Serie ASerie AUnipol Domus

Sunday, May 10, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 21d 10h 6m

Cagliari

Cagliari

vs

Udinese

Udinese

19%
13%
68%
CagliariDrawUdinese

AI Pick: Udinese Win

Confidence: 65%

1X2: Udinese Win (โšก65%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Cagliari vs Udinese Prediction

This Serie A clash pits 16th-placed Cagliari against 11th-placed Udinese. Udinese comes into the match with superior form, attack, and defense statistics. While Cagliari has the home advantage, their recent results and overall season performance suggest they will struggle against a more organized Udinese side. A low-scoring affair is anticipated, with Udinese slightly favored to secure an away victory.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Udinese Win

Predicted: 1-2

โšก65%

Udinese is positioned significantly higher in the Serie A standings (11th vs 16th) and demonstrates superior overall form, attack, and defense according to API-Sports comparison (70% form, 63% attack, 82% defense for Udinese). While Cagliari has home advantage, their home record (5W, 4D, 7L) is weaker than Udinese's away record (7W, 2D, 7L). API-Sports also suggests a 'Win or draw' for Udinese with equal 45% probability for a draw and an away win. Given Udinese's statistical superiority, an away win is the more likely outcome, albeit in a potentially close contest.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.2

60%

Both teams exhibit low scoring averages (Cagliari 1.0 total, Udinese 1.2 total) and a high percentage of their matches (Cagliari 31/33, Udinese 29/33) have ended with Under 2.5 goals. However, both teams also show a reasonable likelihood of scoring: Cagliari scores in 62.5% of home games, and Udinese concedes in 75% of away games. Conversely, Udinese scores in 81.25% of away games, and Cagliari concedes in 62.5% of home games, making BTTS 'Yes' plausible despite the low total goal expectation.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Both teams exhibit low scoring averages (Cagliari 1.0 total, Udinese 1.2 total) and a high percentage of their matches (Cagliari 31/33, Udinese 29/33) have ended with Under 2.5 goals. However, both teams also show a reasonable likelihood of scoring: Cagliari scores in 62.5% of home games, and Udinese concedes in 75% of away games. Conversely, Udinese scores in 81.25% of away games, and Cagliari concedes in 62.5% of home games, making BTTS 'Yes' plausible despite the low total goal expectation.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

โšฝ Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

75%

With both teams likely to score (BTTS Yes) and average goal counts around 1 per team, it's highly probable that at least two goals will be scored in the match.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

80%

Both teams have a very high rate of games ending with Under 2.5 goals, making Under 3.5 goals an even safer bet for this fixture.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

75%

Both teams have shown a tendency to score or concede in the first half. Udinese has scored 16 goals in the first half this season, and Cagliari has conceded 18. A goal before halftime is quite probable.

First Team to Score

Away

65%

Udinese possesses a stronger attack and is in better form, making them more likely to open the scoring against a struggling Cagliari defense.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

60%

Given the expectation of both teams scoring and the likelihood of a tight contest, it's plausible that goals will be distributed across both halves.

Most Likely Score

1-2

20%

Based on Udinese's stronger attack and Cagliari's ability to score at home, a 1-2 scoreline in favor of Udinese is a plausible outcome, aligning with the BTTS 'Yes' and Under 2.5 goals predictions.

BTTS 1st Half

No

70%

While a goal in the first half is likely, both teams scoring in the first 45 minutes is less common, especially given their overall low scoring averages.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

70%

Given the low actual goal averages and the high percentage of games going under 2.5 goals for both teams, the expected goals (xG) for the match are likely to be below 2.5.

๐Ÿ† Result Markets

Double Chance

X2

80%

API-Sports explicitly advises 'Draw or Udinese' (X2) with a combined 90% probability (45% Draw, 45% Away Win). Udinese's superior league position and overall statistics reinforce this pick.

Draw No Bet

Away

65%

Given the prediction for an Udinese win, Udinese Draw No Bet is the logical choice, offering a refund if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Away

55%

Udinese is expected to win, but Cagliari's home advantage might keep the first half tight. Udinese often finds their goals in the second half, making a Draw at halftime followed by an Udinese win a reasonable scenario.

๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

60%

Serie A matches typically feature a moderate to high number of corners. With both teams likely to attack and defend, the combined corner count should exceed 9.5.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

70%

Cagliari averages 2.3 yellow cards per game, and Udinese averages 1.9 yellow cards per game, totaling approximately 4.2 cards per match. This suggests a high likelihood of exceeding 3.5 cards in a competitive Serie A fixture.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

60%

Both teams will aim for goal, and while not prolific scorers, they should combine for more than 8.5 shots on target in a full match.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

Both teams will be looking for opportunities, and even with low scoring, the combined total shots (on and off target) are expected to exceed 22.5.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

60%

Serie A matches are often physical and tactical, leading to a higher number of fouls. A competitive match between these two teams should see more than 22.5 fouls.

Possession Winner

Away

60%

Udinese, being the stronger team and often playing a more controlled game, is expected to dominate possession against Cagliari.

Cagliari Clean Sheet

No

55%

While Udinese has a stronger defense, Cagliari scores in over 60% of their home games. Udinese's away clean sheet rate is 25%, meaning they concede in 75% of away games. This suggests both teams are likely to score, making clean sheets for either side less probable.

Udinese Clean Sheet

No

55%

While Udinese has a stronger defense, Cagliari scores in over 60% of their home games. Udinese's away clean sheet rate is 25%, meaning they concede in 75% of away games. This suggests both teams are likely to score, making clean sheets for either side less probable.

Cagliari vs Udinese โ€” Key Stats

CagliariStatUdinese
16th League Positionโœ… 11th
33 Pointsโœ… 43
33 Games Played33
8 Winsโœ… 12
9 Drawsโœ… 7
33 Goals Scoredโœ… 38
47 Goals Concededโœ… 43
1.0 Goals Per Gameโœ… 1.2
7 Clean Sheetsโœ… 9
LLLWL โœ…Recent FormLWDWL
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Unipol Domus

Home Ground

โฐ

1:00 PM UTC

Sunday, May 10

Matchday kickoff

โšฝ

Serie A

Soccer

Betting Angles โ€” Cagliari vs Udinese

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without odds, it's impossible to determine sharp money movements. However, smart money would likely be on Udinese to avoid defeat. Line movement: N/A - No odds provided.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Cagliari vs Udinese

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Udinese Win2.00
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 23%

$10 โ†’ $63.64 | $25 โ†’ $159.10 | $50 โ†’ $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธCagliari's home advantage could make the match tighter than expected.
  • โš ๏ธUdinese's 45% draw probability from API-Sports indicates a draw is a significant possibility.
  • โš ๏ธBoth teams have low scoring records, which can lead to unpredictable low-scoring outcomes.

Model Confidence

โšก70%

Data quality: High - Comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and API-Sports predictions were available.

Limitations

  • โ€ขAbsence of real-time betting odds limits value bet identification.
  • โ€ขLack of specific player injury reports.
  • โ€ขNo detailed H2H match history provided, relying solely on API-Sports H2H percentage.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Cagliari vs Udinese โ€” FAQ

Based on current form, league standings, and statistical comparisons, an away win for Udinese is the most likely outcome, though a draw is also a significant possibility.