La LigaLa LigaEstadio Municipal de Montilivi

Sunday, May 3, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 13h 47m

Girona

Girona

vs

Mallorca

Mallorca

78%
8%
14%
GironaDrawMallorca

AI Pick: Girona Win

Confidence: 75%

1X2: Girona Win (โšก75%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Girona vs Mallorca Prediction

This La Liga encounter pits a mid-table Girona side with a solid home record against a struggling Mallorca team battling relegation and possessing one of the league's worst away records. Girona is the clear favorite, expected to leverage their home advantage against a defensively vulnerable opponent.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Girona Win

Predicted: 2-1

โšก75%

Girona holds a significant home advantage, boasting a decent 40% win rate at home compared to Mallorca's abysmal 6.7% away win rate. Mallorca struggles heavily on the road, conceding an average of 1.93 goals per away game. Girona, while not prolific, scores 1.13 goals per home game and will be motivated to secure points against a relegation-threatened side. Mallorca's poor away defense and Girona's home form make a home win the most probable outcome.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.7

60%

Girona's home matches average 2.53 goals, and Mallorca's away matches average 2.8 goals. The combined average suggests a game with around 2.7 goals. Mallorca concedes nearly 2 goals per game away, making it likely Girona will score multiple times. Girona also concedes 1.4 goals at home, and Mallorca manages to score in 60% of their away games, indicating a good chance for both teams to find the net.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Girona's home matches average 2.53 goals, and Mallorca's away matches average 2.8 goals. The combined average suggests a game with around 2.7 goals. Mallorca concedes nearly 2 goals per game away, making it likely Girona will score multiple times. Girona also concedes 1.4 goals at home, and Mallorca manages to score in 60% of their away games, indicating a good chance for both teams to find the net.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

80%

With Girona's home matches averaging 2.53 goals and Mallorca's away matches averaging 2.8 goals, it is highly probable that there will be at least two goals in the match.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

70%

While Over 2.5 is predicted, pushing to Over 3.5 is less likely. Girona's home games average 2.53 goals and Mallorca's away games average 2.8 goals. Neither team is exceptionally high-scoring, suggesting that while goals are expected, a deluge of four or more goals is less probable.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

85%

Both teams show a tendency to score in the first half (Girona 14/33 total goals, Mallorca 14/36 total goals). With Girona pushing for an early advantage and Mallorca's defense being susceptible, a goal before halftime is highly probable.

First Team to Score

Home

70%

Girona, playing at home and being the stronger side, is more likely to open the scoring against a Mallorca team that struggles defensively on the road.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

65%

Both teams have shown a tendency to score goals across different periods of the game. With Mallorca's defensive vulnerabilities and Girona's attacking intent, it's reasonable to expect goals in both halves, especially if the game opens up.

Most Likely Score

2-1

15%

Based on Girona's average home goals (1.13) and Mallorca's average away goals conceded (1.93), Girona is likely to score twice. Mallorca, despite their away struggles, manages to score in 60% of their away games and Girona concedes 1.4 goals at home, making a 2-1 scoreline plausible.

BTTS 1st Half

No

70%

While both teams have a chance to score in the match, both scoring in the first half is less common. Mallorca's away scoring record is modest (0.87 avg), making it less likely they'll score early against Girona's home defense, even if Girona finds the net.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

60%

Given the predicted score of 2-1 and Mallorca's high goals conceded away, the quality of chances created by both teams (especially Girona) should translate to an xG value exceeding 2.5 for the match.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

85%

Girona's strong home form (6 wins, 4 draws in 15 games) combined with Mallorca's extremely poor away record (1 win, 3 draws, 11 losses in 15 games) makes a Girona win or draw a very safe bet.

Draw No Bet

Home

75%

Girona is the clear favorite based on home advantage and Mallorca's away struggles. This market removes the risk of a draw, making a Girona win the primary focus.

