MLSTQL StadiumSaturday, Apr 25, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Kickoff in 15d 6h 59m
FC Cincinnati
vs
New York Red Bulls
AI Pick: Draw
Confidence: 65%
1X2: Draw (⚡65%)
O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls Prediction
This MLS Eastern Conference clash pits FC Cincinnati, strong at home but inconsistent overall, against a more consistent New York Red Bulls side. The match is expected to be competitive with goals from both teams, with a draw or a narrow away win being the most probable outcomes.
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Predicted: 2-2
⚡65%
FC Cincinnati has a strong home record (2 wins, 1 loss) despite a poor overall form. They score an average of 2.0 goals at home. New York Red Bulls have a better overall form and are positioned higher in the Eastern Conference standings. Their away form is decent (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss), though one heavy loss skews their goals against average. The API-Sports prediction heavily favors a draw or an away win (45% each). Given Cincinnati's ability to score at home and NYRB's attacking threat, a competitive match is expected, likely ending in a draw with goals from both sides.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5 Goals
Total: 3.5
60%
FC Cincinnati's home games average 3.0 total goals, while New York Red Bulls' away games average 4.0 total goals. This combined average of 3.5 goals per game, along with both teams scoring and conceding regularly (Cincy scored in 2/3 home, conceded in 2/3; NYRB scored in 3/3 away, conceded in 3/3), points to an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome and 'Both Teams To Score'.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
FC Cincinnati's home games average 3.0 total goals, while New York Red Bulls' away games average 4.0 total goals. This combined average of 3.5 goals per game, along with both teams scoring and conceding regularly (Cincy scored in 2/3 home, conceded in 2/3; NYRB scored in 3/3 away, conceded in 3/3), points to an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome and 'Both Teams To Score'.
📊 More Markets
⚽ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
5 out of 6 relevant home/away matches for these teams have seen over 1.5 goals. Both teams score and concede regularly, making this a highly probable outcome.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
While the average total goals are high, only 3 out of 6 relevant home/away matches have gone over 3.5 goals. This suggests that while goals are expected, a total exceeding 3.5 is slightly less common than falling under it.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in the first half. FC Cincinnati has scored 3 and conceded 6 in the first half across all games, while NY Red Bulls have scored 3 and conceded 5. This indicates a high probability of at least one goal before halftime.
First Team to Score
Away
New York Red Bulls have a slightly better overall form and attacking consistency, giving them a marginal edge to open the scoring.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score and concede in both halves of their matches, making it likely that goals will be distributed across both periods.
Most Likely Score
2-2
This score aligns with the predicted draw, both teams to score, and the 'Over 2.5 Goals' market, reflecting the offensive capabilities of both sides and their tendency to concede.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While both teams score and concede in the first half, it's less common for both to score in the first 45 minutes compared to the full 90 minutes. The statistics don't strongly support BTTS in the first half.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5 xG
Based on the high average total goals observed in their respective home/away matches (3.0 for Cincy home, 4.0 for NYRB away), the expected goals for the match are likely to exceed 2.5.
🏆 Result Markets
Double Chance
X2
Aligned with the API-Sports prediction (45% Draw, 45% Away) and New York Red Bulls' slightly better overall form and league position, a draw or away win is a strong possibility.
Draw No Bet
Away
Considering New York Red Bulls' slightly superior form and league standing, they are marginally favored to win, but with the draw as a refund option, it's a safer bet than a straight win.
HT/FT
Draw/Draw
Given the expectation of a competitive match and a potential 2-2 final score, a draw at halftime and fulltime is a plausible, albeit low-confidence, outcome.
📊 Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Without specific corner statistics, the pick is based on general MLS averages for competitive matches, which often see 10 or more corners.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
FC Cincinnati averages 1.8 yellow cards and 0.5 red cards per game, while New York Red Bulls average 1.6 yellow cards and 0.16 red cards. MLS matches can be physical, and a combined average of over 3 cards suggests that 4 or more cards are likely.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
Based on typical MLS match dynamics where both teams are expected to create scoring opportunities, leading to a decent number of shots on target.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Assuming an open and attacking game from both sides, a combined total of over 22.5 shots is a reasonable expectation for an MLS fixture.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
MLS matches are typically competitive and can be quite physical, often resulting in a higher number of fouls. This pick is based on general league averages.
Possession Winner
Away
New York Red Bulls often employ a high-pressing, possession-oriented style, and given their slightly better form, they might edge out FC Cincinnati in possession.
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet
No
FC Cincinnati has kept only 1 clean sheet in 6 games (1 at home), and NY Red Bulls also have only 1 clean sheet in 6 games (1 at home). Both teams concede regularly, making clean sheets for either side unlikely.
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet
No
FC Cincinnati has kept only 1 clean sheet in 6 games (1 at home), and NY Red Bulls also have only 1 clean sheet in 6 games (1 at home). Both teams concede regularly, making clean sheets for either side unlikely.
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — Key Stats
TQL Stadium
Home Ground
11:30 PM UTC
Saturday, Apr 25
Matchday kickoff
MLS
Soccer
Betting Angles — FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls
⚠️ Double Chance & Total Goals: Draw or New York Red Bulls & Over 1.5 Goals
The API-Sports advice strongly suggests 'Draw or New York Red Bulls'. Both teams have shown a high propensity for goals in their respective home/away matches, with 5 out of 6 relevant games seeing over 1.5 goals. Combining these two highly probable outcomes offers significant value.
💰 Sharp Money
N/A - No sharp money data available without live odds. Line movement: N/A - No line movement data available without opening and current odds.
AI Same Game Parlay — FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls
🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 23%
$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
High Risk- ⚠️No odds provided, requiring estimation of implied probabilities.
- ⚠️Lack of detailed H2H statistics for direct comparison.
- ⚠️Absence of specific injury reports, which could alter team strength.
- ⚠️Limited advanced metrics (e.g., xG, possession, shots on target) requiring reliance on general league averages for some markets.
- ⚠️One-sided heavy losses for both teams (Cincy 6-1 away, NYRB 6-1 away) can skew average goal statistics.
Model Confidence
⚡70%
Data quality: Good, with detailed team statistics and standings for the current season. However, lack of H2H, injury, and advanced metrics (xG, possession, shots) limits precision for some markets.
Limitations
- •Absence of historical head-to-head data.
- •No specific injury reports for either team.
- •Lack of real-time odds prevents calculation of true value bets and implied probabilities.
- •Limited advanced statistical metrics (e.g., xG, possession, specific player data).
- •Small sample size (6 games) for season statistics can be influenced by outliers.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — FAQ
Based on current form and statistics, a draw or an away win for New York Red Bulls is considered the most likely outcome, with a slight edge towards a draw.