How does Bayer Leverkusen perform away from home?

Bayer Leverkusen has won 6, drawn 4, and lost 4 of their 14 away matches this season, scoring an average of 1.9 goals and conceding 1.7 goals per game.

Are many goals expected in this match?

Yes, a high-scoring match is anticipated. Dortmund's home games average 3.3 goals, and Leverkusen's away games average 3.6 goals. The combined average suggests over 2.5 goals is very likely.

Will both teams score in this fixture?

It is highly probable that both teams will score. Borussia Dortmund has scored in 100% of their home games, and Bayer Leverkusen has scored in 71.4% of their away games while conceding in 92.9% of them.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Borussia Dortmund's recent form is strong (WWWLD), while Bayer Leverkusen's recent form shows resilience but a struggle for wins (DDDWD).

What is the league standing of both teams?

Borussia Dortmund is currently 2nd in the Bundesliga with 61 points, while Bayer Leverkusen is 6th with 46 points.

BundesligaSignal Iduna Park

Saturday, Apr 11, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 9d 14h 47m

Borussia Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen

78%

14%

Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen

AI Pick: Borussia Dortmund Win

Confidence: 75%

Borussia Dortmund

78%

14%

Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen

AI Pick: Borussia Dortmund Win

Confidence: 75%

Bayer Leverkusen

1X2: Borussia Dortmund Win (⚡75%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Borussia Dortmund is heavily favored to win this Bundesliga clash against Bayer Leverkusen at Signal Iduna Park. Their exceptional home record, superior league position, and consistent goal-scoring ability at home are key factors. While Leverkusen can score away, their defensive vulnerabilities on the road and recent draw-heavy form make an upset unlikely.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Borussia Dortmund Win

Predicted: 3-1

⚡75%

Borussia Dortmund boasts a formidable home record, winning 11 of 14 matches with an average of 2.4 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded. They are currently 2nd in the league, significantly higher than Bayer Leverkusen at 6th. While Leverkusen has a decent away attack (1.9 goals/game), their away defense is weaker, conceding 1.7 goals per game. Dortmund's superior home form, league position, and attacking efficiency at Signal Iduna Park make them strong favorites. Leverkusen's recent form of 'DDDWD' suggests they are hard to beat but struggle to convert draws into wins, especially against top teams.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 3-4 Goals

60%

Dortmund's home games average 3.3 total goals (2.4 For, 0.9 Against). Leverkusen's away games average 3.6 total goals (1.9 For, 1.7 Against). The combined average expected goals for this match is approximately 3.45, making 'Over 2.5 Goals' a highly probable outcome. Both teams have strong attacking records, with Dortmund scoring in every home game and Leverkusen scoring in most away games, while Leverkusen's away defense is prone to conceding, supporting 'Both Teams To Score Yes'.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen — Key Stats

Borussia DortmundStatBayer Leverkusen

2nd ✅League Position6th

61 ✅Points46

27 Games Played✅ 27

18 ✅Wins13

7 Draws✅ 7

58 ✅Goals Scored52

28 ✅Goals Conceded36

2.1 ✅Goals Per Game1.9

12 ✅Clean Sheets7

DLWWW ✅Recent FormDWDDD

🏟️

Signal Iduna Park

Home Ground

⏰

1:30 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr 11

Matchday kickoff

⚽

Bundesliga

Soccer

Betting Angles — Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen

⚠️ Match Winner: Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund's home win rate stands at an impressive 78.6% (11 wins in 14 home games), and their overall league position and form are superior. Our model estimates a 62% chance of a home win, which is significantly higher than the implied probability of 52.63% from the given odds, indicating a strong value bet.

❌ Both Teams To Score: Yes

Borussia Dortmund has scored in 100% of their home games this season. Bayer Leverkusen has scored in 71.4% of their away games and conceded in 92.9% of their away games. This high propensity for both teams to score and Leverkusen's defensive vulnerabilities away from home strongly suggest BTTS 'Yes'.

💰 Sharp Money

No sharp money data was provided. Line movement: No line movement data was provided.

AI Same Game Parlay — Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg

Borussia Dortmund Win2.00

Over 2.5 Goals1.85

BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 26%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Build custom SGP →

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk

6/10

⚠️Bayer Leverkusen's ability to score away from home (averaging 1.9 goals per game) could lead to a closer contest than expected.
⚠️The absence of head-to-head statistics limits a full historical context of this fixture.
⚠️Lack of injury information means potential key player absences are not factored into the prediction.
⚠️Leverkusen's recent run of draws (DDDWD) suggests resilience, making them a tough opponent to put away definitively.

Model Confidence

⚡80%

Data quality: The provided team and league statistics are comprehensive and of high quality, allowing for a detailed statistical analysis of current form and performance metrics.

Limitations

•Absence of head-to-head match history between the two teams.
•Lack of specific injury reports for key players.
•No information on recent player form, suspensions, or tactical changes.
•Betting market sentiment, sharp money, and line movement data are unavailable.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen — FAQ

Borussia Dortmund has an excellent home record this season, with 11 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss in 14 home matches.