EredivisieEuroborgSunday, May 10, 2026, 2:45 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 11h 50m

Groningen
vs

NEC Nijmegen
AI Pick: NEC Nijmegen Win
Confidence: 68%
1X2: NEC Nijmegen Win (โก68%)
O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
This Eredivisie clash pits 9th-placed Groningen against 3rd-placed NEC Nijmegen. NEC is the clear favorite, boasting a superior league position, a much stronger attack, and a dominant head-to-head record. While Groningen has a solid home defense, NEC's current form and attacking prowess are expected to secure them at least a point, with an away win being the most likely outcome.
MATCH RESULT
NEC Nijmegen Win
Predicted: 1-2
โก68%
NEC Nijmegen is significantly higher in the Eredivisie standings (3rd vs 9th) and boasts a much stronger attack, averaging 2.4 goals per game compared to Groningen's 1.4. NEC's overall goal difference is +24, while Groningen's is +5. While Groningen has a decent home defense (0.9 goals conceded per game), NEC's away attack is potent (2.3 goals per game). Both teams are in good recent form, but NEC's overall quality and dominant head-to-head record (80% win rate for NEC in H2H according to API-Sports comparison) make them the clear favorites. The API-Sports prediction also suggests 'Win or draw' for NEC, with a 45% chance for an away win and 45% for a draw, indicating they do not expect Groningen to win. Considering NEC's superior attacking power and league position, an away win is the most probable outcome.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5 Goals
Total: 3.2
60%
NEC Nijmegen's matches are typically high-scoring, with their away games averaging 3.93 total goals. They average 2.3 goals scored away from home and concede 1.7. Groningen, while having a more modest average of 2.47 total goals in home games, scores 1.5 goals per game at home. Given NEC's prolific attack and tendency to concede, both teams are expected to find the net, leading to an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome. BTTS 'Yes' is highly probable as NEC has scored in 93% of their away games and conceded in 93%.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
NEC Nijmegen's matches are typically high-scoring, with their away games averaging 3.93 total goals. They average 2.3 goals scored away from home and concede 1.7. Groningen, while having a more modest average of 2.47 total goals in home games, scores 1.5 goals per game at home. Given NEC's prolific attack and tendency to concede, both teams are expected to find the net, leading to an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome. BTTS 'Yes' is highly probable as NEC has scored in 93% of their away games and conceded in 93%.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
With NEC's high-scoring nature and both teams expected to score, 'Over 1.5 Goals' is a very safe bet.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
NEC's away games average close to 4 goals. While not as certain as Over 2.5, the attacking nature of NEC makes 'Over 3.5 Goals' a plausible outcome.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams have a history of scoring in the first half (Groningen 45% of goals, NEC 36% of goals). Given NEC's attacking prowess, a goal before halftime is highly likely.
First Team to Score
Away
NEC Nijmegen has a significantly stronger attack and is expected to dominate possession and create more chances, making them more likely to score first.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
Given the expectation of 'Over 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS Yes', it's highly probable that goals will be scored in both halves of the match.
Most Likely Score
1-2
This score reflects NEC's superior attack and Groningen's ability to score at home, while acknowledging NEC's defensive vulnerabilities away from home.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While both teams can score in the first half, it's less common for both to do so. Groningen's home defense is relatively solid in the first half, making 'No' a safer pick.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5 xG
Based on the high number of expected goals and the attacking nature of both teams, the combined xG for the match is likely to exceed 2.5.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
X2
The API-Sports prediction explicitly advises 'Double chance: draw or NEC Nijmegen', and NEC is the superior team in terms of league position and attacking strength.
Draw No Bet
Away
Based on the primary prediction of an NEC win, 'Away' in the Draw No Bet market offers a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Draw/Away
Groningen's home advantage and decent defense could lead to a tight first half, potentially a draw. However, NEC's superior quality is expected to prevail in the second half, leading to an away win.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Both teams are expected to attack, especially NEC, which should lead to a decent number of corners. Eredivisie matches often see moderate to high corner counts.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Both teams average around 1.8 yellow cards per game. A competitive Eredivisie match with significant stakes (NEC pushing for Champions League qualification) is likely to see at least 4 cards.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
NEC's strong attack and Groningen's home scoring ability suggest a match with multiple goal attempts. Over 8.5 shots on target is a reasonable expectation for an attacking game.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
With two attacking teams, a high number of shots is expected, making 'Over 22.5' a reasonable default.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
This is a standard default for a competitive league match where both teams will be fighting for possession and territory.
Possession Winner
Away
NEC Nijmegen, being the higher-ranked and more dominant team, is expected to control more of the possession.
Groningen Clean Sheet
No
NEC's attack is too strong for Groningen to likely keep a clean sheet. Conversely, NEC has only kept 1 clean sheet in 15 away games, and Groningen scores well at home, making an away clean sheet unlikely.
NEC Nijmegen Clean Sheet
No
NEC's attack is too strong for Groningen to likely keep a clean sheet. Conversely, NEC has only kept 1 clean sheet in 15 away games, and Groningen scores well at home, making an away clean sheet unlikely.
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen โ Key Stats
Euroborg
Home Ground
2:45 PM UTC
Sunday, May 10
Matchday kickoff
Eredivisie
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Without specific odds, it's difficult to track sharp money movement. However, given NEC's strong position and form, any significant movement towards a Groningen win would be considered an outlier. Line movement: No odds provided, so no line movement analysis possible.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 24%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธGroningen's decent home defense could make it difficult for NEC to score freely.
- โ ๏ธThe absence of specific odds data makes it harder to gauge market sentiment and potential value.
- โ ๏ธFootball's inherent unpredictability means even strong favorites can drop points, especially against a team in reasonable home form.
Model Confidence
โก75%
Data quality: High - comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and API-Sports predictions were available.
Limitations
- โขLack of specific head-to-head match results and detailed player statistics (injuries, suspensions).
- โขAbsence of real-time betting odds limits value bet identification.
- โขNo detailed xG data for individual teams was provided, relying on general goal averages.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen โ FAQ
NEC Nijmegen is predicted to win the match, with a score prediction of 1-2.