Serie AStadio Renato Dall'AraSaturday, Apr 25, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 14d 23h 33m
Bologna
vs
AS Roma
AI Pick: Draw
Confidence: 65%
1X2: Draw (⚡65%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
Bologna vs AS Roma Prediction
This Serie A clash between Bologna and AS Roma is anticipated to be a tight, tactical encounter. While AS Roma holds a higher league position and generally stronger squad, their recent form has been shaky. Bologna, playing at home, has shown resilience and decent recent results, despite an overall mixed home record. The absence of E. Bove for Roma further complicates their challenge. A low-scoring draw is the most probable outcome.
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Predicted: 1-1
⚡65%
AS Roma, despite their higher league position and overall stronger season, has shown a dip in recent form (LWLLD). Bologna, while having a mixed home record (5W-2D-8L), has a slightly better recent form (WLWLW) and the home advantage. The API-Sports prediction heavily favors a Bologna win or draw (45% home, 45% draw), suggesting underlying factors or recent trends not fully captured by raw standings. Given Bologna's low home scoring average (0.9) and Roma's moderate away scoring (1.2) and conceding (1.2), a low-scoring draw, specifically 1-1, appears to be the most balanced and probable outcome.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.2
60%
Both teams exhibit a strong statistical tendency towards low-scoring matches, with 27 of 31 games for each team ending under 2.5 goals. Bologna averages 0.9 goals at home and concedes 1.2, while Roma averages 1.2 goals away and concedes 1.2. This points to a total goal average around 2.2. Despite the low total, both teams have a reasonable record of scoring and conceding (Bologna scored in 9/15 home, conceded in 10/15; Roma scored in 12/16 away, conceded in 11/16), making BTTS 'Yes' a likely outcome in a tight contest.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Both teams exhibit a strong statistical tendency towards low-scoring matches, with 27 of 31 games for each team ending under 2.5 goals. Bologna averages 0.9 goals at home and concedes 1.2, while Roma averages 1.2 goals away and concedes 1.2. This points to a total goal average around 2.2. Despite the low total, both teams have a reasonable record of scoring and conceding (Bologna scored in 9/15 home, conceded in 10/15; Roma scored in 12/16 away, conceded in 11/16), making BTTS 'Yes' a likely outcome in a tight contest.
📊 More Markets
⚽ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
While Under 2.5 is predicted, Over 1.5 goals is still highly probable. Both teams have had over 1.5 goals in 23/31 (Bologna) and 24/31 (Roma) of their matches, indicating that at least two goals are common.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
Both Bologna and AS Roma have an extremely high percentage of games ending with Under 3.5 goals (30 out of 31 for each team). This is a very strong statistical trend for both sides.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both teams have shown a propensity to score in the first half (Bologna 16 goals, Roma 17 goals in the first 45 minutes across 31 games). A single goal in the first half is a common occurrence in Serie A.
First Team to Score
Home
With Bologna playing at home and showing slightly better recent form, they might come out with more attacking impetus, giving them a slight edge to score first, although it's a close call.
Goal in Both Halves
No
Given the prediction of a low-scoring game (1-1) and the general trend of Under 2.5 goals for both teams, it's more likely that goals will not be scored in both halves, or if they are, it will be a very low total.
Most Likely Score
1-1
Based on the low-scoring nature of both teams' matches, their average goals scored/conceded, and the expectation of a tight contest, a 1-1 draw is the most probable exact score outcome.
BTTS 1st Half
No
With a low-scoring game expected and both teams' overall goal averages, it's highly unlikely that both teams will manage to score in the first half. Defenses are expected to be organized early on.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Given the low actual goal output for both teams throughout the season and the expectation of a tight, defensive match, the cumulative Expected Goals (xG) for both teams combined is likely to be below 2.5.
🏆 Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
The API-Sports prediction strongly suggests 'Bologna or Draw' (45% home, 45% draw). Combined with Bologna's recent form and home advantage, this pick offers a solid safety net against a slightly faltering AS Roma.
