How does FC Augsburg perform in away matches?

FC Augsburg has a poor away record this season, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses from 13 away matches. They have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per away game and have not kept a single clean sheet on the road.

Are many goals expected in this match?

Yes, a relatively high number of goals is expected. Hamburger SV's home games average 2.64 goals, and FC Augsburg's away games average 3.08 goals. Given Augsburg's leaky away defense, 'Over 2.5 Goals' and 'Both Teams To Score - Yes' are strong possibilities.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Hamburger SV's recent form over the last 5 league games is 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. FC Augsburg's recent form over the last 5 league games is 2 wins and 3 losses, including a recent three-game losing streak.

What are the current league standings for Hamburger SV and FC Augsburg?

FC Augsburg is currently 10th in the Bundesliga with 31 points, while Hamburger SV is 12th with 30 points, indicating a very close contest in the mid-table.

Is there any value in the betting odds for this match?

Based on our model, there appears to be value in backing 'Hamburger SV to Win' at odds of 2.25, as our estimated probability for a home victory is higher than the implied probability from the bookmakers' odds.

BundesligaVolksparkstadion

Saturday, Apr 4, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 2d 14h 47m

Hamburger SV

FC Augsburg

68%

13%

19%

Hamburger SVDrawFC Augsburg

AI Pick: Hamburger SV Win

Confidence: 65%

Hamburger SV

68%

13%

19%

Hamburger SVDrawFC Augsburg

AI Pick: Hamburger SV Win

Confidence: 65%

FC Augsburg

1X2: Hamburger SV Win (⚡65%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg Prediction

This Bundesliga clash sees Hamburger SV host FC Augsburg in a battle of two mid-to-lower table teams. HSV holds a clear home advantage, performing significantly better at home than Augsburg does away. Augsburg's porous away defense is a key factor, but their ability to score on the road means a clean sheet for HSV is unlikely. The match is expected to be competitive, with HSV slightly favored due to their home form.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Hamburger SV Win

Predicted: 2-1

⚡65%

Hamburger SV holds a significant home advantage, boasting a 5-5-4 record at Volksparkstadion compared to FC Augsburg's dismal 3-1-9 away record. While both teams have shown inconsistent form recently, Augsburg's away defense is a major concern, having conceded an average of 2.0 goals per away game and failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their 13 away fixtures. Hamburger SV's home goal-scoring average of 1.4 goals per game suggests they can exploit this weakness. The close proximity in the league standings (FCA 10th, HSV 12th) indicates a competitive match, but HSV's superior home performance and FCA's defensive frailties on the road tilt the prediction towards a home win.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 2-3 Goals

60%

Hamburger SV's home games average 2.64 goals, and FC Augsburg's away games average 3.08 goals. FCA's away defense is particularly leaky, conceding 2.0 goals per game. Given that FCA has conceded in all their away matches and HSV scores regularly at home, 'Both Teams To Score - Yes' is highly probable. The combined offensive and defensive averages lean towards 'Over 2.5 Goals', with a scoreline like 2-1 or 2-2 being quite plausible, suggesting 2-3 total goals.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg — Key Stats

Hamburger SVStatFC Augsburg

12th League Position✅ 10th

30 Points✅ 31

27 Games Played✅ 27

7 Wins✅ 9

9 Draws✅ 4

31 Goals Scored✅ 33

40 ✅Goals Conceded50

1.1 Goals Per Game✅ 1.2

6 ✅Clean Sheets5

LLWDL ✅Recent FormWWLLL

🏟️

Volksparkstadion

Home Ground

⏰

1:30 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr 4

Matchday kickoff

⚽

Bundesliga

Soccer

Betting Angles — Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg

✅ Match Winner: Hamburger SV

The bookmakers price Hamburger SV at 2.25 (44.44% implied probability). Our model, considering HSV's stronger home record (5W, 5D, 4L) against FC Augsburg's poor away form (3W, 1D, 9L) and significant away defensive issues (2.0 goals conceded per away game), estimates HSV's win probability closer to 50%. This creates a positive edge of 5.56% for a home win.

❌ Both Teams To Score: Yes

FC Augsburg has conceded in 100% of their away matches (13/13), while scoring in 61.5% (8/13) of them. Hamburger SV has scored in 71.4% (10/14) of their home games and conceded in 85.7% (12/14). The statistics strongly suggest both teams will find the back of the net.

💰 Sharp Money

No data on sharp money movements was provided. Line movement: No data on line movement was provided.

AI Same Game Parlay — Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg

Hamburger SV Win2.00

Over 2.5 Goals1.85

BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 23%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Build custom SGP →

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk

6/10

⚠️Both teams exhibit inconsistent recent form, making the outcome less predictable.
⚠️FC Augsburg, despite their poor away record, has shown an ability to score on the road (1.1 goals/game).
⚠️Hamburger SV has a relatively high home draw rate (5 draws in 14 home games), which could lead to a shared spoils outcome.
⚠️Lack of head-to-head and injury data increases the uncertainty of the prediction.

Model Confidence

⚡70%

Data quality: Good. Comprehensive team statistics, form, and league standings were provided for both teams.

Limitations

•Absence of head-to-head records between the two teams.
•Lack of specific injury or suspension information for key players.
•No data on recent tactical changes or player performance trends beyond basic form strings.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg — FAQ

Hamburger SV has a home record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses from 14 matches played at home this season.