Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

With an expected total of 2.3 goals and Fluminense's average of 2.0 goals per home game, it is very likely that there will be at least two goals in the match.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

While Fluminense is strong at home, Chapecoense's defensive approach and inability to score away games suggest that the total goals will not exceed 3.5. The average expected goals are 2.3.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

Fluminense has a good record of scoring in the first half (over 50% of their goals come before the 60th minute). Chapecoense also concedes a significant portion of their goals in the first half (18.75% in 16-30, 25% in 31-45). It's highly probable to see at least one goal before halftime.

First Team to Score

Home

Fluminense has a strong attacking record at home and has never failed to score. Chapecoense has a very poor away scoring record and has failed to score in 2 of their 3 away matches. Fluminense is highly likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

Fluminense scores goals consistently across both halves. While Chapecoense's scoring is low, Fluminense's attacking prowess and Chapecoense's tendency to concede in both halves (especially 46-60 and 76-90) make a goal in both halves plausible.

Most Likely Score

2-0

Based on Fluminense's average home goals (2.0 GF) and Chapecoense's very low away goals (0.3 GF), a 2-0 scoreline in favor of Fluminense is the most probable exact score, reflecting Fluminense's offensive strength and Chapecoense's attacking struggles.

BTTS 1st Half

No

Chapecoense has a very low scoring rate away from home, particularly in the first half (no goals in 0-15 min, only 20% in 16-30 min). It's highly unlikely they will score in the first half against a strong Fluminense side, making BTTS in the first half improbable.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

Based on the average goals scored and conceded (Fluminense home GF 2.0, GA 0.8; Chapecoense away GF 0.3, GA 1.7), the combined expected goals for the match are around 2.3. This suggests that the total xG will likely be under 2.5.

Double Chance

1X

Fluminense has a perfect home record (5 wins, 0 draws) and is significantly stronger than Chapecoense-sc. A home win or draw (1X) is an extremely safe bet given the statistical disparity.

Draw No Bet

Home

Given Fluminense's strong home form and Chapecoense's poor away record, Fluminense is the clear favorite. The Draw No Bet market removes the risk of a draw, making 'Home' the logical and confident pick.

HT/FT

Home/Home

Fluminense is expected to dominate from the start, especially at home. Their ability to score in the first half and maintain their lead against a weaker opponent makes 'Home/Home' a likely outcome.

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

In Brasileirão matches, especially when a dominant home team faces a weaker opponent, there's often a high number of attacks and defensive clearances leading to corners. Fluminense will likely press, and Chapecoense will defend deep, contributing to corner counts.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

Brazilian Serie A matches are typically physical and competitive, leading to a higher incidence of cards. Both teams have accumulated a fair number of cards this season (Fluminense 22 yellow/1 red in 10 games, Chapecoense 17 yellow/1 red in 9 games). A struggling away side might resort to fouls, and a dominant home side might get frustrated, pushing the card count over 3.5.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

Fluminense, as the dominant home team, will likely create numerous scoring opportunities. Chapecoense, even if defensive, might manage a few counter-attacks or speculative shots. This should push the total shots on target above 8.5.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Fluminense, playing at home and being the superior team, will likely have a high number of shots. Chapecoense will also attempt shots, even if from less promising positions, contributing to an overall high total.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Brazilian Serie A matches are known for their intensity and physicality. A game featuring a dominant home side and a struggling away team often leads to tactical fouls from the underdog to break up play, contributing to a high foul count.

Possession Winner

Home

Fluminense, as the stronger team playing at home, is expected to control the tempo and dominate possession against a Chapecoense side that will likely sit deeper and look to counter.

Fluminense Clean Sheet

Yes

Fluminense has kept 2 clean sheets in 5 home games and faces a Chapecoense side that has failed to score in 2 of their 3 away matches. Conversely, Chapecoense has conceded in all 3 of their away games, making a clean sheet for them highly unlikely.

Chapecoense-sc Clean Sheet

No

Fluminense has kept 2 clean sheets in 5 home games and faces a Chapecoense side that has failed to score in 2 of their 3 away matches. Conversely, Chapecoense has conceded in all 3 of their away games, making a clean sheet for them highly unlikely.