๐Ÿˆ PFL

Sunday, May 3, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Game starts in 16d 5h 3m

Taila Santos

Taila Santos

vs

Yan Qihui

Yan Qihui

Taila Santos Win

AI Confidence: โšก85%

Winner: Taila Santos Win (โšก85%)

Spread: Taila Santos -1.5 Rounds (-1.5) (โšก75%)

Total: Under 2.5 (โšก70%)

Taila Santos vs Yan Qihui Prediction

Taila Santos is heavily favored to win this PFL flyweight bout against Yan Qihui. Santos brings a wealth of experience from the UFC, including a title challenge, and a strong PFL record. Her well-rounded skill set and physical advantages are expected to be too much for Yan, who is stepping up in competition.

AI-powered prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Taila Santos Win

Predicted: Taila Santos by TKO in Round 2

โšก85%

Taila Santos enters this bout as a highly experienced and credentialed fighter, having challenged for the UFC Women's Flyweight Championship and holding a #3 ranking in the PFL women's flyweight division as of January 2026. Her fighting style, rooted in Muay Thai and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, emphasizes aggressive striking, strong clinch work, and effective takedowns. Santos demonstrated her capabilities in the 2024 PFL season, securing a submission victory and two decision wins before falling to Dakota Ditcheva in the tournament final. While she did serve a six-month USADA suspension that ended in September 2025, she has had ample time to prepare for this fight. Yan Qihui, despite a respectable professional record of 25-5-0, has shown vulnerabilities against higher-level competition, with losses in her UFC/Dana White's Contender Series appearances. Santos also holds a physical advantage in height and reach. Considering Santos's superior experience, striking prowess, and grappling ability against an opponent who is an 'organizational newcomer' to the PFL, Santos is expected to control the fight and likely secure a stoppage victory.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Taila Santos -1.5 Rounds (-1.5)

75%

Given Taila Santos's significant experience and higher level of competition, coupled with her balanced finishing record (10 KOs, 4 submissions in 22 wins), she is expected to dominate this fight. Yan Qihui has suffered TKO and submission losses in her career, indicating susceptibility to stoppages. While Santos has also gone to decision in some of her PFL fights, her overall skill set and the perceived gap in competition suggest she will be looking for a decisive finish. Picking Santos to win within the first two rounds (equivalent to -1.5 rounds in a 3-round fight) reflects her ability to overwhelm opponents and Yan's past stoppages against strong competition.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Under 2.5

70%

This pick aligns with the expectation of Taila Santos securing a finish. Santos has a strong track record of stoppages, with 14 of her 22 wins coming by either knockout or submission. Yan Qihui has been finished in her career by both TKO and submission. While Yan has a good overall record, her step up in competition against Santos, a former UFC title challenger, is likely to expose her to more significant damage. Therefore, it is reasonable to anticipate that the fight will not go the full three rounds, making the 'under 2.5 rounds' a favorable pick.

Taila Santos vs Yan Qihui โ€” Key Stats (AI)

Taila SantosStatYan Qihui
85% โœ…AI Win Probability15%
Taila Santos -1.5 โ€ฆ โœ…Spread75% conf
Under 2.5 โœ…Total70% conf
80% โœ…Model Confidenceโ€”

Betting Angles โ€” Taila Santos vs Yan Qihui

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Sharp money is expected to be on Taila Santos, particularly if the moneyline offers any value, or on prop bets favoring a finish for Santos (e.g., TKO/KO or Submission, or Under 2.5 rounds). Line movement: Given the current lack of odds, it's anticipated that once lines open, Taila Santos will be a substantial favorite. Any significant movement towards Yan Qihui would be unexpected and potentially indicate unforeseen circumstances or information not publicly available.

Model Confidence

โšก80%

Data quality: High. Extensive recent fight data, injury updates, and career statistics were available for Taila Santos. Information for Yan Qihui was also comprehensive, though her overall professional record needed to be cross-referenced with her UFC-specific record to get a full picture.

Limitations

  • โ€ขNo direct head-to-head statistics or common opponents at the same career stage.
  • โ€ขYan Qihui's 'fighting style' and 'stance' are listed as unknown in some databases, making a precise stylistic matchup analysis challenging.
  • โ€ขThe impact of Taila Santos's recent USADA suspension and TKO loss on her current form is an unknown variable, though she has had time to recover and train.
  • โ€ขLack of specific odds at the time of prediction, requiring assumptions about implied favoritism.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Taila Santos vs Yan Qihui โ€” FAQ

The fight is scheduled for May 3, 2026, at PFL Sioux Falls.