Charlotte vs New England Revolution Prediction

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

With both teams' home/away goal averages pointing to over 3 goals per game, and both teams regularly scoring and conceding, 'Over 1.5 Goals' is a very safe and highly probable outcome.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

While Over 2.5 is strong, Over 3.5 is more speculative. Charlotte's home games average 3.4 goals and New England's away games average 3.0. This makes Over 3.5 a possibility, but with lower confidence due to the inherent unpredictability of a fourth goal.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in the first half. Charlotte scores 15.79% of their goals between 31-45 minutes, and New England Revolution scores 17.65% in the same period. With Charlotte's strong home scoring and New England's away defensive vulnerabilities, a goal in the first half is highly probable.

First Team to Score

Home

Charlotte has a higher home scoring average (2.4 goals) and New England Revolution concedes 2.0 goals away. Charlotte also scores a small percentage of goals early (5.26% in 0-15 min, 10.53% in 16-30 min), while New England Revolution concedes a significant portion of goals early (8.33% in 0-15 min, 33.33% in 16-30 min). This suggests Charlotte is more likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

Given the expectation of at least 3 goals in the match and both teams' scoring patterns across halves, it is reasonable to expect goals in both halves.

Most Likely Score

2-1

Charlotte averages 2.4 goals at home and concedes 1.0. New England Revolution averages 1.0 goals away and concedes 2.0. A 2-1 scoreline for Charlotte reflects their home scoring prowess and New England's ability to find the net even on the road, while acknowledging Charlotte's slightly better home defense.

BTTS 1st Half

No

While BTTS 'Yes' for the full match is likely, both teams scoring in the first half is less common. Defensive solidity, even if temporary, often prevails in the initial stages. I will lean towards 'No' for BTTS in the first half as a safer prediction.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

Given the high average goals per game for both teams in their respective home/away fixtures (3.4 for Charlotte home, 3.0 for New England away), the expected goals (xG) for this match are likely to be above 2.5.

Double Chance

1X

The API-Sports prediction explicitly advises 'Charlotte or draw' (1X), which aligns with Charlotte's strong home form (3 wins, 1 draw in 5 home games) and New England Revolution's struggles on the road (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses in 5 away games). This provides a safer betting option covering two of the three possible outcomes.

Draw No Bet

Home

Given Charlotte's strong home record and the API-Sports Poisson model heavily favoring a Charlotte win, picking 'Home' for Draw No Bet provides a good balance. If the match ends in a draw, the stake is returned, mitigating some risk while backing the home side.

HT/FT

Draw/Home

New England Revolution's overall strong form suggests they can hold their own in the first half, especially with Charlotte's tendency to score later in games (31.58% of goals in 76-90 min). However, Charlotte's strong home performance and the overall prediction for a home win make 'Draw/Home' a plausible outcome, indicating a tight first half followed by Charlotte asserting dominance.

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

MLS matches often feature a decent number of corners due to attacking play. Charlotte averages 5.7 corners per game. Without specific data for New England Revolution's corner statistics, 'Over 9.5' is a reasonable general pick for an MLS game with expected attacking intent from both sides.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

Both teams exhibit a moderate number of yellow cards per game (Charlotte 2.3, New England Revolution 2.1). MLS matches can be physical and competitive, leading to multiple bookings. Over 3.5 cards is a common and often met threshold.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

While specific shots on target data for this season is not fully available, Charlotte averages 5.1 shots on goal per game. Given the expectation of goals and attacking play from both sides, particularly Charlotte at home, a combined total of over 8.5 shots on target is a reasonable expectation for an MLS match.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Given the attacking averages and expected goals, both teams should contribute to a decent number of shots. 'Over 22.5' total shots is a reasonable expectation for an MLS match where both teams are looking to score.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

MLS matches are often competitive and can be physical. Without specific foul data for these teams, 'Over 22.5' is a standard line that is frequently surpassed in tightly contested league games.

Possession Winner

Home

Home teams often tend to dominate possession, especially when they are the favored side or playing an attacking style. Charlotte will likely aim to control the game at home.

Charlotte Clean Sheet

No

Charlotte has only kept 1 clean sheet in 5 home games, while New England Revolution has failed to keep a single clean sheet in their 5 away games. Given the offensive capabilities of both teams and their respective defensive records, it is highly unlikely either team will keep a clean sheet.

New England Revolution Clean Sheet

No

Charlotte has only kept 1 clean sheet in 5 home games, while New England Revolution has failed to keep a single clean sheet in their 5 away games. Given the offensive capabilities of both teams and their respective defensive records, it is highly unlikely either team will keep a clean sheet.