EredivisieEredivisieDe Kuip

Saturday, Apr 25, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 14d 22h 4m

Feyenoord

Feyenoord

vs

Groningen

Groningen

78%
8%
14%
FeyenoordDrawGroningen

AI Pick: Feyenoord Win

Confidence: 75%

1X2: Feyenoord Win (75%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Feyenoord vs Groningen Prediction

Feyenoord are strong favorites to win this Eredivisie clash against Groningen at De Kuip. Despite a recent dip in form, their overall quality, home advantage, and superior league position should see them through. The match is expected to feature goals from both sides, with Feyenoord likely to dominate possession and create numerous chances.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Feyenoord Win

Predicted: 2-1

75%

Feyenoord, despite a recent mixed form (DDWDL in their last five league games according to standings), maintains a strong overall home record with 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses from 15 matches. They average 2.33 goals scored at home. Groningen, while showing decent recent form (WWDWL), has a less convincing away record with 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses from 15 matches, conceding an average of 1.53 goals per away game. Feyenoord's superior squad quality, league position (2nd vs 10th), and home advantage at De Kuip should be enough to secure a win, though Groningen's ability to score away suggests they could make it a competitive match.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 3.3

60%

Feyenoord's home matches average 3.73 total goals, while Groningen's away matches average 2.8 total goals. This combined average strongly points towards an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome. Both teams also have a high propensity to score; Feyenoord has failed to score in 0 home games, and Groningen has scored in 12 of their 15 away games. Feyenoord also concedes an average of 1.4 goals at home, making 'Both Teams To Score: Yes' a likely scenario. The calculated total expected goals for the match is approximately 3.3.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Feyenoord's home matches average 3.73 total goals, while Groningen's away matches average 2.8 total goals. This combined average strongly points towards an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome. Both teams also have a high propensity to score; Feyenoord has failed to score in 0 home games, and Groningen has scored in 12 of their 15 away games. Feyenoord also concedes an average of 1.4 goals at home, making 'Both Teams To Score: Yes' a likely scenario. The calculated total expected goals for the match is approximately 3.3.

📊 More Markets

Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

90%

With Feyenoord's home games averaging 3.73 total goals and Groningen's away games averaging 2.8, it is highly probable that there will be at least two goals in this match.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

60%

While Feyenoord's home games can be high-scoring, Groningen's away games tend to be slightly lower-scoring (2.8 total goals average). A competitive 2-1 or 2-0 scoreline is plausible, keeping the total under 3.5 goals, despite Feyenoord's attacking strength.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

85%

Both teams show a tendency to score in the first half. Feyenoord scores 21.31% of their goals in minutes 31-45 and 19.67% in 16-30. Groningen scores 23.81% in 31-45. A goal in the first 45 minutes is highly probable.

First Team to Score

Home

80%

Feyenoord's offensive strength and home advantage make them the most likely team to open the scoring. They rarely fail to score at home and typically start matches on the front foot.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

75%

Both teams have shown the ability to score in different phases of the game. Feyenoord scores consistently, and Groningen has a significant percentage of goals in the latter stages of halves. Given the expected open nature of the game, goals in both halves are likely.

Most Likely Score

2-1

20%

Based on Feyenoord's average home goals (2.33) and Groningen's average away goals conceded (1.53), a 2-1 scoreline for Feyenoord aligns with the expected offensive and defensive performances of both teams, while acknowledging Groningen's potential to score.

BTTS 1st Half

No

60%

While both teams are likely to score in the match, the probability of both teams scoring specifically in the first half is lower. Feyenoord concedes 15-17.5% in the first half, and Groningen scores 9.5-11.9% in the first half, making it less likely for both to find the net before the break.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

70%

Based on the expected total goals of 3.3 and the attacking nature of Feyenoord at home, the quality and quantity of chances created by both teams should translate to an xG total exceeding 2.5.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

90%

Feyenoord's strong home record and superior league position make a home win or draw (1X) a very safe bet. Their overall quality should prevent a direct loss at De Kuip against Groningen.

Draw No Bet

Home

85%

Given Feyenoord's status as clear favorites, selecting 'Home' on a Draw No Bet market offers good security. If the match ends in a draw, the stake is returned, mitigating risk while still backing the stronger team.

