EredivisieEredivisieEuroborg

Sunday, May 10, 2026, 2:45 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 11h 50m

Groningen

Groningen

vs

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

17%
12%
71%
GroningenDrawNEC Nijmegen

AI Pick: NEC Nijmegen Win

Confidence: 68%

1X2: NEC Nijmegen Win (โšก68%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

This Eredivisie clash pits 9th-placed Groningen against 3rd-placed NEC Nijmegen. NEC is the clear favorite, boasting a superior league position, a much stronger attack, and a dominant head-to-head record. While Groningen has a solid home defense, NEC's current form and attacking prowess are expected to secure them at least a point, with an away win being the most likely outcome.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

NEC Nijmegen Win

Predicted: 1-2

โšก68%

NEC Nijmegen is significantly higher in the Eredivisie standings (3rd vs 9th) and boasts a much stronger attack, averaging 2.4 goals per game compared to Groningen's 1.4. NEC's overall goal difference is +24, while Groningen's is +5. While Groningen has a decent home defense (0.9 goals conceded per game), NEC's away attack is potent (2.3 goals per game). Both teams are in good recent form, but NEC's overall quality and dominant head-to-head record (80% win rate for NEC in H2H according to API-Sports comparison) make them the clear favorites. The API-Sports prediction also suggests 'Win or draw' for NEC, with a 45% chance for an away win and 45% for a draw, indicating they do not expect Groningen to win. Considering NEC's superior attacking power and league position, an away win is the most probable outcome.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 3.2

60%

NEC Nijmegen's matches are typically high-scoring, with their away games averaging 3.93 total goals. They average 2.3 goals scored away from home and concede 1.7. Groningen, while having a more modest average of 2.47 total goals in home games, scores 1.5 goals per game at home. Given NEC's prolific attack and tendency to concede, both teams are expected to find the net, leading to an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome. BTTS 'Yes' is highly probable as NEC has scored in 93% of their away games and conceded in 93%.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

NEC Nijmegen's matches are typically high-scoring, with their away games averaging 3.93 total goals. They average 2.3 goals scored away from home and concede 1.7. Groningen, while having a more modest average of 2.47 total goals in home games, scores 1.5 goals per game at home. Given NEC's prolific attack and tendency to concede, both teams are expected to find the net, leading to an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome. BTTS 'Yes' is highly probable as NEC has scored in 93% of their away games and conceded in 93%.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

85%

With NEC's high-scoring nature and both teams expected to score, 'Over 1.5 Goals' is a very safe bet.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

55%

NEC's away games average close to 4 goals. While not as certain as Over 2.5, the attacking nature of NEC makes 'Over 3.5 Goals' a plausible outcome.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

80%

Both teams have a history of scoring in the first half (Groningen 45% of goals, NEC 36% of goals). Given NEC's attacking prowess, a goal before halftime is highly likely.

First Team to Score

Away

65%

NEC Nijmegen has a significantly stronger attack and is expected to dominate possession and create more chances, making them more likely to score first.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

70%

Given the expectation of 'Over 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS Yes', it's highly probable that goals will be scored in both halves of the match.

Most Likely Score

1-2

15%

This score reflects NEC's superior attack and Groningen's ability to score at home, while acknowledging NEC's defensive vulnerabilities away from home.

BTTS 1st Half

No

60%

While both teams can score in the first half, it's less common for both to do so. Groningen's home defense is relatively solid in the first half, making 'No' a safer pick.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

65%

Based on the high number of expected goals and the attacking nature of both teams, the combined xG for the match is likely to exceed 2.5.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

80%

The API-Sports prediction explicitly advises 'Double chance: draw or NEC Nijmegen', and NEC is the superior team in terms of league position and attacking strength.

Draw No Bet

Away

65%

Based on the primary prediction of an NEC win, 'Away' in the Draw No Bet market offers a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

55%

Groningen's home advantage and decent defense could lead to a tight first half, potentially a draw. However, NEC's superior quality is expected to prevail in the second half, leading to an away win.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

60%

Both teams are expected to attack, especially NEC, which should lead to a decent number of corners. Eredivisie matches often see moderate to high corner counts.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

60%

Both teams average around 1.8 yellow cards per game. A competitive Eredivisie match with significant stakes (NEC pushing for Champions League qualification) is likely to see at least 4 cards.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

55%

NEC's strong attack and Groningen's home scoring ability suggest a match with multiple goal attempts. Over 8.5 shots on target is a reasonable expectation for an attacking game.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

50%

With two attacking teams, a high number of shots is expected, making 'Over 22.5' a reasonable default.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

50%

This is a standard default for a competitive league match where both teams will be fighting for possession and territory.

Possession Winner

Away

55%

NEC Nijmegen, being the higher-ranked and more dominant team, is expected to control more of the possession.

Groningen Clean Sheet

No

70%

NEC's attack is too strong for Groningen to likely keep a clean sheet. Conversely, NEC has only kept 1 clean sheet in 15 away games, and Groningen scores well at home, making an away clean sheet unlikely.

NEC Nijmegen Clean Sheet

No

70%

NEC's attack is too strong for Groningen to likely keep a clean sheet. Conversely, NEC has only kept 1 clean sheet in 15 away games, and Groningen scores well at home, making an away clean sheet unlikely.

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen โ€” Key Stats

GroningenStatNEC Nijmegen
9th League Positionโœ… 3rd
42 Pointsโœ… 54
30 Games Played30
12 Winsโœ… 15
6 โœ…Draws9
42 Goals Scoredโœ… 72
37 โœ…Goals Conceded48
1.4 Goals Per Gameโœ… 2.4
10 โœ…Clean Sheets5
WDWWD โœ…Recent FormWWDWD
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Euroborg

Home Ground

โฐ

2:45 PM UTC

Sunday, May 10

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Eredivisie

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without specific odds, it's difficult to track sharp money movement. However, given NEC's strong position and form, any significant movement towards a Groningen win would be considered an outlier. Line movement: No odds provided, so no line movement analysis possible.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
NEC Nijmegen Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 24%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธGroningen's decent home defense could make it difficult for NEC to score freely.
  • โš ๏ธThe absence of specific odds data makes it harder to gauge market sentiment and potential value.
  • โš ๏ธFootball's inherent unpredictability means even strong favorites can drop points, especially against a team in reasonable home form.

Model Confidence

โšก75%

Data quality: High - comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and API-Sports predictions were available.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of specific head-to-head match results and detailed player statistics (injuries, suspensions).
  • โ€ขAbsence of real-time betting odds limits value bet identification.
  • โ€ขNo detailed xG data for individual teams was provided, relying on general goal averages.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen โ€” FAQ

NEC Nijmegen is predicted to win the match, with a score prediction of 1-2.