La LigaEstadio MendizorrotzaSunday, Apr 5, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 3d 20h 20m
Alaves
vs
Osasuna
AI Pick: Alaves Win
Confidence: 65%
1X2: Alaves Win (โก65%)
O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS: No
Alaves vs Osasuna Prediction
Alaves hosts Osasuna in a La Liga fixture where Alaves will look to capitalize on their home advantage against an Osasuna side that has struggled significantly on the road. Expect a tight, low-scoring encounter.
MATCH RESULT
Alaves Win
Predicted: 1-0
โก65%
Alaves holds a significant home advantage, boasting a decent record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses in 14 home games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In stark contrast, Osasuna's away form is exceptionally poor, with only 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses in 15 away fixtures, scoring a meager 0.6 goals per game and conceding 1.3. Osasuna has failed to score in 10 of their 15 away matches. Given these statistics, Alaves is strongly favored to secure a narrow victory at home.
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5 Goals
Total: 1-2 Goals
60%
Both teams exhibit a strong trend for low-scoring matches. Alaves has seen Under 2.5 goals in 27 out of 29 total games (93.1%), while Osasuna has done so in 26 out of 29 games (89.7%). Alaves averages 1.2 goals for and 1.1 against at home, and Osasuna averages 0.6 goals for and 1.3 against away. Osasuna's poor away scoring record (failed to score in 10/15 away games) makes BTTS No a highly probable outcome.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
No
55%
Both teams exhibit a strong trend for low-scoring matches. Alaves has seen Under 2.5 goals in 27 out of 29 total games (93.1%), while Osasuna has done so in 26 out of 29 games (89.7%). Alaves averages 1.2 goals for and 1.1 against at home, and Osasuna averages 0.6 goals for and 1.3 against away. Osasuna's poor away scoring record (failed to score in 10/15 away games) makes BTTS No a highly probable outcome.
Alaves vs Osasuna โ Key Stats
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Home Ground
7:00 PM UTC
Sunday, Apr 5
Matchday kickoff
La Liga
Soccer
Betting Angles โ Alaves vs Osasuna
โ Match Winner: Alaves
Alaves' home performance (5W, 5D, 4L) is considerably stronger than Osasuna's abysmal away record (2W, 3D, 10L). Our model assigns a 47% probability to an Alaves win, which offers a positive edge over the bookmaker's implied probability of 42.55% at odds of 2.35.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Information on sharp money movements is not available in the provided data. Line movement: Information on line movement is not available in the provided data.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Alaves vs Osasuna
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.36 (+536)
AI Confidence: 23%
$10 โ $63.64 | $25 โ $159.10 | $50 โ $318.20
Correlation: POSITIVE โ โ all legs support each other
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธLow-scoring games can be unpredictable, with a single moment potentially deciding the outcome.
- โ ๏ธAbsence of head-to-head statistics limits historical context for this specific fixture.
- โ ๏ธNo injury information available, which could significantly alter team strength and performance.
Model Confidence
โก78%
Data quality: Good, with comprehensive team statistics, league standings, and current odds provided.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of head-to-head match history.
- โขLack of specific injury reports for key players.
- โขNo data on recent player performance or tactical changes.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Alaves vs Osasuna โ FAQ
Alaves is favored due to their home advantage and a significantly better home record (5W, 5D, 4L) compared to Osasuna's very poor away form (2W, 3D, 10L).