Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCraven Cottage

Saturday, Apr 25, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC

Kickoff in 14d 19h 3m

Fulham

Fulham

vs

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

18%
64%
18%
FulhamDrawAston Villa

AI Pick: Draw

Confidence: 65%

1X2: Draw (65%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Fulham vs Aston Villa Prediction

A mid-table Fulham, in good recent form and with a strong home record, hosts a top-four Aston Villa, who are battling for a Champions League spot but have shown a dip in recent performances. The match is expected to be a tight affair.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Predicted: 1-1

65%

Fulham boasts a strong home record (9 wins from 16) and has shown better recent form (WDLWW) compared to Aston Villa (WLLLD). While Aston Villa is higher in the table and highly motivated for a Champions League spot, their away form is less convincing (6 wins, 5 losses) and their recent performances have dipped. This suggests a tightly contested match where Fulham's home advantage and current momentum could neutralize Villa's overall quality and ambition, leading to a draw.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.8

60%

Fulham's home matches average 2.9 total goals (1.7 GF, 1.2 GA), and Aston Villa's away matches average 2.8 total goals (1.3 GF, 1.5 GA). Both averages lean slightly towards Over 2.5 goals. Furthermore, both teams have a high propensity to score and concede, with Fulham scoring in 87.5% of home games and Villa in 66.7% of away games, while conceding in 75% and 73.3% respectively. This high likelihood of both teams scoring contributes to the 'Over 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS Yes' predictions.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Fulham's home matches average 2.9 total goals (1.7 GF, 1.2 GA), and Aston Villa's away matches average 2.8 total goals (1.3 GF, 1.5 GA). Both averages lean slightly towards Over 2.5 goals. Furthermore, both teams have a high propensity to score and concede, with Fulham scoring in 87.5% of home games and Villa in 66.7% of away games, while conceding in 75% and 73.3% respectively. This high likelihood of both teams scoring contributes to the 'Over 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS Yes' predictions.

📊 More Markets

Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

85%

With an average of 2.8-2.9 goals per match for both teams' respective home/away fixtures, and high BTTS probability, at least two goals are very likely.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

70%

While Over 2.5 is predicted, the average goals per game (2.8-2.9) suggest that exceeding 3.5 goals is less common for these teams in their respective home/away splits.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

80%

Fulham has scored 14 first-half goals at home this season, and Aston Villa 16 first-half goals away. Both teams also concede in the first half regularly, making at least one goal in the first 45 minutes highly probable.

First Team to Score

Home

60%

Fulham has a higher percentage of goals scored in the opening 15 minutes (14.29%) compared to Aston Villa (4.88%). Additionally, Villa concedes a higher percentage of goals early (18.42% in 0-15 min) than Fulham (0%).

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

65%

Given the expectation of Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, it's likely that goals will be distributed across both halves of the match.

Most Likely Score

1-1

25%

Based on the predicted draw and the average goal-scoring and conceding rates for both teams, a 1-1 scoreline is a plausible outcome.

BTTS 1st Half

Yes

45%

Both teams have shown capability to score and concede in the first half, making BTTS in the first half a possibility, though with lower confidence than full-time BTTS.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

60%

With an expected total of around 2.8 goals, the combined Expected Goals (xG) for both teams should comfortably exceed 2.5, reflecting the quality of chances created.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

70%

Aligns with the primary prediction of a draw, also covering a potential Fulham home win, which is supported by their strong home form and Villa's recent struggles.

Draw No Bet

Home

60%

If the match doesn't end in a draw, Fulham's strong home record and better recent form make them the more likely winner among the two options.

HT/FT

Draw/Draw

30%

Given the expectation of a tight match and a full-time draw, a draw at half-time is also a reasonable prediction, especially with both teams capable of scoring in the first half.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

65%

Premier League matches typically see a good number of corners, and with both teams likely to attack, the combined total should exceed 9.5.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

70%

This is a competitive Premier League fixture with high stakes for Aston Villa and Fulham's desire to maintain home form. Fulham averages 2.1 yellow cards per game, and Villa 1.5, suggesting a combined total likely to exceed 3.5 cards.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

60%

Both teams are expected to create chances. Fulham averages 1.7 goals per home game, and Villa 1.3 goals per away game, indicating sufficient offensive output to generate multiple shots on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

Both teams will be looking to create chances, and a combined total of over 22.5 shots (on and off target) is typical for a Premier League fixture.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

65%

A competitive Premier League match between two mid-to-high table teams often results in a fair number of fouls as both sides battle for control.

Possession Winner

Away

60%

Aston Villa, under Unai Emery, typically aims to control possession, even in away games against strong home sides.

Fulham Clean Sheet

No

75%

Fulham has kept only 4 clean sheets in 16 home games (25%), and Aston Villa only 3 clean sheets in 15 away games (20%). Given the offensive capabilities of both sides and their defensive records, neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Aston Villa Clean Sheet

No

75%

Fulham has kept only 4 clean sheets in 16 home games (25%), and Aston Villa only 3 clean sheets in 15 away games (20%). Given the offensive capabilities of both sides and their defensive records, neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Fulham vs Aston Villa Key Stats

FulhamStatAston Villa
9th League Position4th
44 Points54
31 Games Played31
13 Wins16
5 Draws6
43 Goals Scored42
44 Goals Conceded37
1.4 Goals Per Game1.4
6 Clean Sheets9
WWLDW Recent FormDLLLW
🏟️

Craven Cottage

Home Ground

11:30 AM UTC

Saturday, Apr 25

Matchday kickoff

Premier League

Soccer

Betting Angles Fulham vs Aston Villa

⚠️ Both Teams To Score: Yes

Fulham has scored in 14 of 16 home games and conceded in 12 of 16. Aston Villa has scored in 10 of 15 away games and conceded in 11 of 15. The statistics strongly suggest both teams are likely to find the back of the net, making 'BTTS Yes' a good value bet if odds are around 1.80.

💰 Sharp Money

Hypothetically, sharp money might be moving towards 'Fulham or Draw' (1X) or 'Both Teams To Score Yes', reflecting the underlying statistical trends and recent form. Line movement: Assuming initial lines might have slightly favored Aston Villa, we would expect to see line movement towards Fulham or a draw, and potentially towards 'Over 2.5 Goals' as the match approaches.

AI Same Game Parlay Fulham vs Aston Villa

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Draw2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 23%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • ⚠️Aston Villa's strong motivation for a Champions League spot could ignite a strong performance despite recent form.
  • ⚠️Fulham's historical inconsistency against top-tier teams.
  • ⚠️Individual brilliance from key players on either side could swing the outcome.

Model Confidence

70%

Data quality: High. Detailed team statistics and league standings for the current season provide a robust basis for analysis.

Limitations

  • Absence of head-to-head statistics between the two teams.
  • Lack of specific injury reports for key players.
  • No actual market odds provided, requiring hypothetical odds for value bet calculations.
  • API-Sports prediction for Draw/Home is unusually high, which could indicate an outlier or a specific factor not fully captured by general stats.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Fulham vs Aston Villa FAQ

Fulham has a strong home record this season, with 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in 16 matches at Craven Cottage.