Serie ANew Balance ArenaSunday, May 17, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 21d 10h 40m

Atalanta
vs

Bologna
AI Pick: Atalanta Win
Confidence: 58%
1X2: Atalanta Win (58%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: No

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Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction
Atalanta hosts Bologna in a Serie A clash, with Atalanta holding a slight edge due to home advantage, better league standing, and more consistent recent form. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with Atalanta's solid defense likely to be key.
MATCH RESULT
Atalanta Win
Predicted: 1-0
58%
Atalanta, playing at home, holds a stronger league position (7th vs 8th) and has a superior home record (9 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses) compared to Bologna's away record (8 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). While Bologna has a decent away attack, Atalanta's home defense is solid, conceding only 0.8 goals per game. API-Sports also leans towards an Atalanta win or draw, with Atalanta having better form, attack, and defense ratings. Given the low-scoring nature indicated by both teams' overall 'under 2.5 goals' statistics and API-Sports' predicted goals, a narrow home victory is anticipated.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 1.9
60%
Both Atalanta and Bologna show a strong tendency for 'Under 2.5 Goals' in their overall season statistics (Atalanta 29/33 under, Bologna 30/34 under). API-Sports also suggests a low-scoring affair with 'Home -2.5 | Away -1.5' predicted goals. Given a predicted 1-0 or 2-0 Atalanta win, 'Both Teams To Score: No' is the logical outcome, as one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
No
55%
Both Atalanta and Bologna show a strong tendency for 'Under 2.5 Goals' in their overall season statistics (Atalanta 29/33 under, Bologna 30/34 under). API-Sports also suggests a low-scoring affair with 'Home -2.5 | Away -1.5' predicted goals. Given a predicted 1-0 or 2-0 Atalanta win, 'Both Teams To Score: No' is the logical outcome, as one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
๐ More Markets
โฝ Goal Markets
Total Goals (O/U 1.5)
Over 1.5
While 'Under 2.5 Goals' is predicted, a 1-0, 2-0, or 1-1 scoreline would still result in 'Over 1.5 Goals'. Both teams average around 1.5 goals scored per game (home/away splits), making at least two goals in the match quite probable.
Total Goals (O/U 3.5)
Under 3.5
With a strong prediction for 'Under 2.5 Goals' based on team statistics and API-Sports advice, 'Under 3.5 Goals' is an even safer and highly confident pick for this match.
1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)
Over 0.5
Atalanta averages 0.63 goals scored in the first half and 0.42 conceded. Bologna averages 0.5 goals scored and 0.41 conceded in the first half. The combined average suggests a goal in the first half is more likely than not.
First Team to Score
Home
As the home favorite with a stronger attack and home advantage, Atalanta is more likely to open the scoring against Bologna.
Goal in Both Halves
No
Given the prediction of 'Under 2.5 Goals' and a potential 1-0 or 2-0 score, it's more likely that goals will not be scored in both halves, especially if the game is tight.
Most Likely Score
1-0
Based on Atalanta's strong home defense, the overall low-scoring trend of both teams, and the predicted 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No', a 1-0 victory for the home side is a plausible exact score.
BTTS 1st Half
No
Both teams' first-half scoring averages are relatively low, and with 'BTTS No' predicted for the full match, it's highly improbable that both teams will score in the first half.
xG Based (O/U 2.5)
Under 2.5 xG
Aligning with the 'Under 2.5 Goals' prediction, the expected goals (xG) for this match are also anticipated to be below 2.5, reflecting a game with fewer high-quality scoring chances.
๐ Result Markets
Double Chance
1X
API-Sports explicitly advises 'Double chance: Atalanta or draw' with a combined 90% probability (45% home win, 45% draw). Atalanta's home advantage and overall stronger standing support this pick.
Draw No Bet
Home
Given Atalanta is the predicted winner and has a strong home record, backing them on a 'Draw No Bet' market provides a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.
HT/FT
Home/Home
Atalanta is the favorite and often scores in the first half (19.57% of goals in 31-45 min). If they take an early lead, they are likely to maintain it to win both halves, especially at home.
๐ Team Stats
Total Corners (O/U 9.5)
Over 9.5
Serie A matches often feature a moderate to high number of corners as teams push for attacks. Both teams are competitive, suggesting an open game with chances leading to corners.
Total Cards (O/U 3.5)
Over 3.5
Atalanta averages 1.57 yellow cards per game, and Bologna averages 1.76. The combined average is over 3.3, making 'Over 3.5 Cards' a reasonable prediction for a competitive Serie A fixture.
Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)
Over 8.5
While specific shot data is unavailable, both teams are capable of creating chances. A competitive match typically results in a fair number of shots on target from both sides.
Total Shots (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Both teams will be looking to create opportunities. While not all shots will be on target, the combined efforts are likely to result in more than 22.5 total shots.
Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)
Over 22.5
Serie A matches are often physical and tactical, leading to a higher number of fouls. A competitive mid-table clash is expected to exceed 22.5 fouls.
Possession Winner
Home
Atalanta, playing at home and generally being the more dominant side, is expected to control more of the possession.
Atalanta Clean Sheet
Yes
Atalanta has a strong home defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per game and keeping 6 clean sheets in 17 home matches (35%). With a predicted 1-0 scoreline, a home clean sheet is anticipated, while Bologna is not expected to keep one against Atalanta's home attack.
Bologna Clean Sheet
No
Atalanta has a strong home defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per game and keeping 6 clean sheets in 17 home matches (35%). With a predicted 1-0 scoreline, a home clean sheet is anticipated, while Bologna is not expected to keep one against Atalanta's home attack.
Atalanta vs Bologna โ Key Stats
New Balance Arena
Home Ground
1:00 PM UTC
Sunday, May 17
Matchday kickoff
Serie A
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Atalanta vs Bologna
๐ฐ Sharp Money
N/A - No odds data available to analyze sharp money movements. Line movement: N/A - No odds data available to analyze line movements.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Atalanta vs Bologna
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 20%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธBologna's decent away scoring record (1.5 goals per game) could challenge Atalanta's clean sheet.
- โ ๏ธThe absence of betting odds makes it harder to gauge market sentiment and potential value.
- โ ๏ธSerie A matches can be unpredictable, and a draw is a significant possibility (API-Sports 45% draw chance).
Model Confidence
62%
Data quality: High - Comprehensive team statistics and league standings were provided, allowing for detailed analysis.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of real-time betting odds limits value bet identification and market sentiment analysis.
- โขLack of specific head-to-head results prevents deeper historical matchup insights.
- โขNo injury reports were available, which could significantly impact team performance.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Atalanta vs Bologna โ FAQ
Based on current form, home advantage, and statistical analysis, an Atalanta win is the most likely outcome, potentially with a narrow scoreline like 1-0.