NHLThursday, May 14, 2026, 1:30 AM UTC
Game starts in 2d 8h 7m

Minnesota Wild
vs

Colorado Avalanche
AI Confidence: 56%
Winner: Colorado Avalanche Win (56%)
Spread: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (-1.5) (58%)
Total: Under 6.5 (58%)

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Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction
The Colorado Avalanche are poised to take a commanding 3-0 series lead against the Minnesota Wild in Game 3. Their superior form, offensive firepower, and the Wild's significant injury woes make them strong favorites, even on the road. The Wild will need a stellar performance from their returning goaltender and a disciplined defensive effort to stay competitive.
Minnesota Wild host Colorado Avalanche on Thursday, part of the 2025 NHL season. Both teams' season records, recent form, and matchup-specific factors are detailed in the stats and prediction sections below.
ATS PREDICTION
Colorado Avalanche Win
Predicted: 4-2
56%
The Colorado Avalanche enter Game 3 leading the series 2-0, having decisively beaten the Minnesota Wild 9-6 and 5-2 in the first two games. The Avalanche boast the league's best regular-season record (55-16-11, 121 points) and are undefeated in the playoffs (6-0), showcasing a potent offense and strong defense. The Wild, despite being at home, are severely hampered by injuries to key players Joel Eriksson Ek and Jonas Brodin, both of whom are confirmed out for Game 3. Wild goaltender Jesper Wallstedt, who allowed eight goals in Game 1, is returning to the net, while Avalanche netminder Scott Wedgewood has been solid.
SPREAD PREDICTION
Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (-1.5)
58%
The Avalanche have demonstrated clear dominance in the series, winning Game 1 by three goals (9-6) and Game 2 by three goals (5-2). With the Wild missing crucial offensive and defensive pieces in Eriksson Ek and Brodin, the Avalanche's high-powered offense is likely to continue finding success, leading to another multi-goal victory despite playing on the road.
TOTAL PREDICTION
Under 6.5
58%
While Game 1 was high-scoring (15 total goals), Game 2 saw a more contained 7 goals. Expert sentiment suggests a tighter, more controlled game for Game 3 as the series shifts to Minnesota, with both goaltenders potentially settling in. The Under 6.5 line is favored by some bookmakers, indicating an expectation of fewer goals than the series average.
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First Period Winner
Colorado Avalanche
The Avalanche have shown strong starts in this series, scoring early and often. Their offensive depth should allow them to gain an early lead, especially against a Wild team struggling with injuries.
Race to 3 Goals
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado's offense has been explosive, scoring 9 goals in Game 1 and 5 in Game 2. They are highly likely to reach three goals before the Wild, especially with Minnesota's defensive injuries.
Anytime Goal Scorer
Nathan MacKinnon (Avalanche)
Nathan MacKinnon is a prolific scorer and has been a key contributor for the Avalanche in the playoffs. He registered a goal and two assists in Game 2. With the Wild's defensive challenges, MacKinnon is a strong candidate to find the back of the net.
Team Total Goals
Colorado Avalanche Over 3.5 Goals
The Avalanche scored 9 and 5 goals in the first two games of the series. Even with a potentially tighter Game 3, their high-powered offense is capable of scoring at least 4 goals against an injured Wild defense.
Winning Margin (3-Way)
Colorado Avalanche by 2 Goals
Based on the 4-2 score prediction, a two-goal victory for the Avalanche is a plausible outcome, consistent with their previous multi-goal wins in the series.
Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche โ Key Stats (AI)
No recent head-to-head meetings on record for this matchup.
Betting Angles โ Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche
โ Moneyline: Colorado Avalanche
The Avalanche are a dominant team, leading the series 2-0, and playing against a significantly injured Wild squad. Their consistent performance and playoff momentum suggest a higher probability of winning than the implied odds of 1.77 (56.5%).
โ Puck Line: Colorado Avalanche -1.5
Colorado has won both games in the series by three goals each, demonstrating their ability to win by multiple goals. With key Wild players sidelined, the Avalanche's scoring depth gives them a strong chance to cover the -1.5 puck line, offering good value at these odds.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
The moneyline has steadily climbed on Colorado, opening at -113 and pushing to -137, suggesting sharp money aligning with the public's confidence in the Avalanche. Line movement: The Colorado moneyline has seen significant movement upwards, while the total goals line has held firm at 6.5, with juice shifting between Over and Under as bookmakers adjust to public action.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche
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3-LegCombined Odds: 7.23 (+623)
AI Confidence: 58%
$10 โ $72.30 | $25 โ $180.75 | $50 โ $361.50
Correlation: Positive correlation, as an Avalanche win often comes with strong offensive contributions from star players like MacKinnon, and a slightly lower overall score is possible with the Wild's defensive focus at home.
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธNHL's inherent high variance can lead to upsets even in mismatches.
- โ ๏ธHome-ice advantage for Minnesota could spark a stronger performance.
- โ ๏ธGoalie performance for Wallstedt could improve significantly on home ice.
- โ ๏ธAvalanche potentially easing up with a 2-0 series lead.
Model Confidence
โก70%
Data quality: High
Limitations
- โขPublic betting sentiment can sometimes skew odds, but here it aligns with performance.
- โขExact injury impact is difficult to quantify precisely.
- โขGoaltending variability is always a factor in NHL.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche โ FAQ
The Colorado Avalanche currently lead the Minnesota Wild 2-0 in their second-round Stanley Cup Playoffs series, after winning the first two games on May 4th and May 6th.
Our NHL predictions weigh records, special-teams efficiency, goaltender matchups, rest days, and recent form. Even strong favourites win only around 60% of regular-season games โ most NHL confidence sits in the 52-62% band. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI NHL Picks hub.