Draw No Bet
Home
If the match ends in a draw, the stake is returned. Given the strong lean towards Bologna or a draw, backing Bologna in a Draw No Bet market provides good coverage and reflects the home team's potential to secure at least a point.
HT/FT
Draw/Draw
Given the expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair, it's plausible that both teams will be level at halftime and the score will remain a draw at fulltime, particularly a 1-1 result.
📊 Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
While specific corner data isn't available, Serie A matches between competitive teams often generate a decent number of corners as both sides push for an advantage. Given the expected tight nature of the game, attacking efforts from both sides should lead to corners.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Bologna averages 1.93 yellow cards per game, and AS Roma averages 1.87. The combined average is approximately 3.8 yellow cards per game. In a competitive Serie A fixture with European implications for Roma and home pride for Bologna, a higher card count is expected.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Under 8.5
Given the prediction of a low-scoring game (1-1) and both teams' defensive solidity, it's likely that clear-cut chances will be limited, leading to fewer shots on target. Defenses are expected to be well-organized.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Even in a low-scoring game, teams will attempt shots from various positions. Both sides will be looking for openings, leading to a decent volume of shots, even if many are off target.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Serie A matches are often physical and tactical, leading to a higher number of fouls. In a competitive game between two teams vying for position, expect frequent stoppages and challenges.
Possession Winner
Away
AS Roma, as the historically stronger team and often playing a more possession-based style, is likely to dominate the ball even when playing away from home against a mid-table side like Bologna.
Bologna Clean Sheet
No
With a 'Both Teams To Score: Yes' prediction, it logically follows that neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities at the back and capabilities to score.
AS Roma Clean Sheet
No
With a 'Both Teams To Score: Yes' prediction, it logically follows that neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities at the back and capabilities to score.
Bologna vs AS Roma — Key Stats
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Home Ground
4:00 PM UTC
Saturday, Apr 25
Matchday kickoff
Serie A
Soccer
Betting Angles — Bologna vs AS Roma
✅ Match Result: Draw
The API-Sports model gives a 45% chance for a draw, significantly higher than typical bookmaker odds would imply for a 3.30 odd. My analysis also points to a draw as a highly probable outcome given the teams' recent form, home/away statistics, and the context of the match. This offers a strong positive edge.
✅ Total Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Both Bologna and AS Roma have a strong tendency towards low-scoring games, with 27 out of 31 matches for each team ending with Under 2.5 goals. Bologna's home average is 0.9 goals for and 1.2 against, while Roma's away average is 1.2 goals for and 1.2 against. The combined statistical average strongly supports an Under 2.5 outcome, indicating good value at these odds.
💰 Sharp Money
Without live odds, it's hard to pinpoint sharp money movement. However, if the odds for a Draw or Bologna to win drift higher than implied by the API-Sports 45% probability, it would indicate sharp money potentially backing Roma or other outcomes. Conversely, if those odds shorten, it suggests support for Bologna/Draw. Line movement: Given the 'N/A' odds, any initial lines would be crucial. If Roma opens as a clear favorite, and then the line shifts towards a draw or Bologna, it would signal significant market adjustment based on recent form and injury news.
AI Same Game Parlay — Bologna vs AS Roma
🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 23%
$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- ⚠️AS Roma's overall quality and European aspirations could see them perform above their recent form.
- ⚠️Bologna's inconsistent home record makes predicting their performance challenging.
- ⚠️The absence of specific odds means value bets are based on assumed market prices, which could differ significantly.
- ⚠️The match could be a cagey affair, leading to fewer goal-scoring opportunities than anticipated.
Model Confidence
⚡70%
Data quality: High. Comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and injury reports were provided, allowing for a detailed analysis of current form and performance metrics.
Limitations
- •Lack of specific head-to-head statistics between Bologna and AS Roma.
- •Absence of live betting odds, requiring assumptions for value bet calculations.
- •No detailed player-specific performance data (e.g., xG, key passes, tackles) beyond general team stats.
- •No information on team news beyond the single reported injury.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Bologna vs AS Roma — FAQ
Based on our analysis, a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline, reflecting the low-scoring nature of both teams' matches and the expected tight contest.