La LigaLa LigaEstadio Ciudad de Valencia

Sunday, May 17, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 11h 52m

Levante

Levante

vs

Mallorca

Mallorca

51%
20%
29%
LevanteDrawMallorca

AI Pick: Levante Win

Confidence: 46%

1X2: Levante Win (46%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

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Levante vs Mallorca Prediction

This La Liga clash pits two relegation-threatened teams against each other. Levante, playing at home, holds a slight edge due to their better recent form and Mallorca's abysmal away record. The match is expected to be a low-scoring, highly contested affair, with both teams fighting for every point.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Levante Win

Predicted: 2-1

46%

Levante, despite being lower in the table, has shown better recent form (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in last 5) compared to Mallorca (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Crucially, Mallorca has an abysmal away record this season, with only 1 win, 3 draws, and 12 losses in 16 away games. Levante will benefit from home advantage and the desperate need for points in a relegation battle. API-Sports also suggests a 'Win or draw' for Levante with 45% home win probability, making them the slight favorite. Given Mallorca's poor away form, Levante is more likely to secure a narrow victory.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.3

60%

Both Levante and Mallorca have a strong tendency for low-scoring games, with 28 out of 32 (Levante) and 28 out of 33 (Mallorca) matches ending with Under 2.5 goals. Their average goals per match are 1.2 for and 1.6 against for Levante, and 1.2 for and 1.5 against for Mallorca. Mallorca's away scoring record is particularly poor (0.9 goals per game). Given the high stakes of a relegation battle, a cagey, low-scoring affair is expected. Mallorca's poor away scoring also makes BTTS 'No' a strong possibility.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Both Levante and Mallorca have a strong tendency for low-scoring games, with 28 out of 32 (Levante) and 28 out of 33 (Mallorca) matches ending with Under 2.5 goals. Their average goals per match are 1.2 for and 1.6 against for Levante, and 1.2 for and 1.5 against for Mallorca. Mallorca's away scoring record is particularly poor (0.9 goals per game). Given the high stakes of a relegation battle, a cagey, low-scoring affair is expected. Mallorca's poor away scoring also makes BTTS 'No' a strong possibility.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

47%

Despite the prediction for Under 2.5 goals, the vast majority of football matches still feature at least two goals. Both teams have scored and conceded enough to suggest that 2 goals are likely in this fixture.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

35%

Consistent with the 'Under 2.5 Goals' prediction, it is highly unlikely that this match will see 4 or more goals, given both teams' low-scoring tendencies and defensive records.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

46%

Although a low-scoring game is predicted overall, a single goal in the first half is quite common in football. Both teams have shown a tendency to score or concede in the first half, particularly towards the end of it.

First Team to Score

Home

46%

Levante has the home advantage and a slightly better attacking record at home than Mallorca does away. They are more likely to break the deadlock.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

55%

While a low-scoring game, a 2-1 scoreline implies goals in both halves. Both teams have shown a tendency for late goals, suggesting action throughout the match.

Most Likely Score

2-1

20%

Based on Levante's home scoring ability (1.2 avg) and Mallorca's weak away defense (1.9 avg conceded), a 2-1 scoreline for the home side is a plausible outcome, reflecting a narrow victory where both teams find the net.

BTTS 1st Half

No

47%

Given the high stakes and the general low-scoring nature of both teams, a cagey first half is expected, making it unlikely for both teams to score before the break.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

47%

Given the low average goals scored by both teams and the expectation of a tight, defensive match, the quality of chances created (Expected Goals) is likely to be low, staying under 2.5 xG.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

35%

API-Sports explicitly recommends 'Levante or draw' with a combined 90% probability (45% home win, 45% draw). Given Levante's home advantage and Mallorca's extremely poor away form, a double chance on Levante is a very safe bet.

Draw No Bet

Home

46%

Aligning with the main prediction of a Levante win, the Draw No Bet market removes the risk of a draw, making Levante the favored pick. This is a sensible option given the high draw probability suggested by API-Sports.

HT/FT

Draw/Home

45%

Many home wins in tight matches see a draw at halftime before the home team pushes for a winner in the second half. Given the competitive nature and the importance of the match, a cautious first half is likely.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

55%

In a tight La Liga match with both teams fighting for points, attacking efforts are expected, leading to a reasonable number of corners. While specific corner data is not provided, 9.5 is a standard line often surpassed in competitive matches.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

47%

Both teams have high yellow card counts, and La Liga matches, especially relegation six-pointers, are typically fiercely contested with a high likelihood of cards. The pressure of the situation will contribute to more fouls and disciplinary actions.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

55%

With both teams needing points, they will likely commit to attacking, leading to a decent number of shots on target. While not a high-scoring game, both sides will test the goalkeepers.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

Both teams will be looking for opportunities to score, leading to a decent volume of shots, even if many are off target. The urgency of the match will drive attacking intent.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Relegation battles in La Liga are often physical and intense, leading to a high number of fouls as both teams fight for every ball. This line is frequently surpassed in such fixtures.

Possession Winner

Home

55%

Home teams often enjoy a slight edge in possession, especially when playing against a team with a poor away record. Levante will likely try to control the tempo at home.

Levante Clean Sheet

No

46%

While Mallorca's away scoring is poor, Levante's defense is not impenetrable (1.6 goals conceded per game). Conversely, Mallorca's away defense is weak (1.9 goals conceded per game), making a clean sheet for them highly unlikely. I'll adjust my previous thought to 'No' for home clean sheet, as a 2-1 score implies both teams scoring.

Mallorca Clean Sheet

No

46%

While Mallorca's away scoring is poor, Levante's defense is not impenetrable (1.6 goals conceded per game). Conversely, Mallorca's away defense is weak (1.9 goals conceded per game), making a clean sheet for them highly unlikely. I'll adjust my previous thought to 'No' for home clean sheet, as a 2-1 score implies both teams scoring.

Levante vs Mallorca โ€” Key Stats

LevanteStatMallorca
19th League Positionโœ… 16th
32 Pointsโœ… 35
32 Games Playedโœ… 33
8 Winsโœ… 9
8 Draws8
37 Goals Scoredโœ… 41
50 โœ…Goals Conceded51
1.2 Goals Per Game1.2
7 โœ…Clean Sheets4
DWLWW โœ…Recent FormLWWDL
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Home Ground

โฐ

4:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 17

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

La Liga

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Levante vs Mallorca

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

N/A - No odds data provided to assess sharp money movement. Line movement: N/A - No odds data provided to assess line movement.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Levante vs Mallorca

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Levante Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 16%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

High Risk
7/10
  • โš ๏ธBoth teams are in a relegation battle, leading to high pressure and unpredictable outcomes.
  • โš ๏ธLa Liga's inherent unpredictability, where upsets are common even for top teams.
  • โš ๏ธMallorca's desperate need for points could lead to an unexpected strong performance despite their poor away form.
  • โš ๏ธThe API-Sports prediction shows a very high draw probability (45%), indicating a finely balanced match.

Model Confidence

โšก68%

Data quality: Good, comprehensive team statistics and league standings were provided.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of specific H2H match results.
  • โ€ขAbsence of real-time odds data, preventing value bet identification and market sentiment analysis.
  • โ€ขNo injury reports, which could significantly impact team performance.
  • โ€ขLa Liga's inherent unpredictability, especially in relegation battles.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Levante vs Mallorca โ€” FAQ

This is a crucial relegation six-pointer for both Levante (19th) and Mallorca (16th). Points are vital for survival in La Liga, making this a high-stakes encounter.