Serie AStadio Artemio FranchiSunday, May 24, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 5h 30m
Fiorentina
vs
Atalanta
AI Pick: Atalanta Win
Confidence: 58%
1X2: Atalanta Win (58%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
Get $5 Free Bet โ No Deposit Required
Bet Atalanta Win ยท AI confidence 58%
18+ ยท Play Responsibly ยท Predictify Sports may earn commission ยท Affiliate disclosure
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction
This Serie A clash pits 15th-placed Fiorentina against 7th-placed Atalanta. While Atalanta holds a superior league position and a better defensive record, Fiorentina enters the match with strong recent home form. The game is anticipated to be a tight, low-scoring affair, with Atalanta slightly favored to secure a narrow victory.
MATCH RESULT
Atalanta Win
Predicted: 1-2
58%
Atalanta, despite playing away, holds a significantly higher league position (7th vs 15th) and boasts a superior defensive record throughout the season (0.9 goals conceded per game vs Fiorentina's 1.3). While Fiorentina has shown improved recent form at home (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses in last 5), Atalanta's overall quality and the API-Sports prediction favoring an 'Away Win or Draw' with a slight edge to the away side (50.7% total comparison) suggest they are more likely to secure a narrow victory. The match is expected to be low-scoring, aligning with both teams' historical goal statistics.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.3
60%
Both Fiorentina and Atalanta exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring matches, with over 90% of their games this season featuring Under 3.5 goals. Fiorentina's average total goals per game is 2.44, and Atalanta's is 2.26. The API-Sports advice also points to Under 3.5 goals. Given the predicted score of 1-2, both teams are expected to score, making BTTS 'Yes' a reasonable pick, while the overall goal count remains under 2.5.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Both Fiorentina and Atalanta exhibit a strong tendency for low-scoring matches, with over 90% of their games this season featuring Under 3.5 goals. Fiorentina's average total goals per game is 2.44, and Atalanta's is 2.26. The API-Sports advice also points to Under 3.5 goals. Given the predicted score of 1-2, both teams are expected to score, making BTTS 'Yes' a reasonable pick, while the overall goal count remains under 2.5.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
While Under 2.5 is favored, Over 1.5 goals is highly likely. Only 23% of Fiorentina's games and 37% of Atalanta's games have seen Under 1.5 goals, indicating that at least two goals are common.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
Both teams have a very high percentage of games ending with Under 3.5 goals (Fiorentina 94%, Atalanta 94%). This is a strong statistical trend supported by API-Sports advice.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams have a history of scoring and conceding goals in the first half. It is highly probable that at least one goal will be scored before halftime, given the attacking capabilities of Atalanta and Fiorentina's home presence.
First Team to Score
Away
Atalanta has a stronger attack and is the favored team, making them more likely to open the scoring.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
Both teams have shown capability to score and concede in both halves. In a competitive match, it's reasonable to expect goals to be distributed across both periods.
Most Likely Score
1-2
This score reflects Atalanta's slight offensive edge and Fiorentina's ability to score at home, while maintaining the expectation of a low-scoring affair.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While a goal in the first half is likely, both teams scoring in the first 45 minutes is less common, especially in a match expected to be tight and low-scoring overall.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Given the expectation of a low-scoring match and both teams' defensive solidity (especially Atalanta), the combined Expected Goals (xG) for the game is likely to be under 2.5.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
X2
The API-Sports prediction explicitly advises 'draw or Atalanta' (X2), with a combined probability of 90% (45% draw, 45% away win). This is a strong market signal for Atalanta to avoid defeat.
Draw No Bet
Away
Given the prediction of an Atalanta win, 'Away' in the Draw No Bet market offers a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Draw/Away
Considering Fiorentina's strong recent home form, a tight first half leading to a draw is plausible. Atalanta's superior overall quality is then expected to prevail in the second half to secure the win.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Serie A matches typically see a decent number of corners. With both teams likely to attack and defend actively, an average to slightly above-average corner count is expected.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Serie A is a competitive league, and this match between two mid-table to upper-mid-table teams is likely to be fiercely contested, leading to a moderate number of fouls and subsequent bookings. Both teams have accumulated a fair share of yellow cards this season.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
While a low-scoring game is anticipated, both teams will aim for goal. An average number of shots on target, combining efforts from both sides, should exceed 8.5.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Both teams will look to create chances, and even in a low-scoring game, the cumulative number of shots (on and off target) from both sides should exceed 22.5.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Serie A matches are often physical, and a competitive encounter between these two teams is expected to generate a fair number of fouls.
Possession Winner
Away
Atalanta, as the higher-ranked team, typically aims to control possession against mid-table opponents, even when playing away.
Fiorentina Clean Sheet
No
Based on the predicted score of 1-2, both teams are expected to find the back of the net, meaning neither team will keep a clean sheet. Fiorentina's home clean sheet rate is 29%, and Atalanta's away clean sheet rate is 35%, making clean sheets for either side less likely in a competitive match.
Atalanta Clean Sheet
No
Based on the predicted score of 1-2, both teams are expected to find the back of the net, meaning neither team will keep a clean sheet. Fiorentina's home clean sheet rate is 29%, and Atalanta's away clean sheet rate is 35%, making clean sheets for either side less likely in a competitive match.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta โ Key Stats
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Home Ground
1:00 PM UTC
Sunday, May 24
Matchday kickoff
Serie A
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Fiorentina vs Atalanta
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A - No odds data provided to assess sharp money movements. Line movement: N/A - No odds data provided to assess line movements.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Fiorentina vs Atalanta
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 20%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธFiorentina's strong recent home form could lead to an upset or a draw.
- โ ๏ธAtalanta's away form has been inconsistent (5 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses), making a clear away win less certain.
- โ ๏ธThe API-Sports total comparison shows a very narrow margin between the teams (Home 49.3% vs Away 50.7%), indicating a highly competitive match.
Model Confidence
โก65%
Data quality: Good, with comprehensive team and league statistics available. However, specific H2H match details and real-time odds were not provided.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of detailed head-to-head match results and trends.
- โขLack of real-time bookmaker odds for value bet identification.
- โขNo injury reports, which could significantly impact team performance.
- โขConflicting 'Form' and 'Defense' percentages in API-Sports comparison vs. raw statistical data.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta โ FAQ
Based on current form, league standings, and statistical analysis, an away win for Atalanta is the most likely outcome, though a draw is also a strong possibility.