How has Lazio performed away from home?

Lazio's away record stands at 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses in 15 away matches, with a strong defensive record of 0.7 goals conceded per game.

Are many goals expected in this match?

No, a low-scoring match is highly anticipated. Both teams have a very high percentage of their games ending with under 2.5 goals (Fiorentina 93.3%, Lazio 86.7%).

What is the recent form of both teams?

Fiorentina's recent form is D-W-D-L-W (last 5 league games), while Lazio's recent form is W-W-W-L-D (last 5 league games), indicating Lazio is in better current form.

Who is higher in the Serie A standings?

Lazio is significantly higher, ranked 8th with 43 points, compared to Fiorentina who is 16th with 29 points.

Is there a significant goal difference between the teams?

Yes, Lazio has a goal difference of +3, while Fiorentina has a goal difference of -9, highlighting Lazio's overall stronger performance.

Serie AStadio Artemio Franchi

Monday, Apr 13, 2026, 6:45 PM UTC

Kickoff in 11d 20h 0m

Fiorentina

Lazio

18%

64%

18%

FiorentinaDrawLazio

AI Pick: Draw

Confidence: 65%

Fiorentina

18%

64%

18%

FiorentinaDrawLazio

AI Pick: Draw

Confidence: 65%

Lazio

1X2: Draw (⚡65%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

Fiorentina vs Lazio Prediction

This Serie A clash features 16th-placed Fiorentina hosting 8th-placed Lazio. Lazio enters the match in superior form and league position, boasting a strong defense, especially away from home. However, their away scoring record is modest. Fiorentina struggles for home wins but frequently draws. A low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Predicted: 1-1

⚡65%

Lazio, despite being the higher-ranked team with better overall form, struggles to score away from home, averaging only 0.7 goals per away match. Their strong away defense (0.7 goals conceded per away match) suggests they will be difficult to break down. Fiorentina, while having home advantage, has a poor home win record (3 wins in 15 games) but a high propensity for draws (6 home draws). Given both teams' defensive solidity (especially Lazio away) and Fiorentina's tendency for stalemates, a low-scoring draw is the most probable outcome.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 1-2 Goals

60%

Both Fiorentina (93.3%) and Lazio (86.7%) have played a very high percentage of their matches with under 2.5 goals. Lazio's away defense is particularly strong, conceding only 0.7 goals per game, while their away attack also averages only 0.7 goals. Fiorentina has failed to score in 2 of their 15 home games, and Lazio in 9 of their 15 away games, making BTTS: No a likely outcome. This points towards a tight match with a maximum of two goals.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Fiorentina vs Lazio — Key Stats

FiorentinaStatLazio

16th League Position✅ 8th

29 Points✅ 43

30 Games Played✅ 30

6 Wins✅ 11

11 Draws✅ 10

35 ✅Goals Scored31

44 Goals Conceded✅ 28

1.2 ✅Goals Per Game1.0

5 Clean Sheets✅ 14

WLDWD ✅Recent FormDLWWW

🏟️

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Home Ground

⏰

6:45 PM UTC

Monday, Apr 13

Matchday kickoff

⚽

Serie A

Soccer

Betting Angles — Fiorentina vs Lazio

⚠️ Full Time Result: Draw

Fiorentina has drawn 6 of their 15 home matches (40%), and Lazio has drawn 6 of their 15 away matches (40%). The implied probability from the odds (32.2%) is lower than our model's assessment, indicating value. Lazio's strong away defense combined with their weak away attack, against a Fiorentina side that struggles to convert draws into wins at home, makes a draw a strong possibility.

⚠️ Total Goals: Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring games. Fiorentina has seen under 2.5 goals in 28 of their 30 total matches (93.3%), while Lazio has done so in 26 of their 30 total matches (86.7%). Lazio's away average of 0.7 goals for and 0.7 goals against further supports a low-scoring affair. The assumed odds of 1.75 for Under 2.5 offer significant value given the high statistical probability.

💰 Sharp Money

No specific sharp money data or line movement information was provided in the input. Therefore, no analysis can be made. Line movement: No specific line movement data was provided in the input. Therefore, no analysis can be made.

AI Same Game Parlay — Fiorentina vs Lazio

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg

Draw3.20

Under 2.5 Goals1.85

BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 10.18 (+918)

AI Confidence: 23%

$10 → $101.82 | $25 → $254.56 | $50 → $509.12

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Build custom SGP →

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk

6/10

⚠️Fiorentina's home advantage, despite poor form, could still lead to an unexpected result.
⚠️Lazio's away attack is not prolific, but a single moment of quality could secure a narrow win.
⚠️The high number of draws for both teams increases the unpredictability of a definitive winner.

Model Confidence

⚡70%

Data quality: Good, with comprehensive team statistics and standings provided for both clubs.

Limitations

•Absence of head-to-head records between the two teams.
•Lack of specific injury reports for key players.
•No information on recent player form or tactical changes beyond general team formations.
•No data on referee assignments or weather conditions which could influence the game.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Fiorentina vs Lazio — FAQ

Fiorentina has a home record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses in 15 matches played at home this season.