EredivisieDe KuipSunday, May 10, 2026, 2:45 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 11h 50m

Feyenoord
vs

AZ Alkmaar
AI Pick: Feyenoord Win
Confidence: 68%
1X2: Feyenoord Win (โก68%)
O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
Feyenoord hosts AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash. Feyenoord, sitting 2nd, has a formidable home record and a historically dominant head-to-head advantage. AZ Alkmaar, 6th, comes into the match with better recent form but struggles significantly on the road. The match is expected to be competitive with goals from both sides.
MATCH RESULT
Feyenoord Win
Predicted: 2-1
โก68%
Feyenoord, currently 2nd in the Eredivisie, boasts a strong home record with 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in 15 matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored per home game. AZ Alkmaar, 6th in the league, has a significantly weaker away record with 6 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per away game. While AZ Alkmaar shows slightly better recent form (3 wins, 2 losses in last 5 vs Feyenoord's 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss), Feyenoord's dominant head-to-head record (93% favorability according to API-Sports comparison) and superior home performance are key factors. The API-Sports Poisson model also favors Feyenoord at 63%. Despite the API-Sports prediction suggesting a high draw probability (45%), Feyenoord's overall strength at home against an inconsistent away side leads to a home win prediction, tempered by AZ's recent form.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.9
60%
Feyenoord's home matches average 3.7 goals (2.3 for, 1.4 against). AZ Alkmaar's away matches average 2.8 goals (1.2 for, 1.6 against). Both teams consistently score and concede, with Feyenoord scoring in all 15 home games and AZ scoring in 12 of 15 away games. BTTS 'Yes' is highly probable, occurring in 73% of both Feyenoord's home games and AZ's away games. The combined average suggests a total around 2.9 goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a strong prediction.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Feyenoord's home matches average 3.7 goals (2.3 for, 1.4 against). AZ Alkmaar's away matches average 2.8 goals (1.2 for, 1.6 against). Both teams consistently score and concede, with Feyenoord scoring in all 15 home games and AZ scoring in 12 of 15 away games. BTTS 'Yes' is highly probable, occurring in 73% of both Feyenoord's home games and AZ's away games. The combined average suggests a total around 2.9 goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a strong prediction.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
With an expectation of Over 2.5 goals and both teams likely to score, Over 1.5 goals is a very high probability outcome for this match.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
While Over 2.5 is likely, pushing to Over 3.5 is borderline. Feyenoord's home average is 3.7 total goals, but AZ's away average is 2.8. Given AZ's away scoring isn't exceptionally high, Under 3.5 offers a safer bet.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in the first half. Feyenoord scores 48.39% of their goals in the first half, while AZ scores 52.94% in the first half. A goal before halftime is very likely.
First Team to Score
Home
Feyenoord has a strong home attack and has not failed to score at home this season. They are more likely to open the scoring against an AZ side that can be vulnerable away.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
With both teams expected to score and the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals, it's reasonable to expect action in both halves of the match.
Most Likely Score
2-1
Based on Feyenoord's home scoring average (2.3) and AZ's away scoring average (1.2), combined with both teams conceding, a 2-1 Feyenoord win is a plausible outcome.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While both teams are likely to score in the match, BTTS in the first half is a less common occurrence and carries higher risk. A single goal in the first half is more probable than both teams scoring.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5 xG
Aligning with the prediction for Over 2.5 actual goals, the attacking nature of both teams and their scoring/conceding averages suggest a match with a high expected goals total.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
The API-Sports prediction explicitly advises 'Double chance: Feyenoord or draw' with a combined 90% probability (45% home win, 45% draw). Feyenoord's strong home record and H2H dominance make this a very safe pick.
Draw No Bet
Home
Feyenoord is the favorite based on league position, home form, and H2H. The Draw No Bet market removes the risk of a draw, making Feyenoord a solid choice.
HT/FT
Home/Home
Feyenoord is a strong home team and often starts matches well. While AZ's recent form is good, Feyenoord's home advantage should allow them to lead at halftime and maintain it until full time.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Both teams are attacking-minded, especially Feyenoord at home. This type of match often generates a good number of corners as teams push forward.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Feyenoord averages 1.67 yellow cards per game, and AZ Alkmaar averages 2.03 yellow cards per game. A combined average of around 3.7 cards suggests Over 3.5 cards is likely in a competitive match between two top-half teams.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
Given the attacking averages of both teams (Feyenoord 2.3 home goals, AZ 1.2 away goals) and the expectation of multiple goals, a decent volume of shots on target is anticipated.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Both teams have capable attacks. Feyenoord at home will look to dominate, and AZ will attempt to counter. This should lead to a good volume of total shots.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Eredivisie matches are generally competitive, and a clash between two top-half teams often results in a decent number of fouls as both sides battle for control.
Possession Winner
Home
Feyenoord, as the higher-ranked team playing at home, is expected to control the tempo and possession for the majority of the match.
Feyenoord Clean Sheet
No
Feyenoord has kept 4 clean sheets at home (26%), while AZ has kept 4 clean sheets away (26%). Given the high probability of both teams scoring (BTTS Yes), it's unlikely either team will keep a clean sheet.
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet
No
Feyenoord has kept 4 clean sheets at home (26%), while AZ has kept 4 clean sheets away (26%). Given the high probability of both teams scoring (BTTS Yes), it's unlikely either team will keep a clean sheet.
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar โ Key Stats
De Kuip
Home Ground
2:45 PM UTC
Sunday, May 10
Matchday kickoff
Eredivisie
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A - No odds data available to assess sharp money movements. Line movement: N/A - No odds data available to assess line movements.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 24%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธAZ Alkmaar's stronger recent form could pose a challenge.
- โ ๏ธThe API-Sports prediction indicates a high probability of a draw (45%), which adds uncertainty.
- โ ๏ธFeyenoord's recent run includes several draws, suggesting potential for dropped points.
Model Confidence
โก68%
Data quality: Good. Comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and API-Sports predictions were available. However, specific H2H match results, injury reports, and real-time odds were not provided.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of specific H2H match results for detailed analysis.
- โขLack of injury information for both teams.
- โขNo real-time bookmaker odds to validate market sentiment or identify value bets.
- โขNo xG data provided for a more advanced offensive/defensive metric.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar โ FAQ
Feyenoord has a strong home record this season, with 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in 15 matches at De Kuip.