Europa LeagueEuropa League

Thursday, Apr 9, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 7d 20h 18m

Bologna

Bologna

vs

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

16%
11%
73%
BolognaDrawAston Villa

AI Pick: Aston Villa Win

Confidence: 70%

1X2: Aston Villa Win (โšก70%)

O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals

BTTS: No

Bologna vs Aston Villa Prediction

Aston Villa enters this Europa League fixture as the clear favorite, boasting superior form and a formidable defensive record. Bologna, while resilient at home, has a tendency to draw, which might not be enough to overcome a high-flying Aston Villa side. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Aston Villa Win

Predicted: 0-1

โšก70%

Aston Villa demonstrates superior form and a stronger overall record in the Europa League, with 9 wins and only 1 loss in 10 matches. Their away form is particularly impressive (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss), coupled with a robust defense conceding only 0.6 goals per away game. Bologna, while undefeated at home in the Europa League (2 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses), has shown a tendency for draws, indicating a potential struggle to convert home advantage into wins against top-tier opposition. Aston Villa's defensive solidity and consistent scoring (never failed to score) give them the edge in what is expected to be a tight encounter.

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5 Goals

Total: Low (1-2 goals)

60%

Both teams exhibit a strong tendency towards lower-scoring matches. Aston Villa's statistics show only 1 out of 10 matches going over 2.5 goals for them, and 0 matches going over 2.5 goals against them. Bologna also has a low rate of over 2.5 goals (3 out of 12 for, 1 out of 12 against). Aston Villa has kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches (3 away from 5), and Bologna failed to score in 1 of their 6 home games. This suggests a high likelihood of 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No'.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

No

55%

Both teams exhibit a strong tendency towards lower-scoring matches. Aston Villa's statistics show only 1 out of 10 matches going over 2.5 goals for them, and 0 matches going over 2.5 goals against them. Bologna also has a low rate of over 2.5 goals (3 out of 12 for, 1 out of 12 against). Aston Villa has kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches (3 away from 5), and Bologna failed to score in 1 of their 6 home games. This suggests a high likelihood of 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No'.

Bologna vs Aston Villa โ€” Key Stats (AI)

BolognaStatAston Villa
19% AI Win Probabilityโœ… 70%
0 Predicted Scoreโœ… 1
Under 2.5 Goals โœ…Over/Under 2.5Low (1-2 goals)
No โœ…Both Teams to Scoreโ€”
75% โœ…Model ConfidenceThe provided team and league statistics are comprehensive and of high quality for the available metrics. However, the absence of H2H, injury data, and real-time odds limits the model's ability to capture all potential influencing factors.

Betting Angles โ€” Bologna vs Aston Villa

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Cannot determine sharp money movements due to N/A odds. Line movement: Cannot determine line movement due to N/A odds.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Bologna vs Aston Villa

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Aston Villa Win2.50
Under 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: No1.72

Combined Odds: 7.96 (+696)

AI Confidence: 25%

$10 โ†’ $79.55 | $25 โ†’ $198.88 | $50 โ†’ $397.75

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ… โ€” all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
6/10
  • โš ๏ธLack of current betting odds prevents value bet identification.
  • โš ๏ธAbsence of head-to-head statistics means no historical fixture context.
  • โš ๏ธNo injury reports could lead to unforeseen player absences impacting performance.
  • โš ๏ธBologna's strong home draw record introduces uncertainty despite Aston Villa's superior form.

Model Confidence

โšก75%

Data quality: The provided team and league statistics are comprehensive and of high quality for the available metrics. However, the absence of H2H, injury data, and real-time odds limits the model's ability to capture all potential influencing factors.

Limitations

  • โ€ขNo head-to-head match history between the two teams.
  • โ€ขAbsence of current injury reports for both squads.
  • โ€ขLack of real-time betting odds prevents value bet calculations and market sentiment analysis.
  • โ€ขPlayer-specific form or tactical information is not available.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Bologna vs Aston Villa โ€” FAQ

Bologna has played 6 home matches in the Europa League, with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses. They are undefeated at home, but have drawn two-thirds of their home games.