Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCraven Cottage

Sunday, May 24, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 7h 32m

Fulham

Fulham

vs

Newcastle

Newcastle

51%
20%
29%
FulhamDrawNewcastle

AI Pick: Fulham Win

Confidence: 46%

1X2: Fulham Win (46%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

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Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction

Fulham, with a strong home record, faces a struggling Newcastle side. Fulham's home advantage and Newcastle's poor recent form make the home side favorites, despite Newcastle's historical H2H edge. A moderately high-scoring game is expected.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Fulham Win

Predicted: 2-1

46%

Fulham boasts a strong home record with 10 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses this season, averaging 1.6 goals for and 1.1 goals against at Craven Cottage. In contrast, Newcastle's away form is poor, with only 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, and a significantly weaker away attack (0.9 goals per game). Newcastle's recent overall form (WLLLL) is also considerably worse than Fulham's (LWDLW). While API-Sports comparison shows Newcastle with a slight edge in attack and H2H, Fulham's home advantage and Newcastle's current struggles make a home win the most probable outcome. The API-Sports prediction also suggests 'Fulham or draw' with a 53.2% total comparison favoring Fulham.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.5

60%

Fulham's home games average 2.76 goals, and Newcastle's away games average 2.23 goals. This indicates a match with a decent chance of exceeding 2.5 goals. Fulham has scored in 15 of 17 home games, and Newcastle has scored in 10 of 17 away games, while both have conceded regularly, making BTTS 'Yes' highly probable.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Fulham's home games average 2.76 goals, and Newcastle's away games average 2.23 goals. This indicates a match with a decent chance of exceeding 2.5 goals. Fulham has scored in 15 of 17 home games, and Newcastle has scored in 10 of 17 away games, while both have conceded regularly, making BTTS 'Yes' highly probable.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

35%

With Fulham's home games averaging 2.76 goals and Newcastle's away games averaging 2.23 goals, scoring at least two goals in the match is a very high probability.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

47%

While over 2.5 goals is expected, the combined average goals for these teams' home/away fixtures do not strongly suggest a high-scoring game exceeding 3.5 goals.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

35%

Both Fulham and Newcastle have a history of scoring and conceding goals in the first half of their matches, making at least one goal before halftime very likely.

First Team to Score

Home

46%

Fulham's stronger home attack and Newcastle's weaker away attack make the home side more likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

46%

Given the attacking nature of both teams and their goal distribution across different periods of matches, it's reasonable to expect goals in both halves.

Most Likely Score

2-1

20%

A 2-1 Fulham win is a plausible outcome, considering Fulham's home scoring ability (1.6 avg) and Newcastle's capacity to score away (0.9 avg) despite their defensive struggles.

BTTS 1st Half

No

55%

While overall BTTS is likely, both teams scoring in the first half is a less common occurrence and carries higher risk, making 'No' a slightly more probable outcome.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

50%

Assuming a moderately open game with both teams creating scoring opportunities, an expected goals (xG) total over 2.5 for the match is a reasonable general expectation.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

47%

This pick aligns with the main prediction of a Fulham win and the API-Sports advice of 'Fulham or draw', providing a safer bet on Fulham not losing at home.

Draw No Bet

Home

46%

Supporting the Fulham win prediction, this market offers a return of the stake if the match ends in a draw, mitigating risk.

HT/FT

Home/Home

55%

Fulham's strong home performance and Newcastle's tendency to concede late in games (38.78% of goals conceded in 76-90 min) suggest Fulham could be leading at both half-time and full-time.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

46%

Premier League matches typically feature a high volume of attacking play, often leading to numerous corners. Over 9.5 is a common and reasonable expectation.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

46%

Both teams have accumulated a fair number of yellow cards throughout the season (Fulham 69, Newcastle 64). A competitive Premier League fixture is likely to see at least 4 cards.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

55%

Given both teams' attacking averages and the competitive nature of the league, a combined total of over 8.5 shots on target is a reasonable expectation.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

A combined total of over 22.5 shots is typical for an active Premier League match, reflecting both teams' efforts to create chances.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

Premier League matches are often physical and competitive, typically resulting in a decent number of fouls. Over 22.5 is a standard expectation.

Possession Winner

Home

55%

Playing at home, Fulham will likely aim to control the tempo and possession of the game against an away side that has struggled.

Fulham Clean Sheet

No

46%

Fulham has kept a clean sheet in only 5 of 17 home games, and Newcastle in 5 of 17 away games. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense, suggesting neither will keep a clean sheet.

Newcastle Clean Sheet

No

46%

Fulham has kept a clean sheet in only 5 of 17 home games, and Newcastle in 5 of 17 away games. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense, suggesting neither will keep a clean sheet.

Fulham vs Newcastle โ€” Key Stats

FulhamStatNewcastle
10th โœ…League Position13th
48 โœ…Points45
35 Games Played35
14 โœ…Wins13
6 Draws6
44 Goals Scoredโœ… 49
49 โœ…Goals Conceded51
1.3 Goals Per Gameโœ… 1.4
8 Clean Sheets8
WLDWL โœ…Recent FormLLLLW
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Craven Cottage

Home Ground

โฐ

3:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 24

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Premier League

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Fulham vs Newcastle

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

N/A (No odds data available to assess sharp money movements). Line movement: N/A (No odds data available to assess line movement).

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Fulham vs Newcastle

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Fulham Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 16%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธNewcastle's historical H2H advantage could play a psychological role.
  • โš ๏ธFulham's own inconsistency despite home advantage.
  • โš ๏ธNewcastle's potential for an upset despite poor recent form, given their higher attack percentage in comparison.

Model Confidence

โšก65%

Data quality: Good - Comprehensive team statistics and league standings were available for analysis.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of specific player injury information.
  • โ€ขAbsence of recent detailed Head-to-Head match results.
  • โ€ขNo real-time betting odds to cross-reference market sentiment.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Fulham vs Newcastle โ€” FAQ

Fulham has a strong home record with 10 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in 17 home matches, demonstrating their strength at Craven Cottage.