Liga PortugalLiga PortugalEstádio António Coimbra da Mota

Sunday, Apr 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 15d 23h 30m

Estoril

Estoril

vs

Famalicao

Famalicao

15%
70%
15%
EstorilDrawFamalicao

AI Pick: Draw

Confidence: 70%

1X2: Draw (70%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

Estoril vs Famalicao Prediction

This Liga Portugal match between Estoril and Famalicao is expected to be a tight affair. Famalicao, sitting higher in the table with better recent form and a solid defense, holds a slight edge. However, Estoril's strong home attack cannot be underestimated. A draw, particularly a 1-1 scoreline, is the most probable outcome.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Predicted: 1-1

70%

This Liga Portugal clash pits 7th-placed Estoril against 5th-placed Famalicao. Famalicao sits 9 points ahead of Estoril, indicating a stronger overall season. While Estoril boasts a potent home attack, averaging 1.9 goals per game, Famalicao's away defense is robust, conceding only 1.1 goals per game. Famalicao's recent form (DWWWD) is superior to Estoril's (LLWDL). The API-Sports prediction also heavily favors a draw or an away win (45% each). Given Famalicao's defensive solidity and better league standing, combined with Estoril's home scoring ability, a tightly contested match is expected. A draw, particularly 1-1, seems a highly probable outcome, reflecting both teams' strengths and weaknesses.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.2

60%

Famalicao's away matches are typically low-scoring, with an average of 2.0 total goals (0.9 for, 1.1 against). Estoril's home games average 3.3 goals (1.9 for, 1.4 against). However, Famalicao's strong defensive record (0.9 goals conceded overall, 1.1 away) suggests they can stifle Estoril's attack. Famalicao also has 14 clean sheets this season, indicating their defensive prowess. Given Famalicao's low away scoring (0.9 goals per game) and solid defense, it's more likely that at least one team fails to score, leading to a 'No' for BTTS and 'Under 2.5 Goals' overall. The total expected goals are closer to Famalicao's lower average, estimated at 2.2.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Famalicao's away matches are typically low-scoring, with an average of 2.0 total goals (0.9 for, 1.1 against). Estoril's home games average 3.3 goals (1.9 for, 1.4 against). However, Famalicao's strong defensive record (0.9 goals conceded overall, 1.1 away) suggests they can stifle Estoril's attack. Famalicao also has 14 clean sheets this season, indicating their defensive prowess. Given Famalicao's low away scoring (0.9 goals per game) and solid defense, it's more likely that at least one team fails to score, leading to a 'No' for BTTS and 'Under 2.5 Goals' overall. The total expected goals are closer to Famalicao's lower average, estimated at 2.2.

📊 More Markets

Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

80%

Despite the expectation of 'Under 2.5 Goals', both teams have a reasonable chance to score at least one goal. Estoril averages 1.9 goals at home, and Famalicao, while low-scoring away, still finds the net in most matches. 'Over 1.5 Goals' is a safer bet.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

85%

Famalicao's matches are overwhelmingly 'Under 3.5 Goals' (27/28 matches). While Estoril's home games can be higher scoring, Famalicao's defensive strength should keep the total goals below this threshold.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

70%

Estoril scores 48% of their goals in the first half, and Famalicao scores 40% in the first half. Both teams also concede a significant portion of goals in the first 45 minutes, making a goal before halftime quite likely.

First Team to Score

Home

60%

Estoril has a stronger home attack, averaging 1.9 goals per game, compared to Famalicao's 0.9 goals per game away. This suggests Estoril has a slightly higher chance of breaking the deadlock.

Goal in Both Halves

No

60%

Given the prediction for 'Under 2.5 Goals' and a tight match, it's less likely that goals will be scored in both halves. A single goal or goals concentrated in one half is more probable.

Most Likely Score

1-1

65%

This score aligns with the prediction of a draw. Estoril's home scoring (1.9 avg) suggests they will likely find the net, while Famalicao's solid defense (1.1 avg conceded away) and lower away scoring (0.9 avg) make a single goal for them a reasonable expectation.

BTTS 1st Half

No

70%

Both teams to score in the first half is a rare occurrence, especially in a match expected to be low-scoring and cautious. Famalicao's strong defense further reduces this probability.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

70%

Consistent with the 'Under 2.5 Goals' prediction, the expected goals (xG) for this match are anticipated to be below 2.5, reflecting the defensive strength of Famalicao and the overall tight nature of the game.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

75%

Famalicao is higher in the league table and in better recent form. Their strong defense makes them difficult to beat, even away from home. A draw or an away win is a solid prediction, aligning with the API's advice.

