Premier LeagueSelhurst ParkSunday, Apr 12, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 10d 14h 19m
Crystal Palace
vs
Newcastle
AI Pick: Draw
Confidence: 70%
1X2: Draw (โก70%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: No
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Prediction
This Premier League clash at Selhurst Park pits 14th-placed Crystal Palace against 12th-placed Newcastle. Both teams are in the mid-table with inconsistent recent form. Crystal Palace has a notable tendency for home draws, while Newcastle struggles to find consistency on the road. A low-scoring affair is highly anticipated.
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Predicted: 1-1
โก70%
Crystal Palace, despite their lower league position, have a very strong tendency to draw at home, with 7 draws in 15 home games (46.67%). They also have a low home scoring average (0.9 goals per game). Newcastle's away form is inconsistent (4 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses in 15 away games) and they also have a low away scoring average (1.0 goals per game). Both teams show a strong propensity for Under 2.5 goals. Given Palace's high home draw rate and Newcastle's struggles on the road, a draw, likely low-scoring, is the most probable outcome.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 2 Goals
60%
Crystal Palace averages 0.9 goals at home and concedes 1.2. Newcastle averages 1.0 goals away and concedes 1.3. Both teams have a very high percentage of games ending with Under 2.5 goals (Palace 90%, Newcastle 90.3%). Crystal Palace failed to score in 6 of 15 home games (40%), and Newcastle failed to score in 6 of 15 away games (40%). This indicates a high chance of at least one team not scoring, making 'BTTS No' a strong consideration. A total of 2 goals (e.g., 1-1 or 2-0/0-2) aligns with the low-scoring expectation and draw prediction.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
No
55%
Crystal Palace averages 0.9 goals at home and concedes 1.2. Newcastle averages 1.0 goals away and concedes 1.3. Both teams have a very high percentage of games ending with Under 2.5 goals (Palace 90%, Newcastle 90.3%). Crystal Palace failed to score in 6 of 15 home games (40%), and Newcastle failed to score in 6 of 15 away games (40%). This indicates a high chance of at least one team not scoring, making 'BTTS No' a strong consideration. A total of 2 goals (e.g., 1-1 or 2-0/0-2) aligns with the low-scoring expectation and draw prediction.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle โ Key Stats
Selhurst Park
Home Ground
1:00 PM UTC
Sunday, Apr 12
Matchday kickoff
Premier League
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Crystal Palace vs Newcastle
โ ๏ธ Match Result: Draw
Crystal Palace has drawn 7 of their 15 home matches this season (46.67%), indicating a high likelihood of a stalemate. The implied probability from the odds (28.99%) is significantly lower than our model's probability (35%), suggesting value in backing the draw.
โ Total Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Crystal Palace and Newcastle exhibit strong trends for low-scoring games. Crystal Palace has seen Under 2.5 goals in 27 out of 30 total matches, and Newcastle in 28 out of 31 total matches. Their respective home and away goal averages (Palace home 0.9 for, 1.2 against; Newcastle away 1.0 for, 1.3 against) further support a low-scoring affair. While specific odds are not provided, this market is highly likely to offer value.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Information on sharp money movements is not available in the provided data. Line movement: Information on line movement is not available in the provided data.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Crystal Palace vs Newcastle
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 10.18 (+918)
AI Confidence: 25%
$10 โ $101.82 | $25 โ $254.56 | $50 โ $509.12
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธBoth teams are inconsistent, making predicting a clear winner challenging.
- โ ๏ธCrystal Palace's high home draw rate could be broken by a moment of individual brilliance.
- โ ๏ธNewcastle's ability to score late goals (26.09% of goals in 76-90 min) could alter a low-scoring game.
- โ ๏ธLack of injury information could hide significant team weaknesses.
Model Confidence
โก70%
Data quality: The provided team statistics and league standings are comprehensive and of good quality, allowing for a detailed statistical analysis.
Limitations
- โขLack of head-to-head match history between the two teams.
- โขAbsence of real-time injury news for both squads.
- โขNo information on recent tactical changes or player suspensions.
- โขNo data on referee assignments or historical performance with these teams.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle โ FAQ
Crystal Palace has a home record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses in 15 matches. They have a high draw rate at Selhurst Park.