Premier LeagueHill Dickinson StadiumSunday, May 17, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 9h 53m

Everton
vs

Sunderland
AI Pick: Everton Win
Confidence: 46%
1X2: Everton Win (46%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: No

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Everton vs Sunderland Prediction
This Premier League fixture pits 11th-placed Everton against 12th-placed Sunderland. Everton benefits from home advantage and a strong historical head-to-head record, while Sunderland comes in with slightly better recent form. The match is expected to be a low-scoring, tight affair.
MATCH RESULT
Everton Win
Predicted: 2-1
46%
Everton, playing at home, holds a slight advantage over Sunderland. While both teams are closely matched in the Premier League standings (Everton 11th, Sunderland 12th), Everton's home record is marginally better than Sunderland's away record. Crucially, the API-Sports comparison gives Everton a 60.5% total advantage and explicitly advises a 'Win or draw' for the home side, backed by a strong H2H record (71% for Everton). Sunderland's away scoring average is quite low (0.8 goals per game), which should aid Everton's defense. Despite Sunderland's slightly better recent form, Everton's home advantage and historical dominance in this fixture make them the more likely winner.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.2
60%
Both Everton and Sunderland have a strong tendency for lower-scoring games, with a high percentage of their matches ending with under 2.5 goals. Everton averages 1.2 goals for and 1.2 against, while Sunderland averages 1.1 for and 1.3 against. Sunderland's particularly low away scoring average (0.8 goals per game) makes 'Both Teams To Score - No' a reasonable pick, as Everton has a decent home clean sheet record (6 in 17 games).
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
No
55%
Both Everton and Sunderland have a strong tendency for lower-scoring games, with a high percentage of their matches ending with under 2.5 goals. Everton averages 1.2 goals for and 1.2 against, while Sunderland averages 1.1 for and 1.3 against. Sunderland's particularly low away scoring average (0.8 goals per game) makes 'Both Teams To Score - No' a reasonable pick, as Everton has a decent home clean sheet record (6 in 17 games).
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
While an 'Under 2.5' game is expected, a 2-1 scoreline (our prediction) would still be 'Over 1.5' goals. Both teams generally manage to score at least one goal in their matches.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
Both teams have very low percentages of games exceeding 3.5 goals (Everton 0/34, Sunderland 2/34). This market is highly likely to be 'Under 3.5'.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams have shown capability to score in the first half, with Everton scoring 15 of their 41 goals and Sunderland 11 of their 36 goals before halftime. It's highly probable at least one goal will be scored in the first 45 minutes.
First Team to Score
Home
Everton has a stronger home attack (1.3 avg) compared to Sunderland's away attack (0.8 avg), and tends to score earlier in games than Sunderland.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
With a predicted score of 2-1, it's reasonable to expect goals to be distributed across both halves, especially if the game remains competitive.
Most Likely Score
2-1
Aligns with the predicted home win and the average goal-scoring capabilities of both teams, while acknowledging the difficulty of predicting exact scores.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While both teams can score in the first half, it's less common for both to score within the first 45 minutes, especially given Sunderland's lower away scoring rate.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Given the low actual goal averages for both teams and the expectation of a tight, defensive match, the expected goals (xG) are also likely to be below 2.5.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
The API-Sports prediction explicitly suggests 'Win or draw' for Everton, and the overall comparison also favors Everton significantly. This is a high-confidence pick.
Draw No Bet
Home
Based on the predicted Everton win and their overall statistical advantage at home, Everton Draw No Bet is the logical choice.
HT/FT
Draw/Home
Given the competitive nature and the fact that Sunderland's defense isn't easily breached early, a draw at halftime followed by Everton securing the win in the second half is a common scenario for such fixtures.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Premier League matches typically see a good number of corners, and with both teams likely to push for a result, a competitive game should lead to multiple corner opportunities.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Both teams have accumulated a fair number of cards this season (Everton 63 yellow, 4 red; Sunderland 73 yellow, 2 red). A mid-table clash often involves competitive play and tactical fouls, making over 3.5 cards likely.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Under 8.5
Given the low-scoring nature predicted and both teams' average attacking output, a high volume of shots on target is less probable. Defenses are expected to be organized.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Even in lower-scoring games, teams tend to accumulate a decent number of shots, with many off target. Over 22.5 shots is a common threshold for Premier League matches.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Premier League matches are typically physical, and a mid-table clash often leads to a higher number of fouls as both teams battle for possession and territory.
Possession Winner
Home
Playing at home, Everton is likely to try and dictate the tempo and control possession against a slightly lower-ranked opponent.
Everton Clean Sheet
Yes
Everton has kept 6 clean sheets at home this season, and Sunderland has failed to score in 8 of their 17 away games, indicating a struggle to find the net on the road. This makes a home clean sheet plausible.
Sunderland Clean Sheet
No
Everton has kept 6 clean sheets at home this season, and Sunderland has failed to score in 8 of their 17 away games, indicating a struggle to find the net on the road. This makes a home clean sheet plausible.
Everton vs Sunderland โ Key Stats
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Home Ground
2:00 PM UTC
Sunday, May 17
Matchday kickoff
Premier League
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Everton vs Sunderland
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A - No odds data available to assess sharp money movements. Line movement: N/A - No odds data available to assess line movements.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Everton vs Sunderland
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 16%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธSunderland's slightly better recent form could lead to an upset or a draw.
- โ ๏ธEverton's inconsistent home performance (6W-4D-7L) adds an element of unpredictability.
- โ ๏ธThe high draw probability indicated by API-Sports (45%) suggests a tight contest.
Model Confidence
โก65%
Data quality: Good, with comprehensive team and league statistics provided for both clubs.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of real-time betting odds.
- โขLack of specific player injury or suspension information.
- โขNo detailed tactical or recent match performance data beyond form strings.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Everton vs Sunderland โ FAQ
Everton is predicted to win the match with a score of 2-1, although a draw is also considered a strong possibility.