely favoring Lille to win without conceding.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

47%

While Under 2.5 goals is favored, a 2-0 scoreline (our exact score prediction) still results in Over 1.5 goals. Given Lille's attacking strength at home against Auxerre's defense, at least two goals in the match is a reasonable expectation.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

35%

With both teams showing a strong tendency for low-scoring games and an 'Under 2.5 Goals' prediction, it is highly improbable that the match will see 4 or more goals. Under 3.5 goals is a very confident pick.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

47%

While a low-scoring game is expected overall, both teams have shown a propensity to score or concede in the first half. Lille scores 26% of their goals in the first half, and Auxerre scores 56% of theirs. It's common for at least one goal to be scored before halftime in Ligue 1.

First Team to Score

Home

35%

Lille, playing at home and being the stronger attacking side, is much more likely to open the scoring against an Auxerre team that struggles to create chances and score, especially away from home.

Goal in Both Halves

No

46%

Given the expectation of a low-scoring match (Under 2.5 goals) and a predicted score of 2-0, it's plausible that all goals could occur in one half, or that one half is goalless. 'No' is slightly favored over 'Yes'.

Most Likely Score

2-0

46%

Based on Lille's average home goals (1.53) and Auxerre's average away goals conceded (1.69), combined with Auxerre's low scoring rate away (0.88) and Lille's strong home defense, a 2-0 victory for Lille is the most plausible exact score.

BTTS 1st Half

No

47%

With an overall BTTS 'No' prediction and a low-scoring expectation, it's highly unlikely that both teams will manage to score in the first half alone.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

47%

Given the strong statistical indication for Under 2.5 actual goals and Auxerre's low attacking output, it's reasonable to infer that the combined Expected Goals (xG) for the match will also be under 2.5.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

90%

Lille is a strong favorite at home against a struggling Auxerre side. The API-Sports prediction also suggests 'Lille or draw', making '1X' a very safe bet with high confidence.

Draw No Bet

Home

35%

Given Lille's superior form, home advantage, and league position, they are the clear favorites to win. A Draw No Bet on Home offers protection in case of an unlikely draw, but a straight home win is expected.

HT/FT

Home/Home

47%

Lille is expected to dominate from the start at home. Given their strong form and Auxerre's struggles, it's likely Lille will lead at halftime and maintain their advantage to win the match.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

46%

Ligue 1 matches generally average around 9-10 corners. With Lille pushing for goals and Auxerre likely defending deep, there should be enough attacking play and clearances to generate a moderate number of corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

47%

Lille averages 2.2 yellow cards per match, and Auxerre averages 2.06. A combined average of over 4 cards suggests that exceeding 3.5 cards is likely, especially in a match where Auxerre will be fighting relegation and Lille for European spots.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

46%

Lille, as the dominant home team, will likely generate a significant number of shots on target. Auxerre, even if defensive, will likely have a few attempts. This combined effort should push the total over 8.5.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Lille will be on the offensive, taking many shots. Auxerre will also attempt shots, even if fewer, contributing to a total that should exceed 22.5.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Ligue 1 matches are often physical. With Auxerre fighting relegation and Lille pushing for European qualification, the intensity of the game is likely to result in a higher number of fouls.

Possession Winner

Home

47%

As the stronger team playing at home and expected to dominate, Lille will likely control the majority of possession throughout the match.

Lille Clean Sheet

Yes

47%

Lille has a strong home defense, keeping clean sheets in 40% of their home games. Auxerre struggles to score away, failing to do so in 50% of their away matches, and has only managed one away clean sheet all season. It's highly probable Lille will keep a clean sheet, while Auxerre will not.

Auxerre Clean Sheet

No

47%

Lille has a strong home defense, keeping clean sheets in 40% of their home games. Auxerre struggles to score away, failing to do so in 50% of their away matches, and has only managed one away clean sheet all season. It's highly probable Lille will keep a clean sheet, while Auxerre will not.

Lille vs Auxerre โ€” Key Stats

LilleStatAuxerre
4th โœ…League Position16th
54 โœ…Points25
30 Games Playedโœ… 31
16 โœ…Wins5
6 โœ…Draws10
49 โœ…Goals Scored27
34 โœ…Goals Conceded42
1.6 โœ…Goals Per Game0.9
11 โœ…Clean Sheets8
WWWWD โœ…Recent FormWDDDL
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Home Ground

โฐ

7:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 17

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Ligue 1

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Lille vs Auxerre

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Sharp money would likely be on Lille to win, potentially combined with Under 2.5 goals or BTTS No, given the strong statistical backing for these outcomes. Line movement: If odds were available, we would expect the line for Lille to win to shorten, reflecting confidence in their victory, and the Under 2.5 goals line to also shorten.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Lille vs Auxerre

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Lille Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 12%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
3/10
  • โš ๏ธAuxerre's desperate fight against relegation could lead to an unexpectedly resilient performance.
  • โš ๏ธLille might underestimate Auxerre or suffer from complacency.
  • โš ๏ธA rare high-scoring game could occur, despite statistical indicators.

Model Confidence

โšก80%

Data quality: High. Comprehensive team statistics, recent form, and league standings were available for both teams.

Limitations

  • โ€ขNo specific H2H match results were provided, only API-Sports comparison percentages.
  • โ€ขNo injury or suspension information was available.
  • โ€ขNo real-time odds were provided, limiting value bet identification.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Lille vs Auxerre โ€” FAQ

Lille is highly favored to win this match due to their strong form, home advantage, and Auxerre's struggles, especially away from home.