BrasileirãoBrasileirão

Sunday, Apr 19, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 8d 8h 0m

Flamengo

Flamengo

vs

Bahia

Bahia

78%
8%
14%
FlamengoDrawBahia

AI Pick: Flamengo Win

Confidence: 75%

1X2: Flamengo Win (75%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

Flamengo vs Bahia Prediction

This Brasileirão clash pits two in-form teams against each other. Flamengo, with their dominant home record and stellar defense, will look to capitalize on home advantage. Bahia, however, has proven to be a tough opponent on the road. Expect a tactical battle with Flamengo holding the edge.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Flamengo Win

Predicted: 2-0

75%

Flamengo boasts an exceptional home record, with 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 games, conceding only 2 goals. Their home attack averages 2.25 goals per game. While Bahia has a strong away record (3 wins in 4 games), Flamengo's defensive solidity at home, combined with their potent attack, makes them strong favorites. Bahia's away goals conceded average (1.25) suggests they can be breached. Flamengo's current league position and form further reinforce their advantage.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.0

60%

Flamengo's home defense is incredibly strong, conceding only 0.5 goals per game. While Bahia scores away, Flamengo's defensive prowess makes a clean sheet for the home side highly probable. The overall league trend for both teams also points towards lower-scoring matches, leading to an Under 2.5 Goals prediction and a total of around 2 goals.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Flamengo's home defense is incredibly strong, conceding only 0.5 goals per game. While Bahia scores away, Flamengo's defensive prowess makes a clean sheet for the home side highly probable. The overall league trend for both teams also points towards lower-scoring matches, leading to an Under 2.5 Goals prediction and a total of around 2 goals.

📊 More Markets

Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

75%

Despite predicting Under 2.5 goals, the likelihood of at least two goals being scored in the match remains high, especially with Flamengo's strong home attack.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

70%

Consistent with the Under 2.5 Goals prediction, it is highly unlikely that this match will see four or more goals, given both teams' defensive capabilities and the league's general scoring trends.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

85%

Both Flamengo and Bahia have a history of scoring in the first half. Flamengo's early goal percentage is 25% (0-15 min), and Bahia has a high percentage (42.86%) in the 31-45 minute range. At least one goal in the first half is highly probable.

First Team to Score

Home

75%

Flamengo's strong home attack and tendency to score early (25% in 0-15 min) make them the most likely team to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

No

60%

Given the prediction of a lower-scoring game (2-0), it's less certain that goals will be scored in both halves. A single goal in one half, or two goals in one half, could still lead to a 2-0 scoreline.

Most Likely Score

2-0

40%

Based on Flamengo's strong home attack and excellent home defense, combined with the expectation of a lower-scoring game, a 2-0 victory for Flamengo is a plausible exact score.

BTTS 1st Half

No

65%

With Flamengo's strong home defense and the expectation of a tighter match, it's unlikely that both teams will manage to score in the first 45 minutes.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

65%

Consistent with the prediction of a lower-scoring game and strong defenses, the combined Expected Goals (xG) for both teams is likely to be under 2.5.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

90%

Given Flamengo's formidable home record (3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), avoiding defeat at home against Bahia is a highly confident prediction.

Draw No Bet

Home

80%

Flamengo is the stronger side, especially at home. This market offers a safety net in case of a draw, but a home win is the most likely outcome.

HT/FT

Home/Home

50%

Flamengo often starts strong at home and has the quality to maintain a lead. While Bahia can be resilient, Flamengo's dominance should see them ahead at both half-time and full-time.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

60%

Brasileirão matches often feature a decent number of corners due to attacking play and defensive clearances. Flamengo's strong home attack will likely generate several, and Bahia will also contribute.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

70%

The Brasileirão is known for its physicality and competitive nature, often resulting in a high number of cards. Both teams average over 2 yellow cards per game, making Over 3.5 cards a likely outcome.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

55%

Both teams are in good attacking form. Flamengo at home will push forward, and Bahia will look for opportunities on the counter. A combined total of 9 or more shots on target is a reasonable expectation.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

Both teams possess attacking talent and will look to create chances. A combined total of over 22 shots is a reasonable estimate for a competitive league match.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

65%

Brasileirão matches are typically competitive and physical, leading to a higher number of fouls. This top-of-the-table clash is expected to be no different.

Possession Winner

Home

70%

Flamengo, especially at home, is known for its dominant style of play and ability to control possession against most opponents.

Flamengo Clean Sheet

Yes

70%

Flamengo's home defense is exceptional, conceding only 2 goals in 4 home games (0.5 per game) and keeping 2 clean sheets. Bahia's away defense is less robust, and Flamengo's home attack is potent, having not failed to score at home.

Bahia Clean Sheet

No

70%

Flamengo's home defense is exceptional, conceding only 2 goals in 4 home games (0.5 per game) and keeping 2 clean sheets. Bahia's away defense is less robust, and Flamengo's home attack is potent, having not failed to score at home.

Flamengo vs Bahia Key Stats

FlamengoStatBahia
4th League Position5th
17 Points17
9 Games Played9
5 Wins5
2 Draws2
16 Goals Scored13
9 Goals Conceded9
1.8 Goals Per Game1.4
3 Clean Sheets4
WWDLW Recent FormWWLWL

Betting Angles Flamengo vs Bahia

Match Winner: Flamengo

Flamengo's dominant home form (75% win rate) against a strong but not invincible away side offers significant value at these estimated odds. Their defensive strength at home is a key factor.

Total Goals: Under 2.5 Goals

Flamengo's home defense is outstanding, conceding only 0.5 goals per game. Both teams' overall league statistics show a strong tendency for games to finish with under 2.5 goals (Flamengo 66.7% under, Bahia 88.9% under). This suggests a tighter, lower-scoring affair than the attacking averages might initially imply.

💰 Sharp Money

N/A (No odds provided to analyze sharp money movements). Line movement: N/A (No odds provided to analyze line movements).

AI Same Game Parlay Flamengo vs Bahia

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Flamengo Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 26%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • ⚠️Bahia's strong away form could lead to a more competitive match than expected.
  • ⚠️The absence of historical head-to-head data makes direct comparisons challenging.
  • ⚠️Any early goal could significantly alter the game's dynamic and predicted total goals.

Model Confidence

70%

Data quality: Good. Comprehensive team statistics and league standings for the current season were available, providing a solid foundation for analysis.

Limitations

  • No specific head-to-head statistics were provided.
  • No real-time odds were available, requiring estimation for value bet calculations.
  • No injury or suspension information was provided, assuming full squads.
  • Small sample size for home/away stats (4-5 games).

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Flamengo vs Bahia FAQ

Flamengo has an excellent home record this season, with 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 matches, remaining unbeaten at home.