Conference LeagueConference LeagueSelhurst Park

Thursday, Apr 9, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Full TimeCrystal Palace 3 โ€“ 0 Fiorentina
โœ… Prediction Correct

Predicted

Crystal Palace 2-1

Actual

Crystal Palace 3-0

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

vs

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

68%
13%
19%
Crystal PalaceDrawFiorentina

AI Pick: Crystal Palace Win

Confidence: 65%

1X2: Crystal Palace Win (โšก65%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina Prediction

This Conference League fixture pits Crystal Palace against Fiorentina in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Crystal Palace, with home advantage and a solid defensive record at Selhurst Park, is favored. However, Fiorentina's impressive away goal-scoring form in the competition makes them a dangerous opponent capable of an upset.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Crystal Palace Win

Predicted: 2-1

โšก65%

Crystal Palace holds the home advantage at Selhurst Park and generally possesses a higher squad quality as a Premier League side. Their Conference League home record is solid (3W 2D 1L), with a strong defensive showing (0.67 goals conceded per home game). While Fiorentina has an impressive away scoring record in the competition (2.0 goals per away game), their overall form is more inconsistent, and they have lost 2 of their 6 away games. The odds reflect Crystal Palace as clear favorites, and while Fiorentina can pose a significant attacking threat, the home side is expected to edge this one with a narrow victory.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.7

60%

Crystal Palace averages 1.33 goals at home, while Fiorentina averages 2.0 goals away in the Conference League. Both teams have shown attacking prowess, and their defensive records (0.67 goals conceded for both home/away respectively) suggest they are not impenetrable. The combination of Fiorentina's strong away attack and Crystal Palace's home scoring ability points towards a match with at least three goals. Both teams are also likely to find the back of the net, making BTTS 'Yes' a strong prediction.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Crystal Palace averages 1.33 goals at home, while Fiorentina averages 2.0 goals away in the Conference League. Both teams have shown attacking prowess, and their defensive records (0.67 goals conceded for both home/away respectively) suggest they are not impenetrable. The combination of Fiorentina's strong away attack and Crystal Palace's home scoring ability points towards a match with at least three goals. Both teams are also likely to find the back of the net, making BTTS 'Yes' a strong prediction.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

85%

Given the attacking averages of both teams and the expectation of at least two goals in the match, 'Over 1.5 Goals' is a very confident prediction.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

70%

While Over 2.5 Goals is predicted, a scoreline exceeding 3 goals (e.g., 2-2, 3-1, 4-0) is less likely given Crystal Palace's relatively lower 'Over 2.5' rate and the competitive nature of the fixture. A 2-1 or 1-1 score is more probable than a high-scoring affair.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

80%

Crystal Palace has a tendency to score in the first half (35.29% of goals in 31-45 min), and Fiorentina also contributes to early action. A goal before halftime is highly probable in a competitive European fixture.

First Team to Score

Home

60%

Crystal Palace, playing at home, will likely start with intensity and benefit from the crowd's support, giving them a slight edge to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

65%

With both teams expected to score and the overall goal prediction leaning towards Over 2.5, it's reasonable to expect action in both halves of the match.

Most Likely Score

2-1

20%

Based on Crystal Palace's home advantage and Fiorentina's attacking threat, a narrow 2-1 victory for the home side is the most plausible exact score, reflecting both teams scoring and the home team's edge.

BTTS 1st Half

No

70%

While a goal in the first half is likely, both teams scoring before the break is less common, especially in a European knockout match where teams might be more cautious initially.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

60%

Based on the expectation of Over 2.5 goals and the attacking capabilities of both sides, the quality of chances created (Expected Goals) is likely to exceed 2.5 in total.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

85%

Crystal Palace has a strong home record in the Conference League (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), making them difficult to beat at Selhurst Park. The 1X (Crystal Palace win or draw) offers a high probability of success.

Draw No Bet

Home

70%

Aligning with the predicted home win, selecting Crystal Palace on a Draw No Bet market provides security in case of a draw, returning the stake.

HT/FT

Draw/Home

45%

It's common for European matches, especially in knockout stages, to be tight in the first half before the home team asserts dominance in the second half. Crystal Palace's ability to score later in halves supports this pick.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

70%

Both teams are expected to attack, leading to a competitive match with numerous attempts on goal and defensive clearances, which typically results in a higher number of corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

75%

Crystal Palace averages 1.83 yellow cards per game and Fiorentina averages 2.33 yellow cards per game in the competition. A combined average of over 4 cards suggests a physical encounter, typical for European knockout stages, making 'Over 3.5 Cards' a likely outcome.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

65%

Given both teams' attacking averages and the importance of the match, both sides will be looking to create scoring opportunities, leading to a decent number of shots on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

65%

Both teams will be looking to create chances, and a competitive game usually sees a combined total of shots well over this line, including blocked shots and off-target attempts.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

European matches, particularly in the knockout stages, tend to be highly contested and physical, leading to a higher number of fouls as teams battle for control.