HT/FT

Home/Home

45%

Girona will aim to start strong at home. If they can get an early lead against a vulnerable Mallorca defense, they are likely to maintain it and secure the win. However, Mallorca's fight for survival could see them hold out for a draw at half-time.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

65%

With Mallorca likely to defend deep and Girona pushing for a home win, there should be plenty of attacking play and defensive clearances leading to corners. Mallorca's defensive struggles could also lead to more pressure and subsequent corners conceded.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

70%

Both teams average over 2 yellow cards per game (Girona 2.1, Mallorca 2.37). A competitive La Liga match, especially with Mallorca fighting relegation, is likely to be physical. The combined average suggests a high probability of exceeding 3.5 cards.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

60%

Girona will be on the offensive at home, and Mallorca will look for counter-attacking opportunities. Given Mallorca's defensive vulnerability, Girona should create several chances. A combined total of 9 or more shots on target is a reasonable expectation for a La Liga fixture.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

Girona will be looking to dominate possession and create chances at home. Mallorca, while defensive, will also attempt shots on the break or from set pieces. A combined total of over 22.5 shots is typical for an active La Liga match.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

La Liga matches are often physical, and with Mallorca fighting relegation, they will likely employ a more aggressive, disruptive style of play. This will naturally lead to a higher number of fouls from both sides.

Possession Winner

Home

75%

Girona typically aims to control possession, especially at home. Mallorca, particularly in away games and when facing a stronger opponent, tends to sit deeper and play more reactively, ceding possession.

Girona Clean Sheet

No

60%

Girona keeps a clean sheet in 33.3% of home games, while Mallorca only manages one in 6.7% of away games. Given Mallorca's poor away scoring, Girona has a better chance, but Girona also concedes 1.4 goals at home. Mallorca's need for points means they will push, making a clean sheet for either side less likely, especially for Mallorca.

Mallorca Clean Sheet

No

60%

Girona keeps a clean sheet in 33.3% of home games, while Mallorca only manages one in 6.7% of away games. Given Mallorca's poor away scoring, Girona has a better chance, but Girona also concedes 1.4 goals at home. Mallorca's need for points means they will push, making a clean sheet for either side less likely, especially for Mallorca.

Girona vs Mallorca โ€” Key Stats

GironaStatMallorca
12th โœ…League Position18th
38 โœ…Points31
31 โœ…Games Played30
9 โœ…Wins8
11 Drawsโœ… 7
33 Goals Scoredโœ… 36
45 โœ…Goals Conceded48
1.1 Goals Per Gameโœ… 1.2
6 โœ…Clean Sheets3
DWLWD โœ…Recent FormLDWLW
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Home Ground

โฐ

4:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 3

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

La Liga

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Girona vs Mallorca

โœ… Match Winner: Girona

Girona's strong home record (6 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses) contrasts sharply with Mallorca's dire away form (1 win, 3 draws, 11 losses). Given Mallorca's position in the relegation zone and their struggle to score away (0.87 avg) while conceding heavily (1.93 avg), Girona winning at home presents good value if odds are around 1.90 or higher.

โœ… Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals

While both teams' individual 'over 2.5' stats are low, the combined average goals in Girona's home matches (2.53) and Mallorca's away matches (2.8) suggest a higher likelihood of goals. Mallorca's leaky away defense (1.93 goals conceded per game) combined with Girona's ability to score at home (1.13 goals per game) points towards a match with at least three goals.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Sharp money would likely be on Girona to win, possibly with an Asian Handicap if the line is favorable. There might also be interest in 'Over' goal markets due to Mallorca's defensive vulnerabilities away from home. Line movement: Assuming initial odds were set, we would expect to see the line for a Girona win shorten as kick-off approaches, reflecting increased betting volume on the home side. Goal lines might also see movement towards 'Over' if early money comes in on that market.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Girona vs Mallorca

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Girona Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 26%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
3/10
  • โš ๏ธMallorca's desperate fight for survival could lead to an unexpectedly resilient performance.
  • โš ๏ธGirona's tendency for draws at home (4 in 15 games) could lead to a shared spoils outcome.
  • โš ๏ธLow-scoring nature of some La Liga matches could make goal markets tricky.

Model Confidence

โšก78%

Data quality: High. Comprehensive team statistics and league standings were provided, allowing for a detailed statistical analysis of both teams' performance.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of specific head-to-head records between Girona and Mallorca.
  • โ€ขLack of real-time odds, requiring estimation for value bet calculations.
  • โ€ขNo injury or suspension information, which could impact team strength.
  • โ€ขAbsence of xG data for more precise offensive/defensive strength assessment.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Girona vs Mallorca โ€” FAQ

Girona has played 15 home matches, winning 6, drawing 4, and losing 5. They have scored 17 goals and conceded 21 at home.