Liga PortugalLiga PortugalEstádio António Coimbra da Mota

Sunday, May 17, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 11h 52m

Estoril

Estoril

vs

Benfica

Benfica

29%
20%
51%
EstorilDrawBenfica

AI Pick: Benfica Win

Confidence: 47%

1X2: Benfica Win (47%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

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Estoril vs Benfica Prediction

Benfica, an undefeated powerhouse, faces a struggling Estoril side at Estoril's home ground. Benfica's superior form, defensive strength, and attacking prowess make them overwhelming favorites. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, typical of Liga Portugal, with Benfica securing a comfortable win.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Benfica Win

Predicted: 0-2

47%

Benfica is a dominant force in Liga Portugal, currently sitting 2nd in the league and remarkably undefeated after 31 matches (22 wins, 9 draws, 0 losses). Their recent form is strong (WWWDW), and they boast an impressive goal difference of +47, with a robust defense conceding only 0.6 goals per game on average. Estoril, on the other hand, is 10th in the league with inconsistent form (LLLLW in their last 5) and a neutral goal difference. While Estoril has home advantage, Benfica's overall quality, defensive solidity, and attacking prowess are expected to overcome this. The API-Sports comparison heavily favors Benfica (78.3% total), aligning with a clear away victory.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.2

60%

Liga Portugal is a historically low-scoring league, with approximately 68% of matches ending Under 2.5 goals. Benfica's matches have seen Under 2.5 goals in 67.7% of cases, and Estoril's in 70%. Benfica's defense is exceptionally strong, conceding only 0.6 goals per game. While Benfica's attack is potent, they are likely to control the game and limit Estoril's scoring opportunities, leading to a low-scoring affair where only one team finds the net.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Liga Portugal is a historically low-scoring league, with approximately 68% of matches ending Under 2.5 goals. Benfica's matches have seen Under 2.5 goals in 67.7% of cases, and Estoril's in 70%. Benfica's defense is exceptionally strong, conceding only 0.6 goals per game. While Benfica's attack is potent, they are likely to control the game and limit Estoril's scoring opportunities, leading to a low-scoring affair where only one team finds the net.

📊 More Markets

Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

35%

Despite the league's low-scoring trend, Benfica averages 2.2 goals for per game. A 0-2 scoreline, which is our prediction, would result in 2 total goals, comfortably covering Over 1.5. Only a 0-0 or 1-0 result would be Under 1.5, which is less likely given Benfica's attack.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

35%

Given the Liga Portugal's low-scoring nature and Benfica's exceptional defense (0.6 goals conceded per game), a high-scoring match with more than 3.5 goals is unlikely. Benfica's matches have seen Under 3.5 goals in 87% of cases.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

35%

Both teams show a significant percentage of their goals scored in the first half (Estoril 47.92%, Benfica 43.08%). Given Benfica's offensive power, it's highly probable that at least one goal will be scored before halftime.

First Team to Score

Away

47%

Benfica possesses superior attacking quality and is more likely to break the deadlock. They score consistently throughout matches, including early periods.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

46%

Benfica's goal distribution shows they score in both halves of matches. If they score two or more goals, it's a good chance at least one will be in each half, especially against a team like Estoril.

Most Likely Score

0-2

30%

Based on Benfica's strong defense and consistent scoring, a 0-2 victory aligns with the low-scoring nature of the league and Benfica's ability to secure wins without conceding.

BTTS 1st Half

No

47%

Benfica's defense is too strong to concede in the first half against a mid-table team like Estoril, especially given Estoril's recent form. It's improbable both teams will score before halftime.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

46%

Given the low-scoring nature of Liga Portugal and Benfica's tight defense, the expected goals (xG) for this match are likely to be on the lower side, falling under 2.5 total xG.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

90%

Benfica is undefeated this season (0 losses in 31 games). A draw or an away win (X2) is an extremely safe bet given their consistent performance and dominance.

Draw No Bet

Away

35%

Benfica is the clear favorite in this match. In a Draw No Bet market, if the match ends in a draw, the stake is returned, making an 'Away' pick for Benfica a strong and relatively low-risk option.

HT/FT

Away/Away

46%

Benfica often starts strong and maintains their lead. Given their overall superiority, it's plausible they will be leading at halftime and go on to win the match.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

46%

Benfica, as the dominant attacking side, is expected to generate a significant number of attacks and shots, leading to a higher corner count. Estoril, playing at home, may also contribute to corners through counter-attacks or defensive clearances.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

46%

Both teams average over 1.9 yellow cards per game (Estoril 2.56, Benfica 1.96). A competitive Liga Portugal match, especially with a strong favorite, often sees a fair number of fouls and bookings as the underdog attempts to disrupt play. Over 3.5 cards is a reasonable expectation.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

46%

Benfica's attacking strength suggests they will have numerous shots on target. Estoril, playing at home, will also likely attempt to test Benfica's goalkeeper, contributing to the overall count.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

46%

Benfica's attacking dominance will lead to many shot attempts. Estoril, at home, will also look for opportunities, contributing to a total shot count likely exceeding 22.5.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

55%

Liga Portugal matches can be quite physical. With an underdog playing at home against a top team, there's a tendency for more fouls to disrupt play, pushing the total over 22.5.

Possession Winner

Away

47%

Benfica, as a top-tier team, typically dominates possession against mid-table opponents. They prefer to control the game through ball retention.

Estoril Clean Sheet

No

47%

Benfica has an outstanding defensive record, with 14 clean sheets in 31 games and an average of only 0.6 goals conceded per match. Estoril has failed to score in 30% of their matches. It is highly likely Benfica will keep a clean sheet, while Estoril is unlikely to prevent Benfica from scoring.

Benfica Clean Sheet

Yes

47%

Benfica has an outstanding defensive record, with 14 clean sheets in 31 games and an average of only 0.6 goals conceded per match. Estoril has failed to score in 30% of their matches. It is highly likely Benfica will keep a clean sheet, while Estoril is unlikely to prevent Benfica from scoring.

Estoril vs Benfica Key Stats

EstorilStatBenfica
10th League Position2nd
37 Points75
30 Games Played31
10 Wins22
7 Draws9
51 Goals Scored67
51 Goals Conceded20
1.7 Goals Per Game2.2
5 Clean Sheets14
WLLLL Recent FormWDWWW
🏟️

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Home Ground

4:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 17

Matchday kickoff

Liga Portugal

Soccer

Betting Angles Estoril vs Benfica

💰 Sharp Money

N/A (No odds data provided) Line movement: N/A (No odds data provided)

AI Same Game Parlay Estoril vs Benfica

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Benfica Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 16%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
3/10
  • ⚠️Liga Portugal's unpredictable nature for goal markets.
  • ⚠️Potential for a rare draw, given Benfica's 9 draws this season.
  • ⚠️Estoril's home advantage could make them more resilient than their form suggests.

Model Confidence

78%

Data quality: High. Comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and API-Sports predictions were available.

Limitations

  • Lack of specific H2H match data.
  • Absence of real-time odds data for value bet analysis.
  • No injury reports or team news to factor into squad strength.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Estoril vs Benfica FAQ

Benfica is in excellent form, with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 league matches, and they remain undefeated in the league this season.