Possession Winner

Home

55%

Playing at home, Crystal Palace will likely aim to control the tempo and possession, although Fiorentina is also a team that values ball retention. The home advantage gives Palace a slight edge here.

Crystal Palace Clean Sheet

No

70%

With both teams expected to score (BTTS Yes), it is unlikely that either side will keep a clean sheet. Fiorentina's strong away attack makes a home clean sheet difficult, and Crystal Palace's home scoring makes an away clean sheet unlikely.

Fiorentina Clean Sheet

No

70%

With both teams expected to score (BTTS Yes), it is unlikely that either side will keep a clean sheet. Fiorentina's strong away attack makes a home clean sheet difficult, and Crystal Palace's home scoring makes an away clean sheet unlikely.

Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina โ€” Key Stats

Crystal PalaceStatFiorentina
10th โœ…League Position15th
10 โœ…Points9
12 Games Played12
6 Winsโœ… 8
4 Drawsโœ… 0
17 Goals Scoredโœ… 23
8 โœ…Goals Conceded13
1.4 Goals Per Gameโœ… 1.9
6 โœ…Clean Sheets4
DDWDW โœ…Recent FormLWLWW
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Selhurst Park

Home Ground

โฐ

7:00 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr 9

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Conference League

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina

โš ๏ธ Away Win: Fiorentina

Fiorentina's strong away scoring record (2.0 goals per game) and their ability to secure wins on the road (4 out of 6 away games in the Conference League) suggest they are more capable of an upset than the 5.0 odds imply. While Crystal Palace are favorites, the market might be slightly underestimating Fiorentina's potential to snatch a win or draw, offering a small but positive edge on the away win.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without access to live sharp money data, it's difficult to confirm. However, the significant difference between market odds and API-Sports probabilities suggests that some bettors might be looking for value on the underdog or draw. Line movement: No specific line movement data is available. The current odds suggest a stable market favoring the home side, but any significant shifts closer to kick-off would be noteworthy.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Crystal Palace Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 23%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Player Props โ€” Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina

All Player Props โ†’
Jaydee Canvot

Jaydee Canvot

Crystal Palace ยท D ยท 90'

7.2
1 SOT
Daniel Muรฑoz

Daniel Muรฑoz

Crystal Palace ยท M ยท 90'

7.3
4 Key Passes
Adam Wharton

Adam Wharton

Crystal Palace ยท M ยท 89'

7.5
2 Key Passes
Daichi Kamada

Daichi Kamada

Crystal Palace ยท M ยท 89'

7.7
1 Assist4 Key Passes
Tyrick Mitchell

Tyrick Mitchell

Crystal Palace ยท M ยท 90'

7.5
1 Goal1 SOT
Dodรด

Dodรด

Fiorentina ยท D ยท 90'

6.3
3 Key Passes1 Yellow
Marin Pongraฤiฤ‡

Marin Pongraฤiฤ‡

Fiorentina ยท D ยท 82'

6.2
1 Key Pass
Giovanni Fabbian

Giovanni Fabbian

Fiorentina ยท M ยท 90'

6.3
1 Key Pass
Cher Ndour

Cher Ndour

Fiorentina ยท M ยท 90'

6.9
1 Key Pass

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธFiorentina's strong away goal-scoring record (2.0 goals per game) could lead to an upset.
  • โš ๏ธCrystal Palace's tendency for draws at home (2 in 6 games) could impact the outright win prediction.
  • โš ๏ธThe lack of head-to-head data introduces an unknown element regarding how the teams will match up tactically.
  • โš ๏ธThe high stakes of a European knockout match can sometimes lead to more cautious play, affecting goal markets.

Model Confidence

โšก70%

Data quality: The provided data is specific to the Conference League season, offering good insights into team performance in this competition. However, a lack of detailed H2H, injury, and broader league form data limits a holistic view.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of head-to-head statistics between the two teams.
  • โ€ขNo specific injury or suspension reports.
  • โ€ขLack of detailed tactical data (e.g., possession, shots, xG per game).
  • โ€ขGeneral team strength and FIFA rankings are not explicitly provided, requiring reliance on general knowledge of leagues.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina โ€” FAQ

Crystal Palace has played 6 home games in the Conference League, winning 3, drawing 2, and losing 1. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 4 at home.