BundesligaBundesligaBayArena

Saturday, Apr 18, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC

Kickoff in 7d 20h 59m

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

vs

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

78%
8%
14%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFC Augsburg

AI Pick: Bayer Leverkusen Win

Confidence: 75%

1X2: Bayer Leverkusen Win (75%)

O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS: Yes

Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg Prediction

Bayer Leverkusen are strong favorites at home against FC Augsburg. Leverkusen boasts a superior league position, a formidable home record, and a more potent attack. Augsburg struggles significantly away from home, particularly defensively. While Leverkusen has shown a recent propensity for draws, their overall quality should see them secure a victory.

AI-powered prediction

MATCH RESULT

Bayer Leverkusen Win

Predicted: 2-1

75%

Bayer Leverkusen, despite a recent string of draws, holds a significant advantage playing at home against FC Augsburg. Leverkusen sits 6th in the league with a strong home record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per home game. FC Augsburg, on the other hand, is 10th and has a poor away record, with only 3 wins and 1 draw in 13 away matches, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away game. While Leverkusen's recent form includes several draws, their overall quality, home advantage, and Augsburg's defensive frailties away from home suggest a home victory. Augsburg's recent form shows some wins, but their overall away performance is a concern.

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5 Goals

Total: 2.9

60%

Bayer Leverkusen averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.9 goals conceded at home, leading to an average of 2.9 goals in their home matches. FC Augsburg averages 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded away, resulting in an average of 3.1 goals in their away matches. Both teams' individual averages point strongly towards an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome. Leverkusen has not failed to score at home, and Augsburg has a decent scoring record away, while also conceding heavily, making 'Both Teams to Score - Yes' a high probability.

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Yes

55%

Bayer Leverkusen averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.9 goals conceded at home, leading to an average of 2.9 goals in their home matches. FC Augsburg averages 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded away, resulting in an average of 3.1 goals in their away matches. Both teams' individual averages point strongly towards an 'Over 2.5 Goals' outcome. Leverkusen has not failed to score at home, and Augsburg has a decent scoring record away, while also conceding heavily, making 'Both Teams to Score - Yes' a high probability.

📊 More Markets

Goal Markets

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

88%

With both teams showing offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, especially Augsburg away, at least two goals in the match are highly probable. Leverkusen's home games average 2.9 goals, and Augsburg's away games average 3.1 goals.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

60%

While we predict Over 2.5, a total of 4 or more goals is less certain. Our score prediction of 2-1 suggests 3 goals. While possible, Under 3.5 offers a slightly safer bet given the average goal statistics.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

85%

Both teams show a tendency to score in the first half, particularly in the 31-45 minute range. Given Leverkusen's attacking intent and Augsburg's vulnerability, at least one goal before halftime is highly probable.

First Team to Score

Home

75%

Leverkusen's strong attacking record at home and their tendency to score early (34.62% in first 30 mins) make them the most likely team to open the scoring against an Augsburg side that concedes early (33.33% in first 30 mins).

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

70%

Leverkusen scores consistently across both halves, and Augsburg also has a significant portion of goals in the second half (28.57% in 76-90 min). With both teams likely to contribute to the scoreline, goals in both halves are expected.

Most Likely Score

2-1

25%

Based on Leverkusen's average of 2.0 goals at home and Augsburg's average of 1.1 goals away, with Leverkusen conceding 0.9 and Augsburg conceding 2.0. A 2-1 scoreline for Leverkusen aligns well with these statistics and the overall match dynamic.

BTTS 1st Half

No

70%

While goals are expected in the first half, both teams scoring before the break is less common. Both teams show a higher propensity for goals in the second half, making BTTS in the first half less likely.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

70%

Given Leverkusen's strong attacking output at home (2.0 goals/game) and Augsburg's defensive vulnerabilities away (2.0 goals conceded/game), the match is expected to generate a high number of quality scoring chances, leading to an xG total above 2.5.

🏆 Result Markets

Double Chance

1X

90%

Leverkusen's strong home record (7W, 3D, 3L) combined with Augsburg's poor away form (3W, 1D, 9L) makes a home win or draw a very safe bet. Leverkusen is unlikely to lose at home to Augsburg.

Draw No Bet

Home

80%

Leverkusen is the stronger team playing at home. While draws have been frequent for them recently, their overall quality should see them avoid a loss, making 'Home' the logical pick for Draw No Bet.

HT/FT

Home/Home

60%

Leverkusen is expected to start strong at home and maintain their lead. Given Augsburg's defensive struggles away, Leverkusen leading at both half-time and full-time is a plausible outcome.

