Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Total Goals (O/U 1.5)

Over 1.5

While Under 2.5 is predicted, the combined average goals for Alaves at home and Rayo away (2.2) suggests that at least two goals are more likely than not. Both teams have conceded regularly.

Total Goals (O/U 3.5)

Under 3.5

Given the strong 'Under 2.5 Goals' trend for both teams, an 'Under 3.5 Goals' pick is even safer, as it's highly improbable for this match to feature four or more goals.

1st Half Goals (O/U 0.5)

Over 0.5

Both teams have a significant percentage of their goals scored and conceded in the first half (Alaves 42.11% goals for, Rayo 47.05% goals for). A single goal in the first 45 minutes is a common occurrence in La Liga.

First Team to Score

Home

Alaves has a stronger home attack (1.4 goals/game) compared to Rayo's poor away attack (0.8 goals/game). With home support and higher motivation, Alaves is more likely to open the scoring.

Goal in Both Halves

No

Given the expectation of a low-scoring match (Under 2.5 Goals) and a potential 1-0 scoreline, it's less likely that goals will be scored in both halves. A single goal might decide the game.

Most Likely Score

1-0

Based on the prediction of a low-scoring home win for Alaves, a 1-0 scoreline is a plausible exact score. Both teams struggle to score multiple goals, and Rayo's away attack is particularly weak.

BTTS 1st Half

No

With a low-scoring overall prediction and both teams not being prolific scorers, especially in the first half, it's highly unlikely that both teams will score before halftime.

xG Based (O/U 2.5)

Under 2.5 xG

Consistent with the low goal expectation, the quality of chances (Expected Goals) is also anticipated to be low. Both teams struggle to create high-volume, high-quality attacking opportunities.

Double Chance

1X

API-Sports explicitly advises 'Alaves or draw' (1X), and Alaves has a strong home advantage against a team with a poor away record. This pick offers good coverage for a home win or a draw.

Draw No Bet

Home

Given Alaves is the slight favorite with home advantage and a strong need for points, the Draw No Bet market on Alaves provides a safer option, returning the stake if the match ends in a draw.

HT/FT

Draw/Home

Many La Liga matches are tight in the first half, especially between evenly matched teams. Alaves might break the deadlock in the second half, capitalizing on home advantage and Rayo's away struggles.

Total Corners (O/U 9.5)

Over 9.5

La Liga matches are often competitive, and with Alaves pushing for a win at home, and Rayo likely to defend and counter, we can expect a decent number of corners from both sides. A combined average of 10-11 corners is typical for such encounters.

Total Cards (O/U 3.5)

Over 3.5

Both teams have high yellow card counts throughout the season, and La Liga is known for its disciplinary actions. A relegation battle for Alaves and a competitive away fixture for Rayo will likely lead to a feisty match with multiple bookings.

Shots on Target (O/U 8.5)

Over 8.5

While a low-scoring game is expected, both teams will aim for goal. Alaves at home will try to create chances, and Rayo will look for counter-attacking opportunities. This should result in a combined total of at least 9 shots on target.

Total Shots (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

Both teams will be looking to create opportunities, even if they aren't always on target. A combined total of over 22.5 shots (including blocked and off-target) is a reasonable expectation for a competitive La Liga fixture.

Total Fouls (O/U 22.5)

Over 22.5

La Liga matches, particularly those involving teams in the lower half of the table, tend to be physically contested. A competitive match with high stakes for Alaves will likely result in a high number of fouls.

Possession Winner

Home

Alaves, playing at home and needing to push for a win, is likely to try and control possession. Rayo Vallecano might be content to sit back and play on the counter, especially away from home.

Alaves Clean Sheet

Yes

Alaves has a poor overall clean sheet record (3 total), but Rayo's away scoring is very low (0.8 goals/game). Given Alaves' home advantage and motivation, they have a decent chance of keeping a clean sheet against a struggling away attack. Rayo is unlikely to keep a clean sheet against a motivated home side.

Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet

No

Alaves has a poor overall clean sheet record (3 total), but Rayo's away scoring is very low (0.8 goals/game). Given Alaves' home advantage and motivation, they have a decent chance of keeping a clean sheet against a struggling away attack. Rayo is unlikely to keep a clean sheet against a motivated home side.