Ligue 1Stade de l'Abbรฉ DeschampsSaturday, May 9, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 7h 11m

Auxerre
vs

Nice
AI Pick: Auxerre Win
Confidence: 60%
1X2: Auxerre Win (60%)
O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS: Yes
Auxerre vs Nice Prediction
This Ligue 1 clash pits 16th-placed Auxerre against 15th-placed Nice in a critical relegation battle. Auxerre holds the home advantage and boasts a significantly better defensive record, particularly at home. Nice, however, has a slightly better attacking output but suffers from a very porous away defense. The match is expected to be tight and fiercely contested, with both teams desperate for points.
MATCH RESULT
Auxerre Win
Predicted: 2-1
60%
Auxerre, despite being in the relegation playoff spot, holds a crucial home advantage against a Nice side that has struggled significantly away from home. Auxerre's defense is notably stronger, especially at home (1.0 GA/game), compared to Nice's leaky away defense (2.1 GA/game). While API-Sports indicates a high probability for both a home win and a draw (45% each), the overall comparison and Poisson model slightly favor Auxerre (57.7% vs 42.3%). Given the high stakes of a relegation battle, Auxerre's motivation at home, and Nice's poor away form (3 wins, 1 draw, 10 losses), a narrow home victory is the most likely outcome. Nice does score away, so a clean sheet for Auxerre is not expected.
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5 Goals
Total: 2.7
60%
Auxerre's home matches average 1.9 goals, while Nice's away matches average 3.2 goals. Nice's defense is particularly poor away from home, conceding 2.1 goals per game. Although Auxerre's attack is not prolific, Nice's defensive vulnerabilities suggest they will concede. Nice also scores an average of 1.1 goals away, making 'Both Teams To Score' a strong possibility. The combined offensive and defensive averages lean towards a match with more than 2.5 goals, likely around 2-3 goals in total.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
55%
Auxerre's home matches average 1.9 goals, while Nice's away matches average 3.2 goals. Nice's defense is particularly poor away from home, conceding 2.1 goals per game. Although Auxerre's attack is not prolific, Nice's defensive vulnerabilities suggest they will concede. Nice also scores an average of 1.1 goals away, making 'Both Teams To Score' a strong possibility. The combined offensive and defensive averages lean towards a match with more than 2.5 goals, likely around 2-3 goals in total.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
With Nice's matches averaging over 3 goals and Auxerre's matches averaging over 2 goals, and both teams expected to score, it is highly probable that there will be at least two goals in the match.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
While Over 2.5 is predicted, Auxerre's overall low scoring (0.8 goals/game) makes a very high-scoring game (4+ goals) less likely, even against Nice's weak defense. The match is expected to be competitive rather than a blowout.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Both Auxerre and Nice have shown a tendency to score and concede in the first half. Nice, in particular, has scored 16 goals in the first half this season, and conceded 30 goals in the first half across all matches. It's highly probable at least one goal will be scored before halftime.
First Team to Score
Home
Auxerre has the home advantage and a slightly better defensive record. Nice has conceded a significant number of early goals (17.24% in 0-15 min), which could allow Auxerre to strike first.
Goal in Both Halves
Yes
Given the prediction of Over 2.5 goals and BTTS, it's reasonable to expect goals in both halves. Nice's matches tend to be higher scoring, and both teams will be pushing for results throughout the game.
Most Likely Score
2-1
Based on Auxerre's predicted narrow win, their average home scoring, and Nice's tendency to concede multiple goals away while still being capable of scoring.
BTTS 1st Half
No
While a goal in the first half is likely, both teams scoring in the first 45 minutes is less common, especially with Auxerre's generally low-scoring nature. It's more probable that one team scores or it remains goalless at the break.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5 xG
Based on the predicted score of 2-1 and the expectation of both teams scoring, the quality of chances (xG) is likely to exceed 2.5, indicating a match with several clear-cut opportunities.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
API-Sports explicitly advises 'Auxerre or draw' with 45% home win and 45% draw probability. Auxerre's home advantage and better defensive record against Nice's poor away form make a home win or draw highly probable.
Draw No Bet
Home
Given Auxerre is the slight favorite and playing at home in a crucial match, backing them with the draw no bet option provides a safer pick, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Draw/Home
Auxerre's attack is not explosive, suggesting a cautious start or a draw at halftime. However, their home advantage and Nice's defensive frailties should allow Auxerre to secure the win in the second half.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Ligue 1 matches often feature a decent number of corners, especially in high-stakes games where teams are pushing for goals. Both teams will be looking to create chances.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
This is a relegation battle between 15th and 16th place, which typically leads to a highly competitive and often aggressive match. Both teams have accumulated a fair number of cards throughout the season, and the intensity of this fixture is likely to result in multiple bookings.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
With both teams needing points, they will be motivated to attack. Nice's porous defense might allow Auxerre more opportunities, while Nice will also push to score against Auxerre's home defense.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Both teams will be looking to create scoring opportunities, especially Nice against Auxerre's defense, and Auxerre at home. This should lead to a decent volume of shots, even if not all are on target.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
As a relegation six-pointer, this match is expected to be fiercely contested and physical, leading to a higher number of fouls as both teams battle for possession and territory.
Possession Winner
Home
While possession can be unpredictable, home teams often aim to control the tempo. Auxerre might try to dictate play against a struggling Nice side, but Nice could also try to hold possession to frustrate Auxerre.
Auxerre Clean Sheet
No
While Auxerre has a better home clean sheet record (7/15), Nice still manages to score 1.1 goals per game away. Conversely, Nice's away clean sheet record is very poor (1/14), and Auxerre, despite a low scoring average, is expected to find the net at home against a weak away defense. Therefore, neither team is likely to keep a clean sheet.
Nice Clean Sheet
No
While Auxerre has a better home clean sheet record (7/15), Nice still manages to score 1.1 goals per game away. Conversely, Nice's away clean sheet record is very poor (1/14), and Auxerre, despite a low scoring average, is expected to find the net at home against a weak away defense. Therefore, neither team is likely to keep a clean sheet.
Auxerre vs Nice โ Key Stats
Stade de l'Abbรฉ Deschamps
Home Ground
7:00 PM UTC
Saturday, May 9
Matchday kickoff
Ligue 1
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Auxerre vs Nice
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Without live odds, it's impossible to track sharp money movements. However, in such a crucial match, smart money would likely target defensive solidity or double chance markets. Line movement: N/A - No odds provided.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Auxerre vs Nice
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 21%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
High Risk- โ ๏ธBoth teams are in poor form and battling relegation, making the match highly unpredictable.
- โ ๏ธThe lack of specific odds data means market sentiment cannot be factored in, increasing uncertainty.
- โ ๏ธAuxerre's low scoring ability could make it difficult to convert chances against Nice.
- โ ๏ธNice's desperation to avoid relegation could lead to an unexpected strong performance away from home.
Model Confidence
โก65%
Data quality: High - Comprehensive team statistics and league standings are available.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of real-time betting odds to validate model predictions against market sentiment.
- โขLack of specific head-to-head results to identify historical patterns.
- โขNo injury or suspension information, which can significantly impact team performance.
- โขFootball's inherent unpredictability, especially in relegation battles.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Auxerre vs Nice โ FAQ
This is a crucial relegation battle. Auxerre (16th) is in the relegation playoff spot, while Nice (15th) is just four points above them. A win for either team would be a massive boost in their fight to avoid the drop.