Groningen vs Excelsior Prediction

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

With an average total goals prediction of 2.85 and both teams expected to score, Over 1.5 goals is a very high probability outcome for this match.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

While Over 2.5 goals is expected, the combined average of 2.85 goals suggests that hitting 4 or more goals (Over 3.5) is less likely, making Under 3.5 a more confident pick.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

Both teams show a tendency to score in the first half (Groningen 45.23% of goals, Excelsior 51.72% of goals). Given the attacking nature of Eredivisie and the need for points, at least one goal in the first half is highly probable.

First Team to Score

Home

Groningen, as the dominant home side, is expected to take the initiative and score the first goal of the match.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

Given the expectation of Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, it's highly probable that goals will be distributed across both halves, especially in an Eredivisie fixture.

Most Likely Score

2-1

Based on Groningen's average home goals (1.6) and Excelsior's average away goals (1.1), a 2-1 scoreline for Groningen aligns with the predicted outcome and BTTS 'Yes' market.

BTTS 1st Half

No

While both teams are expected to score overall, both finding the net in the first half is a lower probability event, as teams often take time to settle or one team might dominate the initial exchanges.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

Based on the combined average goals of 2.85 for this fixture, it's reasonable to infer that the expected goals (xG) generated by both teams will collectively exceed 2.5, reflecting the attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities.

Double Chance

1X

Groningen is the stronger team playing at home, making a win or a draw highly likely against a struggling Excelsior side.

Draw No Bet

Home

Given Groningen's clear advantage and strong home form, backing them with the draw no bet option provides a safer bet, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Home/Home

Groningen is expected to dominate from the start. While Excelsior might hold out initially, Groningen's attacking strength, especially in the latter part of the first half and second half, suggests they will lead at both half-time and full-time.

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

Eredivisie matches generally feature a decent number of corners. With Groningen attacking at home and Excelsior likely to defend and counter, leading to clearances and deflected shots, Over 9.5 corners is a reasonable expectation.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

Groningen averages 1.83 yellow cards per game, and Excelsior averages 1.38. In a match where one team is fighting relegation and the other is pushing for a higher league finish, competitive intensity can lead to more fouls and bookings. Over 3.5 cards is a plausible outcome.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

As the home favorite, Groningen will be looking to create numerous chances. Excelsior, despite their struggles, will also aim for counter-attacks and set-pieces. This attacking intent from both sides should lead to a combined total of over 8.5 shots on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

With Groningen pushing for goals at home and Excelsior needing to create chances to avoid defeat, both teams will likely contribute to a high volume of shots, making Over 22.5 total shots plausible.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Under 22.5

Eredivisie matches are generally not characterized by an extremely high number of fouls. While competitive, the technical nature of the league often keeps foul counts moderate. Under 22.5 fouls is a reasonable estimate.

Possession Winner

Home

As the stronger team playing at home and expected to control the game, Groningen is highly likely to dominate possession.

Groningen Clean Sheet

No

While Groningen has a better clean sheet record at home (35.7%), Excelsior still averages 1.1 goals away. Conversely, Excelsior's away clean sheet record is poor (14.3%), and Groningen averages 1.6 goals at home. Therefore, it's more likely that both teams will concede.

Excelsior Clean Sheet

No

While Groningen has a better clean sheet record at home (35.7%), Excelsior still averages 1.1 goals away. Conversely, Excelsior's away clean sheet record is poor (14.3%), and Groningen averages 1.6 goals at home. Therefore, it's more likely that both teams will concede.