HT/FT

Home/Home

60%

Feyenoord, as the stronger team at home, is expected to take an early lead and maintain it throughout the match. Their attacking prowess often sees them ahead by halftime, converting that into a full-time victory.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

70%

As Feyenoord is the dominant home team, they will likely press and create numerous attacking opportunities, leading to a higher number of corners. Groningen, while defending, will also contribute to corners through clearances or counter-attacks.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

65%

Feyenoord averages 1.58 yellow cards per game, and Groningen averages 1.82. A competitive Eredivisie match, especially with a strong home side pushing for a win, often sees enough fouls and contentious moments to exceed 3.5 cards.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

70%

Feyenoord, as the attacking home team, will aim for many shots on target. Groningen will also look to test the keeper on counter-attacks. A combined total of over 8.5 shots on target is a reasonable expectation for an Eredivisie fixture with a dominant home side.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

65%

Feyenoord, playing at home and being the dominant side, will generate a high volume of shots. Groningen will also contribute shots, especially on counter-attacks, pushing the total comfortably over 22.5.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Under 22.5

60%

Eredivisie matches generally have a moderate foul count. While competitive, this fixture is unlikely to be overly aggressive, keeping the total fouls below 22.5.

Possession Winner

Home

85%

Feyenoord, as the stronger team playing at home, is expected to control the tempo and dominate possession against Groningen.

Feyenoord Clean Sheet

No

70%

Feyenoord has kept a clean sheet in only 4 of 15 home games (26.7%), and Groningen has scored in 12 of their 15 away games. Conversely, Groningen has kept a clean sheet in 4 of 15 away games, but Feyenoord has failed to score in 0 home games. Therefore, both teams are expected to concede.

Groningen Clean Sheet

No

70%

Feyenoord has kept a clean sheet in only 4 of 15 home games (26.7%), and Groningen has scored in 12 of their 15 away games. Conversely, Groningen has kept a clean sheet in 4 of 15 away games, but Feyenoord has failed to score in 0 home games. Therefore, both teams are expected to concede.

Feyenoord vs Groningen Key Stats

FeyenoordStatGroningen
2nd League Position10th
54 Points41
29 Games Played29
16 Wins12
6 Draws5
61 Goals Scored42
40 Goals Conceded37
2.1 Goals Per Game1.4
9 Clean Sheets9
LDWDD Recent FormLWDWW
🏟️

De Kuip

Home Ground

2:30 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr 25

Matchday kickoff

Eredivisie

Soccer

Betting Angles Feyenoord vs Groningen

Match Winner: Feyenoord

Feyenoord's strong home record (66.7% win rate) and overall superior league performance suggest a higher probability of victory than the implied odds of 64.1%. Despite a slight dip in recent form, their underlying statistics and quality make them a solid pick with a positive edge.

💰 Sharp Money

Given the low odds for Feyenoord, sharp money might be looking for value in alternative markets like handicaps or goal totals, or potentially a draw if they align with the API-Sports sentiment. Our model identifies value in a straight Feyenoord win. Line movement: Without historical odds data, specific line movement cannot be analyzed. However, the current odds suggest the market has settled on Feyenoord as a strong favorite, possibly having drifted slightly due to their recent draws.

AI Same Game Parlay Feyenoord vs Groningen

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Feyenoord Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 26%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
3/10
  • ⚠️Feyenoord's recent form shows a slight inconsistency, potentially leading to a more challenging match than expected.
  • ⚠️Groningen's decent recent form could see them capitalize on any Feyenoord complacency or errors.
  • ⚠️The Eredivisie can sometimes produce unexpected results, especially if a favorite underestimates an opponent.

Model Confidence

78%

Data quality: High. Comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and recent form data were available for both teams.

Limitations

  • Lack of specific head-to-head statistics.
  • Absence of injury reports, which could significantly impact team performance.
  • No detailed xG data or advanced metrics for more precise predictions.
  • API-Sports draw prediction is a significant outlier compared to market odds, which could indicate an unknown factor or a differing model approach.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Feyenoord vs Groningen FAQ

Feyenoord has a strong home record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in 15 Eredivisie matches this season.