EredivisieEredivisieAsito Stadium

Sunday, May 17, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 10h 11m

Heracles

Heracles

vs

Groningen

Groningen

29%
20%
51%
HeraclesDrawGroningen

AI Pick: Groningen Win

Confidence: 47%

1X2: Groningen Win (47%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

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Heracles vs Groningen Prediction

Groningen is heavily favored to win this Eredivisie encounter against a struggling Heracles side. Heracles's abysmal defensive record and bottom-of-the-table position contrast sharply with Groningen's mid-table standing and superior form. Expect goals, with Groningen likely to score multiple times.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Groningen Win

Predicted: 1-3

47%

Heracles is currently at the bottom of the Eredivisie table (18th) with a significantly poor defensive record, conceding 77 goals in 30 matches (average 2.6 per game). Their recent form is also concerning (LLDLD). Groningen, on the other hand, sits in 9th place with a much better goal difference and overall performance. While their recent form (LDWWD) isn't perfect, they are clearly superior to Heracles. The API-Sports comparison heavily favors Groningen across all metrics (Form 80%, Attack 78%, Defense 75%, H2H 71%, Total 73.8%), and suggests a 'Win or draw' for Groningen. Given Heracles's struggles, especially defensively, an away win for Groningen is the most probable outcome.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.8

60%

Heracles's home games average 3.6 goals (1.5 GF, 2.1 GA), indicating a tendency for high-scoring matches, largely due to their porous defense. Groningen's away games average 2.9 goals (1.3 GF, 1.6 GA). The combined offensive and defensive averages strongly suggest more than 2.5 goals. Both teams also show a reasonable ability to score (Heracles 1.5 GF at home, Groningen 1.3 GF away) while also conceding, making BTTS 'Yes' a strong possibility.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Heracles's home games average 3.6 goals (1.5 GF, 2.1 GA), indicating a tendency for high-scoring matches, largely due to their porous defense. Groningen's away games average 2.9 goals (1.3 GF, 1.6 GA). The combined offensive and defensive averages strongly suggest more than 2.5 goals. Both teams also show a reasonable ability to score (Heracles 1.5 GF at home, Groningen 1.3 GF away) while also conceding, making BTTS 'Yes' a strong possibility.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

35%

With Heracles's home games averaging 3.6 goals and Groningen's away games averaging 2.9 goals, scoring at least two goals in the match is highly probable.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

55%

While Heracles's home games average 3.6 goals, Groningen's overall games are not consistently high-scoring. However, Heracles's extremely weak defense makes a higher-scoring game, potentially with Groningen scoring multiple goals, a possibility.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

35%

Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in the first half. Heracles has scored 17 goals and conceded 36 in the first half this season, while Groningen has scored 19 and conceded 15. A goal before halftime is highly likely.

First Team to Score

Away

46%

Groningen is the stronger attacking side and is more likely to break the deadlock against a struggling Heracles defense.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

47%

Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in both halves of their matches. With the expectation of multiple goals, it's likely that goals will be distributed across both halves.

Most Likely Score

1-3

20%

Based on Heracles's home scoring average (1.5) and Groningen's away scoring average (1.3), combined with Heracles's high concession rate (2.1 GA at home) and Groningen's decent attack, a 1-3 scoreline for Groningen is a reasonable estimate.

BTTS 1st Half

No

46%

While both teams can score, BTTS in the first half is less common than over the full 90 minutes. Groningen's defense is relatively solid in the first half (15 goals conceded in 31 games).

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

46%

Given the high number of goals expected and Heracles's defensive vulnerabilities, the quality of chances created (xG) is likely to be high, pushing the total xG over 2.5.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

47%

The API-Sports prediction explicitly advises 'Draw or Groningen' (X2), which aligns with Groningen being the stronger team and Heracles's poor form. This market offers good coverage for the favored side.

Draw No Bet

Away

47%

Given Groningen is the clear favorite, selecting them in a Draw No Bet market provides security in case of a draw, while still backing the more likely winner.

HT/FT

Away/Away

46%

Groningen is expected to dominate the match. Given Heracles's defensive frailties, it's plausible Groningen takes an early lead and maintains it throughout the game.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

46%

Eredivisie matches generally see a good number of corners. With Heracles likely to be under pressure and Groningen pushing for goals, both teams should contribute to the corner count.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

46%

Heracles averages about 2 yellow cards per game, and Groningen around 1.8. Given the stakes for Heracles (relegation battle) and the competitive nature of the league, a total of 4 or more cards is reasonable.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

46%

Groningen's attack is strong against Heracles's weak defense, suggesting many shots on target from the away side. Heracles, playing at home, will also attempt to create chances, contributing to the total.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

Groningen will likely have many attempts against Heracles's defense, and Heracles will also try to create chances at home, contributing to a high total shot count.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

In a match where Heracles will be fighting for survival and Groningen will be looking to assert dominance, a competitive encounter often leads to a higher number of fouls.

Possession Winner

Away

46%

Groningen is the technically superior team and is expected to control the midfield and dictate the pace of the game, leading to more possession.

Heracles Clean Sheet

No

47%

Heracles has only kept 2 clean sheets all season (both at home) and concedes an average of 2.1 goals at home, making a home clean sheet highly improbable. Groningen has 10 clean sheets this season (4 away) and a much stronger defense, making an away clean sheet a plausible outcome against the league's lowest-scoring team.

Groningen Clean Sheet

Yes

47%

Heracles has only kept 2 clean sheets all season (both at home) and concedes an average of 2.1 goals at home, making a home clean sheet highly improbable. Groningen has 10 clean sheets this season (4 away) and a much stronger defense, making an away clean sheet a plausible outcome against the league's lowest-scoring team.

Heracles vs Groningen โ€” Key Stats

HeraclesStatGroningen
18th League Positionโœ… 9th
19 Pointsโœ… 42
30 Games Playedโœ… 31
5 Winsโœ… 12
4 โœ…Draws6
34 Goals Scoredโœ… 43
77 Goals Concededโœ… 40
1.1 Goals Per Gameโœ… 1.4
2 Clean Sheetsโœ… 10
DLDLL โœ…Recent FormDWWDL
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Asito Stadium

Home Ground

โฐ

12:30 PM UTC

Sunday, May 17

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Eredivisie

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Heracles vs Groningen

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Sharp money would likely be on Groningen to win, potentially with a handicap, or on goal markets like Over 2.5/3.5 goals, capitalizing on Heracles's defensive weaknesses. Line movement: If odds were available, we would expect to see the odds for a Groningen win shorten, and potentially the Over 2.5 goals line also shorten, reflecting the market's confidence in a high-scoring away victory.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Heracles vs Groningen

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Groningen Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 16%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
4/10
  • โš ๏ธHeracles, despite their poor form, might show increased determination playing at home in a relegation battle.
  • โš ๏ธGroningen's recent form is not flawless, indicating potential for an unexpected result.
  • โš ๏ธFootball's inherent unpredictability can always lead to upsets, especially in the Eredivisie.

Model Confidence

โšก70%

Data quality: The provided data is comprehensive, including detailed team statistics, league standings, and API-Sports predictions/comparisons, allowing for a robust analysis.

Limitations

  • โ€ขNo real-time bookmaker odds were available, preventing value bet calculations.
  • โ€ขNo specific head-to-head match results were provided, only a percentage comparison.
  • โ€ขNo injury or suspension information was available, which could impact team performance.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Heracles vs Groningen โ€” FAQ

Groningen is the most likely winner due to their superior league position, better form, and Heracles's significant defensive vulnerabilities.