How has Brighton performed away from home?

Brighton's away form is moderate, with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses in 15 away matches. They average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded on the road.

What are the goal-scoring trends for both teams?

Both teams tend to be involved in lower-scoring games. Burnley averages 1.1 goals for and 2.0 against per game overall, while Brighton averages 1.3 goals for and 1.2 against. A high percentage of their matches (28 out of 31 for both) have seen under 2.5 goals when considering their own goals scored/conceded.

Is there a significant difference in league position between the two teams?

Yes, there is a significant difference. Brighton is currently 10th in the Premier League with 43 points, while Burnley is 19th with only 20 points, indicating a large gap in quality and performance this season.

Are there any key injury concerns for either team?

Injury data was not provided in the input, so we cannot assess any specific injury concerns for either Burnley or Brighton.

What is the predicted score for this match?

Based on the analysis, a 0-2 victory for Brighton is predicted, reflecting their superior form and Burnley's struggles in attack and defense.

Premier LeagueTurf Moor

Saturday, Apr 11, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 9d 15h 20m

Burnley

Brighton

11%

82%

BurnleyDrawBrighton

AI Pick: Brighton Win

Confidence: 78%

Burnley

11%

82%

BurnleyDrawBrighton

AI Pick: Brighton Win

Confidence: 78%

Brighton

1X2: Brighton Win (⚡78%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

Burnley vs Brighton Prediction

Brighton enters this match as clear favorites, boasting a significantly better league position and superior recent form compared to relegation-threatened Burnley. The statistical analysis points towards a low-scoring away victory for Brighton.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Brighton Win

Predicted: 0-2

⚡78%

Brighton, currently 10th in the Premier League, is in significantly better form and holds a superior league position compared to Burnley, who are struggling in 19th place. Brighton's recent form of 'WWLWW' (4 wins, 1 loss in last 5 matches from full form string) contrasts sharply with Burnley's 'LDLLD' (0 wins, 4 losses, 1 draw in last 5 matches from standings). While Brighton's away record is not dominant (4 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses), Burnley's home record is very poor (2 wins, 5 draws, 8 losses). Brighton also boasts a better goal difference (+4 vs -28) and a stronger defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game compared to Burnley's 2.0. Burnley's struggle to score at home (1.0 average goals for, failed to score in 7 of 15 home games) further strengthens the prediction for an away win with a potential clean sheet for Brighton.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: Low (1-2 goals)

60%

Burnley's home matches average 2.5 goals (1.0 for, 1.5 against), and Brighton's away matches average 2.4 goals (1.1 for, 1.3 against). Both teams have a high percentage of their total matches ending with under 2.5 goals (28 out of 31 for both teams when considering their own goals scored/conceded under_over 2.5). Burnley has failed to score in 7 of their 15 home games, indicating a struggle to find the net. Brighton has also kept 4 clean sheets in 15 away games. This combination points towards a low-scoring affair where at least one team is likely to fail to score.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Burnley vs Brighton — Key Stats

BurnleyStatBrighton

19th League Position✅ 10th

20 Points✅ 43

31 Games Played✅ 31

4 Wins✅ 11

8 ✅Draws10

33 Goals Scored✅ 41

61 Goals Conceded✅ 37

1.1 Goals Per Game✅ 1.3

4 Clean Sheets✅ 7

DLLDL ✅Recent FormWWLWW

🏟️

Turf Moor

Home Ground

⏰

2:00 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr 11

Matchday kickoff

⚽

Premier League

Soccer

Betting Angles — Burnley vs Brighton

✅ Match Result: Brighton to Win

Brighton's superior league position, current form, and overall statistical advantage over Burnley suggest a high probability of an away win. The provided odds of 1.75 offer significant value given our model's estimated probability of 78% for a Brighton victory. Burnley's poor home record and offensive struggles make them unlikely to challenge a more organized Brighton side.

💰 Sharp Money

Information on sharp money movements is not available in the provided data. Line movement: Information on line movement is not available in the provided data.

AI Same Game Parlay — Burnley vs Brighton

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg

Brighton Win2.50

Under 2.5 Goals1.85

BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 7.96 (+696)

AI Confidence: 27%

$10 → $79.55 | $25 → $198.88 | $50 → $397.75

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Build custom SGP →

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk

4/10

⚠️Burnley's desperation for points as they fight relegation could lead to an unexpected spirited performance.
⚠️Brighton's away form, while better than Burnley's home form, is not exceptionally strong (4 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses).
⚠️Lack of injury and head-to-head data introduces some uncertainty.

Model Confidence

⚡85%

Data quality: Good. Comprehensive team statistics and league standings were provided for both teams, allowing for a robust statistical comparison.

Limitations

•Absence of head-to-head match history.
•Lack of specific player injury reports or squad news.
•No recent match performance metrics (e.g., xG, shots on target) beyond basic form strings.
•No information on referee assignments or weather conditions.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Burnley vs Brighton — FAQ

Burnley has a poor home record this season, with only 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses in 15 home matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded at Turf Moor.