MLSMLSSaputo Stadium

Saturday, Apr 18, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 8d 1h 58m

CF Montreal

CF Montreal

vs

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

19%
13%
68%
CF MontrealDrawBulls

AI Pick: New York Red Bulls Win

Confidence: 65%

1X2: New York Red Bulls Win (65%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

New York Red Bulls, despite their own defensive issues, appear to be the stronger side based on current form and league position. CF Montreal's first home game of the season presents a potential wildcard, but their consistently poor defensive record makes them vulnerable. A high-scoring affair is anticipated.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

New York Red Bulls Win

Predicted: 1-2

65%

New York Red Bulls enter this match in slightly better form and higher in the Eastern Conference standings. While CF Montreal benefits from playing their first home game of the season, their defensive record (2.8 goals conceded per away game) is a significant concern. NYRB also has a leaky defense away (2.7 goals conceded per away game), but their overall team performance and ability to grind out results suggest they can capitalize on Montreal's vulnerabilities. The home advantage for Montreal is a wildcard, but NYRB's more stable form gives them the edge.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 3.3

60%

CF Montreal's matches have averaged 4.2 goals this season (7 for, 14 against in 5 away games), while New York Red Bulls' matches have averaged 3.2 goals (5 for, 11 against in 5 games). Both teams have shown significant defensive vulnerabilities, especially away from home. Montreal concedes 2.8 goals per away game, and NYRB concedes 2.7 goals per away game. This points to a high-scoring game where both teams are likely to find the net.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

CF Montreal's matches have averaged 4.2 goals this season (7 for, 14 against in 5 away games), while New York Red Bulls' matches have averaged 3.2 goals (5 for, 11 against in 5 games). Both teams have shown significant defensive vulnerabilities, especially away from home. Montreal concedes 2.8 goals per away game, and NYRB concedes 2.7 goals per away game. This points to a high-scoring game where both teams are likely to find the net.

📊 More Markets

Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

90%

With a strong expectation for Over 2.5 goals in the match, Over 1.5 goals is a very high probability outcome, given both teams' attacking potential and defensive weaknesses.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

60%

The combined average goals in both teams' matches (4.2 for Montreal, 3.2 for NYRB) suggests a high likelihood of more than 3 goals. Both defenses are prone to conceding multiple goals.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

85%

With both teams having a tendency for high-scoring games and defensive issues, an early goal in the first half is highly probable. Montreal has scored 28.57% of their goals in the first 15 minutes.

First Team to Score

Away

55%

New York Red Bulls are slightly favored to win the match. While Montreal can score early, NYRB's overall attacking threat and Montreal's defensive record give the away side a marginal edge to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

75%

Given the expectation of multiple goals (Over 2.5) and the attacking nature of both teams, it is highly probable that goals will be scored in both the first and second halves of the match.

Most Likely Score

1-2

20%

Based on NYRB's slight edge and Montreal's ability to score at home, combined with both teams' defensive vulnerabilities, a narrow 1-2 away victory is a plausible exact score. Exact scores are inherently difficult to predict, hence the lower confidence.

BTTS 1st Half

No

60%

While both teams have scored early goals, predicting both teams to score in the first half is a higher-risk market. Although possible, it's more likely that only one team or no team scores in the first 45 minutes, or that goals are concentrated in one half.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

75%

With both teams consistently involved in high-scoring games and demonstrating defensive weaknesses, the quality and quantity of chances created (Expected Goals) are likely to be high, surpassing 2.5 xG for the match.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

80%

New York Red Bulls are in better form and higher in the standings. While Montreal has home advantage, their defensive record is poor. A draw or an away win is the most probable outcome, aligning with the API-Sports reference.

Draw No Bet

Away

65%

Given our primary prediction of an away win for New York Red Bulls, selecting 'Away' on the Draw No Bet market provides a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

55%

The match is expected to be competitive, especially with Montreal playing at home for the first time. It could be tight at halftime, but New York Red Bulls' slightly superior form and ability to find late goals (40% of their goals in 76-90 min) could see them secure the win in the second half.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

70%

With both teams likely to attack and having porous defenses, there will be numerous shots, blocks, and deflections leading to corners. MLS games generally feature a decent number of set pieces.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

75%

Both teams have accumulated yellow cards and received red cards this season. MLS matches can be physical and competitive, leading to a higher card count, especially in a game with potential for back-and-forth action.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

70%

Given the high average goals in both teams' matches and their defensive weaknesses, it's expected that both sides will create and convert a good number of shots on target throughout the game.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

70%

Given the attacking intentions of both sides and their defensive vulnerabilities, there should be numerous attempts on goal from both teams, leading to a high total shot count.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

70%

MLS matches are often characterized by a competitive and physical style of play. With both teams eager to gain control and potentially disrupt the opponent's rhythm, a higher number of fouls is anticipated.

Possession Winner

Away

50%

New York Red Bulls typically employ a high-press system and aim for control. While Montreal will be at home, NYRB's tactical approach might allow them to edge possession, though this is a close call without specific possession stats.

CF Montreal Clean Sheet

No

80%

CF Montreal has conceded 2.8 goals per away game this season and has not played at home yet. New York Red Bulls have conceded 2.7 goals per away game. Neither team has demonstrated strong defensive solidity, making clean sheets unlikely for either side.

New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet

No

80%

CF Montreal has conceded 2.8 goals per away game this season and has not played at home yet. New York Red Bulls have conceded 2.7 goals per away game. Neither team has demonstrated strong defensive solidity, making clean sheets unlikely for either side.

CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls Key Stats

CF MontrealStatBulls
5 Games Played5
1 Wins2
0 Draws1
7 Goals Scored5
14 Goals Conceded11
1.4 Goals Per Game1.0
1 Clean Sheets1
LLWLL Recent FormWWLDL
🏟️

Saputo Stadium

Home Ground

6:30 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr 18

Matchday kickoff

MLS

Soccer

Betting Angles CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls

⚠️ Full Time Result: New York Red Bulls

Based on current form, league position, and Montreal's poor defensive record, New York Red Bulls are undervalued at assumed odds of 2.20. Our model gives them a 65% chance of winning, indicating a significant edge.

⚠️ Total Goals: Over 2.5 Goals

Both teams exhibit significant defensive frailties, with Montreal's matches averaging 4.2 goals and NYRB's averaging 3.2 goals this season. This suggests a high-scoring affair where Over 2.5 goals is very likely. The assumed odds of 1.80 offer good value against our 75% probability.

💰 Sharp Money

N/A - No real-time odds or betting volume data available to assess sharp money movements. Line movement: N/A - No real-time odds data available to track line movements.

AI Same Game Parlay CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
New York Red Bulls Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 23%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • ⚠️CF Montreal's 'first home game' effect could significantly alter their performance compared to their away form.
  • ⚠️Both teams have very leaky defenses, leading to high variance in potential scorelines.
  • ⚠️Lack of specific head-to-head data reduces historical context for this fixture.
  • ⚠️Absence of actual odds means value bet calculations are based on assumed market prices.

Model Confidence

70%

Data quality: Good. Recent season statistics for both teams are comprehensive, providing a solid foundation for analysis.

Limitations

  • Absence of head-to-head records between the two teams.
  • No specific injury or suspension information for key players.
  • Lack of actual betting odds, requiring assumptions for value bet calculations.
  • CF Montreal's home performance is unknown as this is their first home game.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls FAQ

This will be CF Montreal's first home game of the 2026 MLS season. All their previous five matches have been played away.