Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

While 'Under 2.5 Goals' is predicted, a score like 1-1, 0-2, or 1-2 still falls 'Over 1.5'. The combined average goals for the match is around 1.8, making 'Over 1.5' a reasonable expectation.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

Both teams have extremely low percentages of games going 'Over 3.5 Goals' (Lecce 0%, Fiorentina 6.4%). This is a very confident 'Under' pick.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

While a low-scoring game is expected, a single goal in the first half is a common occurrence in Serie A. Both teams have shown some capacity to score or concede in the first 45 minutes.

First Team to Score

Away

Fiorentina has a more potent attack and Lecce frequently fails to score, especially at home. Fiorentina is more likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

No

Given the expectation of a low-scoring game (Under 2.5 goals) and potentially only one team scoring (BTTS No), it's less likely that goals will be distributed across both halves.

Most Likely Score

0-1

This score aligns with the 'Under 2.5 Goals', 'BTTS No', and a narrow Fiorentina victory, reflecting Lecce's poor scoring record and Fiorentina's slight edge.

BTTS 1st Half

No

With a strong prediction for BTTS 'No' overall and a low-scoring expectation, it's highly improbable that both teams will score in the first half.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

Based on the low goal-scoring averages and the struggles of both teams in attack, the expected goals (xG) for this match are likely to be below 2.5, indicating few high-quality chances.

Double Chance

X2

Fiorentina is the stronger team on paper and in current form. Lecce's home advantage is not strong enough to guarantee a win, making a draw or away win the most sensible prediction.

Draw No Bet

Away

Fiorentina is favored to win, but a draw is a significant possibility. The Draw No Bet market removes the draw outcome, making Fiorentina the safer pick if they are indeed the better side.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

Many Serie A matches are tight in the first half. Fiorentina has a tendency to score more in the second half (27.78% of goals 46-60 min), and Lecce concedes heavily in the 61-75 min (30.77% of goals against), suggesting Fiorentina could secure the win after a level first half.

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Under 9.5

Low-scoring matches often correlate with fewer attacking phases and thus fewer corners. Neither team is known for high corner counts.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

Lecce averages 1.7 yellow cards per game, and Fiorentina averages 2.2 yellow cards per game. A combined average of 3.9 suggests 'Over 3.5' is likely in what could be a competitive, mid-table clash.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Under 8.5

Given the low goal-scoring averages for both teams, it's reasonable to expect fewer shots on target overall. Both teams struggle to create clear-cut chances consistently.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Even in low-scoring games, teams will attempt a decent number of shots, many of which may be off target. This is a standard average for a Serie A match.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Serie A matches are typically physical, and a mid-table clash between two struggling teams often leads to a higher foul count as both sides battle for control.

Possession Winner

Away

Fiorentina generally aims to control possession more than Lecce, especially against lower-ranked teams. They will likely dictate the tempo of the game.

Lecce Clean Sheet

No

Lecce's attacking struggles are significant, failing to score in 53% of their home games. Fiorentina, while not defensively solid, faces a weak attack. Fiorentina is more likely to keep a clean sheet than Lecce.

Fiorentina Clean Sheet

Yes

Lecce's attacking struggles are significant, failing to score in 53% of their home games. Fiorentina, while not defensively solid, faces a weak attack. Fiorentina is more likely to keep a clean sheet than Lecce.