Serie ASerie AStadio Olimpico

Sunday, May 24, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 5h 31m

Lazio

Lazio

vs

Pisa

Pisa

51%
20%
29%
LazioDrawPisa

AI Pick: Lazio Win

Confidence: 47%

1X2: Lazio Win (47%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

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Lazio vs Pisa Prediction

Lazio is heavily favored to win this Serie A match against an already relegated and severely out-of-form Pisa. Playing at home, Lazio's superior quality, better recent form, and Pisa's abysmal away record (0 wins, 2.4 goals conceded per away game) point towards a comfortable home victory, likely with a clean sheet. The match is expected to be relatively low-scoring in total goals, primarily due to Pisa's weak attack.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Lazio Win

Predicted: 2-0

47%

Lazio, currently 8th in Serie A, faces an already relegated Pisa side at the Stadio Olimpico. Lazio has a decent home record (7 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses) and has shown better form recently (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 5 league games). In contrast, Pisa is at the bottom of the table (20th), already relegated, and has an abysmal away record with 0 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per away game. Their current form is 5 consecutive losses. The API-Sports comparison heavily favors Lazio in form (100% vs 0%), attack (80% vs 20%), and defense (64% vs 36%), with a Poisson model predicting a 72% chance for Lazio. Despite the API-Sports prediction showing a high draw probability, Pisa's inability to win away and their overall poor performance make a Lazio victory the most probable outcome.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.4

60%

Lazio averages 1.5 goals per home game and concedes 1.2. Pisa averages 0.9 goals per away game and concedes a high 2.4 goals per away game. Pisa has failed to score in 8 of their 17 away matches, and Lazio has kept 6 clean sheets at home. This suggests a low-scoring affair for Pisa and a potential clean sheet for Lazio. While Pisa's weak defense could lead to multiple Lazio goals, both teams' overall goal-scoring records are not high. Lazio has gone over 2.5 goals in only 5 of 34 matches, and Pisa in only 1 of 35. Therefore, 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' are the most likely outcomes, with an expected total of around 2.4 goals.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Lazio averages 1.5 goals per home game and concedes 1.2. Pisa averages 0.9 goals per away game and concedes a high 2.4 goals per away game. Pisa has failed to score in 8 of their 17 away matches, and Lazio has kept 6 clean sheets at home. This suggests a low-scoring affair for Pisa and a potential clean sheet for Lazio. While Pisa's weak defense could lead to multiple Lazio goals, both teams' overall goal-scoring records are not high. Lazio has gone over 2.5 goals in only 5 of 34 matches, and Pisa in only 1 of 35. Therefore, 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' are the most likely outcomes, with an expected total of around 2.4 goals.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

35%

With Lazio expected to score at least once or twice, and Pisa potentially getting a consolation, over 1.5 goals is a very high probability.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

47%

While Lazio is favored, their overall goal-scoring record is not prolific enough to confidently predict 4 or more goals, especially against a team that might sit deep. Under 3.5 is more likely.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

47%

Given Lazio's attacking intent and Pisa's defensive vulnerabilities, it's highly probable that at least one goal will be scored in the first half.

First Team to Score

Home

35%

Lazio, being the stronger team and playing at home, is highly likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

46%

If Lazio scores early and then again later, or if Pisa manages a late consolation, a goal in both halves is plausible, especially with Lazio pushing for goals.

Most Likely Score

2-0

50%

A 2-0 victory for Lazio aligns with their average home scoring, Pisa's low away scoring, and Lazio's potential for a clean sheet.

BTTS 1st Half

No

47%

Pisa's attacking struggles make it highly improbable for both teams to score in the first half.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

55%

Given the prediction of Under 2.5 total goals and the general low-scoring nature of both teams, it's reasonable to expect the combined Expected Goals (xG) for the match to also be Under 2.5.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

90%

A Lazio win or draw (1X) is a very safe bet, considering their superior quality, home advantage, and Pisa's dire form and relegation status.

Draw No Bet

Home

47%

Given the strong favoritism for Lazio, selecting Lazio in a Draw No Bet market offers a safer way to back the home side.

HT/FT

Home/Home

46%

Lazio is expected to take an early lead and maintain it throughout the match, leading at both half-time and full-time.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

46%

Lazio, as the dominant home team, will likely press and create many attacking opportunities against a weaker opponent, leading to a higher number of corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

46%

Serie A matches often see a fair number of cards. Both teams have accumulated a decent number of yellow cards throughout the season, making over 3.5 cards a reasonable expectation.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

46%

Lazio will be on the offensive for most of the game against a weak Pisa defense, resulting in numerous shots, many of which should be on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Lazio will dominate possession and create many chances against a weaker opponent, leading to a high number of total shots.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Serie A matches are generally quite physical. A total of over 22.5 fouls is a reasonable expectation for a match where one team is trying to break down a defensive opponent.

Possession Winner

Home

47%

Lazio, as the stronger home team, will control the midfield and dictate the pace of the game, leading to higher possession.

Lazio Clean Sheet

Yes

47%

Pisa's attack is the weakest in the league, especially away from home where they have failed to score in nearly half their matches. Lazio has a solid home defense, making a clean sheet for the home side very likely. Pisa is unlikely to keep a clean sheet against a Serie A side.

Pisa Clean Sheet

No

47%

Pisa's attack is the weakest in the league, especially away from home where they have failed to score in nearly half their matches. Lazio has a solid home defense, making a clean sheet for the home side very likely. Pisa is unlikely to keep a clean sheet against a Serie A side.

Lazio vs Pisa โ€” Key Stats

LazioStatPisa
8th โœ…League Position20th
48 โœ…Points18
34 Games Playedโœ… 35
12 โœ…Wins2
12 Draws12
37 โœ…Goals Scored25
33 โœ…Goals Conceded63
1.1 โœ…Goals Per Game0.7
15 โœ…Clean Sheets5
WDLWD โœ…Recent FormLLLLL
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Stadio Olimpico

Home Ground

โฐ

1:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 24

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Serie A

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Lazio vs Pisa

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Sharp money would likely be placed on Lazio to win, potentially with a handicap or on markets like 'Lazio to win to nil', given Pisa's offensive struggles. Line movement: If odds were available, the line for a Lazio win would likely be very short, and any movement would probably see it shorten further as more money comes in on the home side.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Lazio vs Pisa

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Lazio Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 16%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
3/10
  • โš ๏ธInherent unpredictability of football, where upsets can occur.
  • โš ๏ธPisa playing with 'nothing to lose' mentality, potentially leading to an unexpected performance.
  • โš ๏ธLazio having an off-day or underestimating their relegated opponent.

Model Confidence

โšก75%

Data quality: Good, with comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and API-Sports comparison data provided.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of specific Head-to-Head match results.
  • โ€ขLack of detailed injury reports for both teams.
  • โ€ขNo real-time betting odds to compare against model probabilities.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Lazio vs Pisa โ€” FAQ

Lazio is predicted to win this match against Pisa.