EredivisieFortuna Sittard StadionSunday, May 10, 2026, 2:45 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 11h 48m
Fortuna Sittard
vs
PEC Zwolle
AI Pick: Draw
Confidence: 40%
1X2: Draw (40%)
O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle Prediction
This Eredivisie clash pits Fortuna Sittard (12th) against PEC Zwolle (13th) in a battle of two closely-ranked teams. Fortuna boasts a decent home record, while PEC Zwolle struggles significantly on the road, particularly defensively. However, PEC Zwolle has a strong historical H2H advantage and a recent tendency for draws. The match is expected to be competitive with goals from both sides.
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Predicted: 1-1
40%
PEC Zwolle has a high number of draws this season (10 total, 6 away) and their recent form includes 3 draws in the last 5 games. While API-Sports suggests a 'win or draw' double chance for PEC Zwolle, their away win record is very poor (only 1 win in 15 away games). Fortuna Sittard has a decent home record (6 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses) and scores consistently at home (1.6 goals/game). PEC Zwolle concedes heavily away (2.7 goals/game). The combination of Fortuna's home scoring ability and PEC Zwolle's draw tendency, coupled with API-Sports' high draw probability (45%), points towards a balanced outcome. Despite PEC Zwolle's strong H2H, their poor away form makes a draw a more realistic outcome than an outright away win, while Fortuna's home advantage prevents an easy away victory.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5 Goals
Total: 3.0
60%
Fortuna Sittard's home games average 3.3 goals, and PEC Zwolle's away games average 4.0 goals. Both teams score and concede regularly; Fortuna averages 1.6 goals for and 1.7 against at home, while PEC Zwolle averages 1.3 goals for and a high 2.7 against away. This indicates a strong likelihood of multiple goals and both teams finding the net.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Fortuna Sittard's home games average 3.3 goals, and PEC Zwolle's away games average 4.0 goals. Both teams score and concede regularly; Fortuna averages 1.6 goals for and 1.7 against at home, while PEC Zwolle averages 1.3 goals for and a high 2.7 against away. This indicates a strong likelihood of multiple goals and both teams finding the net.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
Fortuna Sittard's home matches average 3.3 goals and PEC Zwolle's away matches average 4.0 goals. Both teams consistently score and concede, making Over 1.5 goals a highly probable outcome.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
While both teams have high goal averages in their matches, a predicted 1-1 draw suggests a tighter game than some of their higher-scoring fixtures. Under 3.5 offers a reasonable balance given the draw prediction.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both Fortuna Sittard and PEC Zwolle have shown a tendency to score and concede goals in the first half, particularly in the opening 15 minutes for PEC Zwolle and 31-45 minutes for Fortuna.
First Team to Score
Home
Fortuna Sittard scores well at home (1.6 avg), and PEC Zwolle concedes heavily away (2.7 avg), including early goals. Fortuna is slightly more likely to open the scoring.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in both halves of their matches, indicating a sustained attacking threat and defensive vulnerability throughout the game.
Most Likely Score
1-1
Consistent with the main prediction of a draw, and reflecting the scoring capabilities and defensive weaknesses of both teams, a 1-1 scoreline is a plausible outcome for a tight contest.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While both teams can score and concede in the first half, both teams scoring in the first 45 minutes is a higher bar and less frequent than BTTS over the full 90 minutes.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5 xG
Based on the high average goals scored and conceded by both teams in their respective home/away fixtures, the underlying expected goals for this match are likely to be above 2.5.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
X2
API-Sports explicitly advises a 'draw or PEC Zwolle' double chance, with a combined 90% probability for these outcomes. Given PEC Zwolle's high draw rate, this is a sensible and safer bet.
Draw No Bet
Home
While a draw is predicted, if a winner must be chosen, Fortuna Sittard's home advantage and PEC Zwolle's very poor away win record (1 in 15) make Fortuna the more likely side to win if the game doesn't end in a draw.
HT/FT
Draw/Draw
Given the expectation of a closely contested match and a full-time draw, a Draw/Draw outcome for Half Time/Full Time is a logical extension, suggesting neither team will establish a dominant lead early on.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Eredivisie matches typically feature a good number of attacking plays, leading to corners. Both teams will likely push for goals, contributing to the corner count.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Both teams have accumulated a fair number of yellow cards throughout the season. A competitive match between two closely ranked teams could lead to several cautions.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
Given both teams' attacking averages and defensive vulnerabilities, it's expected that they will create multiple scoring opportunities, resulting in a decent number of shots on target.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Given the attacking averages and defensive issues of both teams, it's expected that they will generate a high volume of shots, both on and off target.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
A competitive Eredivisie match between two mid-table teams often involves a fair amount of physical play and tactical fouling to break up opponent attacks.
Possession Winner
Home
Home teams generally tend to have a slight edge in possession, especially when playing against a team with a poor away record like PEC Zwolle.
Fortuna Sittard Clean Sheet
No
Fortuna Sittard has only 3 home clean sheets, and PEC Zwolle has only 1 away clean sheet this season. Both teams concede an average of 1.7-2.7 goals in their respective home/away fixtures, making clean sheets unlikely for either side.
PEC Zwolle Clean Sheet
No
Fortuna Sittard has only 3 home clean sheets, and PEC Zwolle has only 1 away clean sheet this season. Both teams concede an average of 1.7-2.7 goals in their respective home/away fixtures, making clean sheets unlikely for either side.
Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle โ Key Stats
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Home Ground
2:45 PM UTC
Sunday, May 10
Matchday kickoff
Eredivisie
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Cannot assess without odds data. Line movement: Cannot assess without odds data.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 14%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
High Risk- โ ๏ธPEC Zwolle's extremely poor away record contradicts API-Sports' strong 'away win or draw' prediction, creating uncertainty.
- โ ๏ธNo odds data available, making value bet identification impossible and overall market sentiment unknown.
- โ ๏ธThe H2H data strongly favors PEC Zwolle, but their current away form is very weak, creating a conflict in predictive factors.
- โ ๏ธBoth teams are in the lower mid-table, suggesting a high-stakes match where unexpected results can occur.
Model Confidence
60%
Data quality: Good, comprehensive team statistics and league standings provided.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of real-time betting odds limits value bet identification and market sentiment analysis.
- โขLack of specific head-to-head match results (only percentage) makes detailed H2H analysis difficult.
- โขNo injury or suspension information, which could significantly impact team performance.
- โขConflicting signals between PEC Zwolle's poor away form and their strong H2H record/API-Sports prediction.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle โ FAQ
Fortuna Sittard's recent form in the Eredivisie is inconsistent, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 league matches (DLLWL).