AS Roma vs Lazio Prediction

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Under 1.5

Both teams have a high percentage of games with under 1.5 goals (Roma 18/34, Lazio 22/33). Given the predicted low-scoring nature of this derby, 'Under 1.5 Goals' is a strong possibility, especially if it ends 1-0 or 0-0.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

The statistics for both teams overwhelmingly point to low-scoring matches, with very few games exceeding 3.5 goals. The API-Sports advice also supports 'Under 3.5 goals'. This is a very safe prediction.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

Both teams have scored a significant percentage of their goals in the first half (Roma 43.75%, Lazio 43.75%). While the overall game is predicted to be low-scoring, a single goal in the first half is quite common in Serie A and likely in a derby where early momentum is sought.

First Team to Score

Home

AS Roma has a stronger attack at home (1.6 goals per game) compared to Lazio's away attack (0.7 goals per game). With home advantage and a higher league position, Roma is more likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

No

Given the prediction of a low-scoring game (e.g., 1-0), it's less likely that goals will be scored in both halves. If there's only one goal, it will naturally not be in both halves.

Most Likely Score

1-0

Based on the prediction of a low-scoring Roma win, and considering both teams' strong defensive records and Lazio's struggles to score away, a narrow 1-0 victory for the home side is a plausible exact score.

BTTS 1st Half

No

With a strong prediction for 'BTTS No' for the full match and a general expectation of a tight, tactical first half in a derby, it's highly improbable that both teams will score before halftime.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

Based on the predicted low-scoring nature of the match and the strong defensive records of both teams, the expected goals (xG) generated by both sides combined are likely to be 'Under 2.5'.

Double Chance

1X

The API-Sports prediction explicitly states 'Win or draw' for AS Roma, with a combined probability of 90% (45% Home, 45% Draw). Roma's strong home form and higher league position make avoiding defeat a very likely outcome.

Draw No Bet

Home

Given AS Roma is the predicted winner with a good home record and H2H advantage, 'Home' in the Draw No Bet market offers a safer option than a straight win, covering the possibility of a draw while still backing the favorite.

HT/FT

Draw/Home

Derbies are often cagey in the first half, with teams being cautious. Roma tends to score later in games (27.08% in 61-75 min), and Lazio concedes a high percentage in the final 15 minutes (31.25% in 76-90 min). This suggests a potential draw at halftime followed by a Roma winner in the second half.

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

Derby matches often involve intense play and numerous attacks, leading to corners. While specific corner stats are not available, 'Over 9.5' is a common line for Serie A matches and seems reasonable for a competitive fixture.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

The Rome derby is known for its high intensity and fierce rivalry, which typically translates into a high number of fouls and cards. Both teams have accumulated a fair number of yellow cards throughout the season, and Lazio has a high red card count (7). 'Over 3.5 cards' is a very confident pick for this fixture.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

Despite a predicted low score, both teams will aim for goal. Roma averages 1.4 goals per game and Lazio 1.0, suggesting they create chances. 'Over 8.5 shots on target' is a standard line and achievable even in a tight game.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Even in a low-scoring game, teams will attempt many shots, with many going off target. 'Over 22.5 total shots' is a common benchmark for active matches in Serie A.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Derby matches are typically physical and fiercely contested, leading to a higher number of fouls as players battle for dominance. 'Over 22.5 fouls' is a reasonable expectation for such an intense encounter.

Possession Winner

Home

Playing at home, AS Roma is likely to try and control the tempo and possession. While both teams can adapt, the home side often dictates more of the play.

AS Roma Clean Sheet

Yes

AS Roma has a strong home defensive record, keeping 9 clean sheets in 17 home games. Lazio, on the other hand, has failed to score in 10 of their 17 away matches. This statistical trend strongly supports a home clean sheet for Roma and Lazio failing to score away.

Lazio Clean Sheet

No

AS Roma has a strong home defensive record, keeping 9 clean sheets in 17 home games. Lazio, on the other hand, has failed to score in 10 of their 17 away matches. This statistical trend strongly supports a home clean sheet for Roma and Lazio failing to score away.