Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

With an expected total of 2.8 goals and a predicted score of 2-1, it is highly probable that there will be at least two goals in the match. Atletico's home games have seen over 1.5 goals in 53% of matches, and Girona's away games in 38%.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

While Over 2.5 Goals is predicted, a 2-1 scoreline falls under 3.5 goals. Atletico's home games have gone over 3.5 goals in only 6% of matches, and Girona's away games in 0%. This indicates that a high-scoring affair with 4 or more goals is unlikely.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

Atletico Madrid scores a significant percentage of their goals in the first half (46.15% of total goals). Given their strong home attack and Girona's away defense, it's highly probable that at least one goal will be scored before halftime.

First Team to Score

Home

Atletico Madrid has a stronger attack and the home advantage. They are more likely to open the scoring against Girona, who have a weaker away defense.

Goal in Both Halves

Yes

Given the expectation of multiple goals (Over 2.5) and both teams scoring, it's reasonable to expect goals to be distributed across both halves, especially with Atletico's consistent scoring and Girona's potential to score later in the game.

Most Likely Score

2-1

A 2-1 scoreline reflects Atletico's strong home scoring ability (2.2 avg) and Girona's capacity to score away (1.0 avg), while also acknowledging Atletico's solid home defense (0.9 conceded avg). Exact scores are inherently difficult to predict with high confidence.

BTTS 1st Half

No

While both teams are expected to score in the match, it's less common for both to find the net in the first half. Atletico's first-half goal percentage is around 46%, and Girona's is around 37%. It's more likely only one team, or neither, scores in the first 45 minutes.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Over 2.5 xG

Based on the predicted score of 2-1 and the offensive capabilities of Atletico at home, the expected goals (xG) for the match should be above 2.5, reflecting the quality of chances created.

Double Chance

1X

Atletico Madrid has a dominant home record (14 wins, 1 draw in 17 games) and is heavily favored in this fixture. The API-Sports prediction also advises 'Atletico Madrid or draw', making '1X' a very safe bet.

Draw No Bet

Home

Based on Atletico Madrid's strong home form and overall superiority against Girona's weaker away record, they are the clear favorites to win. This pick aligns with the main match prediction.

HT/FT

Home/Home

Atletico Madrid tends to score early in games and has a strong attacking presence at home. It's plausible they will take a lead into halftime and maintain it until full time, especially against a weaker away side.

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

Atletico Madrid, playing at home, will likely push for attack, leading to more corners. Girona, while defending, may also concede corners or attempt counter-attacks that result in corners. La Liga matches often see a moderate to high number of corners.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

Both teams average over 2 yellow cards per game (Atletico 2.03, Girona 2.09). La Liga matches are often competitive and can be physical, leading to a higher card count. A combined average of over 4 cards suggests 'Over 3.5 Cards' is a reasonable pick.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

Atletico Madrid's strong home attack (2.2 goals/game) implies they will generate a good number of shots on target. Girona, even if defending, will likely contribute some shots on target through counter-attacks. This market is often correlated with attacking intent.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Atletico Madrid, as the home favorite, will likely dominate possession and take many shots. Girona will also attempt shots, particularly on the counter. This combined effort should push the total shots over 22.5.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

La Liga matches are typically competitive and can involve a fair amount of tactical fouling, especially when a stronger team faces an underdog. Over 22.5 fouls is a common threshold for such encounters.

Possession Winner

Home

Atletico Madrid, playing at home, typically aims to control the game. While Girona can also hold possession, the home advantage and Atletico's tactical approach usually see them edge possession.

Atletico Madrid Clean Sheet

No

Given the prediction for Both Teams To Score 'Yes', it is unlikely that either team will keep a clean sheet. Atletico has kept 7 clean sheets at home (41%), while Girona has only 1 away clean sheet (6%). Girona has shown an ability to score away from home (1.0 avg), making a home clean sheet less likely.

Girona Clean Sheet

No

Given the prediction for Both Teams To Score 'Yes', it is unlikely that either team will keep a clean sheet. Atletico has kept 7 clean sheets at home (41%), while Girona has only 1 away clean sheet (6%). Girona has shown an ability to score away from home (1.0 avg), making a home clean sheet less likely.