Premier LeagueCraven CottageSaturday, May 9, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 2h 11m
Fulham
vs
Bournemouth
AI Pick: Bournemouth Win
Confidence: 58%
1X2: Bournemouth Win (58%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
Fulham vs Bournemouth Prediction
This Premier League clash at Craven Cottage pits Fulham (12th) against Bournemouth (11th) in a tightly contested mid-table battle. Both teams are separated by just one point, indicating a closely matched encounter. Fulham boasts a solid home record, while Bournemouth arrives with an unbeaten streak in their last five games, albeit with a high number of draws.
MATCH RESULT
Bournemouth Win
Predicted: 1-2
58%
Bournemouth enters this match with a slight edge, being one point above Fulham in the league standings and showing better recent form, remaining unbeaten in their last five games (WDDDD). While Fulham boasts a strong home record (9 wins in 16 home games), the head-to-head history heavily favors Bournemouth (71% win rate). API-Sports also indicates a 'Win or draw' for Bournemouth, with their total comparison giving Bournemouth a 55% chance of winning compared to Fulham's 45.2%. Despite Fulham's home advantage, Bournemouth's resilience and historical dominance in this fixture lead to an away win prediction.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.1
60%
Despite both teams scoring regularly, their individual season statistics show a high propensity for games ending with Under 2.5 goals (over 80% for both). However, both teams also score and concede frequently, especially with Bournemouth's weaker away defense, making BTTS 'Yes' a strong possibility. The average expected goals for the match is around 2.1.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Despite both teams scoring regularly, their individual season statistics show a high propensity for games ending with Under 2.5 goals (over 80% for both). However, both teams also score and concede frequently, especially with Bournemouth's weaker away defense, making BTTS 'Yes' a strong possibility. The average expected goals for the match is around 2.1.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
Despite the Under 2.5 prediction, both teams score and concede enough for at least two goals to be scored in the match, especially with BTTS 'Yes' expected.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
With a strong likelihood of Under 2.5 goals, it is even more probable that the total goals will be Under 3.5.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both Fulham (14 goals in 1st half) and Bournemouth (23 goals in 1st half) have shown capability to score in the first 45 minutes, making at least one goal highly probable.
First Team to Score
Away
Bournemouth has a slightly higher percentage of goals scored in the first 30 minutes compared to Fulham, giving them a marginal edge to open the scoring.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
Given the expectation of both teams scoring and the likelihood of at least two goals, it's reasonable to expect action in both halves of the match.
Most Likely Score
1-2
Based on Bournemouth winning, both teams scoring, and the overall low-scoring trend, a 1-2 scoreline is a plausible outcome, though exact scores are highly speculative.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While both teams can score in the first half, it's less common for both to do so within the first 45 minutes, making 'No' a more probable outcome.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Aligning with the 'Under 2.5 Goals' prediction, the expected goals (xG) for the match are also likely to fall below 2.5, indicating fewer high-quality chances.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
X2
API-Sports explicitly advises 'Double chance: draw or Bournemouth' with a combined 90% probability, indicating high confidence in Bournemouth avoiding defeat.
Draw No Bet
Away
As Bournemouth is predicted to win, the Draw No Bet market would favor them, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Draw/Away
Bournemouth's recent form is draw-heavy, suggesting a tight first half. However, their H2H advantage and slight overall favoritism could see them secure a win in the second half.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Premier League matches typically see a high number of corners, and with both teams likely to attack, the 9.5 line is often surpassed.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Both teams average over 2 yellow cards per game (Fulham 2.03, Bournemouth 2.31), suggesting a combined total likely to exceed 3.5 in a competitive match.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
In a competitive Premier League fixture, both teams are expected to create multiple scoring opportunities, leading to a combined total of over 8.5 shots on target.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Both teams will be looking for goals, leading to a combined effort that should see more than 22.5 total shots attempted.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Premier League matches are often physical, and a competitive mid-table clash is likely to generate a fair number of fouls, pushing the total over 22.5.
Possession Winner
Home
As the home team, Fulham might aim to control possession, although this is a highly competitive fixture where possession could be evenly split.
Fulham Clean Sheet
No
Given the 'Both Teams To Score: Yes' prediction, it is unlikely either team will keep a clean sheet. Both teams concede regularly.
Bournemouth Clean Sheet
No
Given the 'Both Teams To Score: Yes' prediction, it is unlikely either team will keep a clean sheet. Both teams concede regularly.
Fulham vs Bournemouth โ Key Stats
Craven Cottage
Home Ground
2:00 PM UTC
Saturday, May 9
Matchday kickoff
Premier League
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Fulham vs Bournemouth
โ Match Winner: Bournemouth
Bournemouth is the slight favourite according to API-Sports total comparison and H2H, and their recent form is unbeaten. If odds for Bournemouth win are above 1.72, it could be a value bet.
โ Double Chance: X2 (Draw or Bournemouth)
API-Sports explicitly recommends this, with a combined 90% probability for Draw or Away. This offers a safer bet given the tight nature of the match.
โ Total Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Both teams have a very high percentage of games ending with Under 2.5 goals (Fulham 81.25%, Bournemouth 84.4%), suggesting a low-scoring affair.
โ Both Teams To Score: Yes
Both teams score and concede frequently. Fulham averages 1.7 goals at home, while Bournemouth concedes 2.0 goals away, making it likely both will find the net.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A (No odds data available to determine sharp money movements). Line movement: N/A (No odds data available to track line movement).
AI Same Game Parlay โ Fulham vs Bournemouth
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 20%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธFulham's strong home advantage could override Bournemouth's recent form and H2H record.
- โ ๏ธBournemouth's high draw rate (4 draws in last 5) could lead to a stalemate despite being the slight favourite.
- โ ๏ธLack of live odds data makes value betting speculative and difficult to quantify edge.
- โ ๏ธContradictory signals from API-Sports comparison (Poisson favors Fulham, Total favors Bournemouth).
Model Confidence
โก65%
Data quality: Good (comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and API-Sports predictions were available).
Limitations
- โขNo direct head-to-head match results were provided, only aggregated H2H percentages.
- โขNo injury reports were available, assuming full-strength squads.
- โขNo live odds data was provided, limiting the ability to identify true value bets and market sentiment.
- โขAmbiguous phrasing for 'Predicted Goals: Home -2.5 | Away -2.5' from API-Sports, which was interpreted based on team over/under stats.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Fulham vs Bournemouth โ FAQ
Yes, based on both teams' scoring and conceding records, especially Bournemouth's weaker away defense, it is highly probable that both teams will find the net.