Draw No Bet

Away

65%

Given Famalicao's superior league position and form, if the match doesn't end in a draw, they are the more likely side to secure a victory.

HT/FT

Draw/Draw

60%

Considering the expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair and a final score of 1-1, a draw at halftime and fulltime is a plausible scenario. Both teams will be cautious, especially in the first half.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

60%

Liga Portugal matches generally see a decent number of corners. With both teams likely to push for a result, especially Estoril at home, attacking play should generate enough corner opportunities.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

80%

Both Estoril and Famalicao average around 2.57 yellow cards per game. A competitive match between two mid-table teams often leads to a higher card count as intensity rises. The combined average suggests a high probability of exceeding 3.5 cards.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

65%

Estoril's strong home attack and Famalicao's ability to create chances, even if they don't always convert, should lead to a reasonable number of shots on target from both sides in a competitive fixture.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

65%

Both teams will be looking to create chances. While Famalicao is defensively solid, Estoril will push at home, and Famalicao will look for counter-attacks. This should lead to a combined total of over 22.5 shots.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

70%

Liga Portugal matches typically feature a high number of fouls. A competitive mid-table clash with a lot at stake for both teams will likely see a physical encounter, pushing the foul count over 22.5.

Possession Winner

Away

60%

Famalicao, being the higher-ranked team and generally more composed, is likely to control more of the possession, even when playing away from home.

Estoril Clean Sheet

No

65%

Estoril has only kept 2 clean sheets at home in 14 games (14%), while Famalicao has kept 5 clean sheets away in 14 games (36%). Famalicao's overall defensive record is much stronger, making an away clean sheet more probable than a home one.

Famalicao Clean Sheet

Yes

65%

Estoril has only kept 2 clean sheets at home in 14 games (14%), while Famalicao has kept 5 clean sheets away in 14 games (36%). Famalicao's overall defensive record is much stronger, making an away clean sheet more probable than a home one.

Estoril vs Famalicao Key Stats

EstorilStatFamalicao
7th League Position5th
37 Points46
28 Games Played28
10 Wins13
7 Draws7
50 Goals Scored35
47 Goals Conceded24
1.8 Goals Per Game1.3
5 Clean Sheets14
LDWLL Recent FormDWWWD
🏟️

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Home Ground

4:00 PM UTC

Sunday, Apr 26

Matchday kickoff

Liga Portugal

Soccer

Betting Angles Estoril vs Famalicao

Match Result: Draw

With Famalicao's strong defense and Estoril's home scoring, a draw is a highly plausible outcome. If typical odds for a draw are around 3.20, our model's higher probability of 45% suggests significant value.

Total Goals: Under 2.5 Goals

Famalicao's matches tend to be low-scoring, especially away (0.9 goals for, 1.1 against). While Estoril scores well at home, Famalicao's defense can limit opportunities. The combined average goals per game for Famalicao is 2.2, supporting the 'Under 2.5 Goals' pick.

💰 Sharp Money

Sharp money would likely target the 'Under 2.5 Goals' market due to Famalicao's consistent low-scoring matches, and potentially 'Draw' or 'Famalicao Draw No Bet' given the tight nature of the fixture. Line movement: Without opening odds, it's hard to predict line movement. However, if Estoril's home form is overvalued, we might see lines shift towards Famalicao or the draw as the match approaches.

AI Same Game Parlay Estoril vs Famalicao

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Draw2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 25%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • ⚠️Lack of specific odds makes value bet assessment hypothetical.
  • ⚠️Absence of head-to-head data limits historical context.
  • ⚠️No injury information could lead to unforeseen squad weaknesses.
  • ⚠️Estoril's strong home attack could upset Famalicao's defense.
  • ⚠️Famalicao's low away scoring could lead to a very dull match.

Model Confidence

72%

Data quality: Good, comprehensive team statistics and league standings were provided.

Limitations

  • Absence of specific betting odds for direct value calculation.
  • Lack of head-to-head historical data.
  • No information on team news, injuries, or suspensions.
  • No xG or advanced metrics provided for deeper analysis.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Estoril vs Famalicao FAQ

Based on current form, league standings, and statistical analysis, a draw is the most likely outcome, with Famalicao having a slight edge if there's a winner.