📊 Team Stats

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

70%

Leverkusen is an attacking team that will push forward, generating corners. Augsburg, likely defending deep, will also contribute to corner counts through clearances and counter-attacks. Bundesliga matches generally see a good number of corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

65%

Both teams have accumulated a fair number of yellow cards this season (Leverkusen 62, Augsburg 68). A competitive Bundesliga match, especially with Leverkusen pushing for a win and Augsburg trying to disrupt, is likely to see at least 4 cards.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

70%

Leverkusen's attacking prowess at home will lead to numerous shots on target. Augsburg, while likely defensive, will also aim for counter-attacks, contributing to the total. Over 8.5 shots on target is a reasonable expectation for this fixture.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

65%

Leverkusen, as the dominant home side, will take many shots. Augsburg will also have attempts, especially on the counter. A total of over 22.5 shots in a Bundesliga game is a reasonable expectation.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

65%

Bundesliga matches are often physical. Augsburg, as the underdog away from home, will likely employ tactical fouls to disrupt Leverkusen's play, contributing to a higher foul count.

Possession Winner

Home

85%

Bayer Leverkusen is known for its possession-based, attacking style of play. Against an away team like Augsburg, they are highly likely to dominate possession throughout the match.

Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet

No

60%

While Leverkusen has 6 home clean sheets, Augsburg has shown they can score away (1.1 avg). Augsburg has 0 away clean sheets, and Leverkusen scores 2.0 goals per home game, making an away clean sheet highly unlikely. Given the BTTS 'Yes' prediction, neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

FC Augsburg Clean Sheet

No

60%

While Leverkusen has 6 home clean sheets, Augsburg has shown they can score away (1.1 avg). Augsburg has 0 away clean sheets, and Leverkusen scores 2.0 goals per home game, making an away clean sheet highly unlikely. Given the BTTS 'Yes' prediction, neither team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg Key Stats

Bayer LeverkusenStatFC Augsburg
6th League Position10th
46 Points31
27 Games Played27
13 Wins9
7 Draws4
52 Goals Scored33
36 Goals Conceded50
1.9 Goals Per Game1.2
7 Clean Sheets5
DWDDD Recent FormWWLLL
🏟️

BayArena

Home Ground

1:30 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr 18

Matchday kickoff

Bundesliga

Soccer

Betting Angles Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg

Match Result: Bayer Leverkusen Win

Leverkusen's superior home record and overall team strength against Augsburg's weak away form make a home win a strong probability. The assumed odds of 1.75 offer good value given our model's higher probability.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals

Leverkusen averages 2.0 goals at home and Augsburg concedes 2.0 goals away. This combined attacking and defensive record points towards a higher-scoring game, making Over 2.5 goals a likely outcome.

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Leverkusen scores consistently at home (0 failed to score in 13 home games) and Augsburg manages to score in most away games (1.1 goals per away game average). Leverkusen also concedes at home (0.9 avg), making it probable that both teams will find the net.

💰 Sharp Money

Sharp money might look for value in alternative markets like 'Leverkusen to Win & BTTS Yes' or 'Over 2.5 Goals' if the odds are favorable, rather than a straight home win, given Leverkusen's recent draws. Line movement: Expect the line for a Bayer Leverkusen win to shorten as kick-off approaches, especially if there are no significant injury reports. The Over/Under 2.5 goals line might also see movement towards the 'Over' if early betting patterns reflect the attacking potential.

AI Same Game Parlay Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg

🔥 RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Bayer Leverkusen Win2.00
Over 2.5 Goals1.85
BTTS: Yes1.72

Combined Odds: 6.36 (+536)

AI Confidence: 26%

$10 → $63.64 | $25 → $159.10 | $50 → $318.20

Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ — all legs support each other

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
4/10
  • ⚠️Bayer Leverkusen's recent tendency to draw matches, even when favored.
  • ⚠️Augsburg's ability to score on the counter-attack, despite their poor away record.
  • ⚠️Potential for an early goal from Augsburg to disrupt Leverkusen's rhythm.

Model Confidence

80%

Data quality: High - Comprehensive team statistics and league standings for the current season are available.

Limitations

  • Lack of specific head-to-head statistics for recent encounters.
  • Absence of real-time injury news or squad rotation information.
  • No current odds provided, requiring hypothetical odds for value bet calculations.
  • Recent form of Leverkusen (many draws) could indicate a temporary dip not fully captured by season averages.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg FAQ

Bayer Leverkusen has a strong home record this season with 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in 13 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game at the BayArena.